⏫ US debt hits $37 trillion for the first time

Total US debt has surged by $780B since the ceiling was raised on July 4 under the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.”

🟡 That’s +$22B per day on average

🟡 $724B in Treasuries sold last week alone

The debt crisis is accelerating.

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JUST IN: Trump commented on China trade, saying, "We'll see what happens with the deadline."

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JUST IN: Donald Trump commented on a potential agreement involving NVIDIA's new chip.

• Trump mentioned he would not make a deal for NVIDIA's new chip.
• He initially wanted 20% approval on chip exports.
• Described NVIDIA's H2O as obsolete yet still marketable.
• Negotiated the deal down to 15%.

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JUST IN: Trump announced on Truth Social that there will be no tariffs on gold.

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📉 Your cash lost 83%. Stocks went up 15,000%.

Over the last 50 years, the purchasing power of the US dollar collapsed — down 83% due to inflation. But the S&P 500, adjusted for inflation, still turned $100K into $15.3 million.

🟡 That’s a 153x return, after inflation
🟡 $100K in 1974 now buys what ~$17K could back then
🟡 Meanwhile, stocks quietly compounded at 11%+ annually
🟡 The biggest driver? Reinvestment of dividends + time

This is why long-term investing still works — not because stocks are “cheap,” but because money is dying slowly.

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JUST IN: U.S. President Donald Trump has extended the tariff truce with China for 90 days.

• The truce prevented escalating tariffs.
• Both countries agreed to reduce tariffs.
• Export restrictions on rare earth magnets and certain technologies were eased.

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JUST IN: China advises companies against using Nvidia's H20 chip shortly after a 15% revenue share deal with Trump was announced, according to Bloomberg.

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Our job as a trader isn’t to predict, but to execute.

Have you ever seen any gurus that teach you how to study candle by candle but they don’t actually make money?

You are a trader, not an Archaeologist.

Acting like a market wizard won’t make you profitable, it will only make you a psychopath.

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📈 U.S. stock market is now more expensive than at any point since the Great Depression.

Last time we were here? 1929, 1966, 1999.

Each chapter had the same ending, just a different soundtrack.

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📈 Mastering CPI Days

CPI prints can move markets fast, but the real edge is in knowing how the game is played before, during, and after the release.

🟡 Timing — CPI usually drops at 8:30am EST. The day before can be slow or full of “seek and destroy” traps.
🟡 Before CPI — Look for clean price action early, but avoid premarket setups on the day itself.
🟡 After CPI — Stand aside for 15–60 mins. Wait for high-probability conditions to return.
🟡 Narrative — If price consolidates into CPI, expect manipulation first, then expansion in the intended direction.

CPI days aren’t for guessing the number, they’re for trading the reaction.

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JUST IN: U.S. July CPI increased by 0.2%, matching expectations; core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3%, also as expected.

• Year-over-year CPI grew by 2.7%, slightly below the consensus of 2.8%.
• Core CPI year-over-year increased by 3.1%, slightly above the forecast of 3.0%.

This data could influence investor expectations regarding inflationary pressures, potentially impacting market interest in inflation-sensitive assets.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump stated he would consider suing Jerome Powell regarding the construction of Federal Reserve buildings.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump stated he is thinking about permitting "a major lawsuit" against Fed Chair Powell due to what he describes as a "horrible and grossly incompetent job." He also insists that Powell "must now lower rates" as the "damage he has done is incalculable."

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JUST IN: President Trump claims tariffs haven't led to inflation and significant funds are flowing into the US. He criticizes Goldman Sachs for not acknowledging achievements and suggests CEO David Solomon should concentrate on his DJ career.

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⛏️ Golden Age of Mining?

Gold prices are holding near record highs while energy costs stay low - a dream setup for miners.

Margins in the sector are pushing 60%, way above the long-term average of ~35%.

🟡 Energy makes up about half of mining costs, so cheap oil and power mean more profit.

🟡 Gold is selling for ~$2,000 above production costs, giving companies a huge safety buffer.

🟡 Institutions are still underweight metals - less than 3% allocation in most Western portfolios.

If metals stay high and energy stays cheap, miners have room to post big numbers for a long time. The smart money hasn’t fully arrived yet.

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JUST IN: Trump is weighing a lawsuit against Federal Reserve's Powell.

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Question yourself regardless of trade outcome 👆
winner or loser

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Every trading strategy or setup has a failure rate.

When you learn to accept that, you stop assuming the next trade is going to be a winner.

This alone will help you stop over trading, over leveraging, and revenge trading.

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📉 Berkshire stumbles without Buffett

Berkshire Hathaway has been hit hard since Warren Buffett announced in May he would step down.

🟡 Stock is down ~14% since May 2
🟡 S&P 500 is up ~11% in the same period
🟡 ~25% gap - the widest in decades, bigger than 2008 or 2000

The market’s making it clear — it was buying Buffett, not just the business.

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🔥Stocks: all-time high
🔥Home Prices: all-time high
🔥Bitcoin: all-time high
🔥Gold: all-time high
🔥Money Supply: all-time high
🔥National Debt: all-time high
🔥CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target"

Fed: cutting interest rates next month 🫡

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