⚡️ JUST IN: France announces a partial curfew and a protest ban for 2 nights.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Yemen's Houthis say they carried out 6 military operations against Saudi Arabia in the past 48 hours.

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You literally can't trust any news about the Iran war.

Within hours of each other:

🟢 Breakthrough in Iran / US negotiations

🟢 US considering striking Kharg Island

Meanwhile oil is spiking up and down because apparently traders have the memory of a goldfish.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran warns that 7 major global internet and data cables beneath the Strait of Hormuz could become its next targets.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Anthropic is in talks to buy $45 billion in computing power from Nscale, per Bloomberg.

A deal could be finalized in the coming days and would bolster Nscale’s IPO prospects.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says New Mexico should become “New America” to boost its prestige.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump issues a statement thanking Elon Musk for committing to donate one share of SpaceX, $SPCX, per American child through Trump Accounts.

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The deeper you go, the stranger markets become:

You aren't predicting prices.

You're reacting to human behavior, which is shaped by expectations about prices, which are shaped by human behavior.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Revolut reports a service disruption affecting multiple services, saying customer funds and data are safe.

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❕ Put Option Volume Surges

S&P 500 put option volume surged to a record $3.3 trillion on Friday.

The US dollar value of puts traded was 330% above the 2024 average. Before the 2020 pandemic, daily volumes ranged from $100 billion to $500 billion.

CBOE put volume reached 9.6 million contracts, the 4th-highest since 2015. Investors aggressively bought puts into Friday’s close.

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US homebuilder sentiment has absolutely crashed to its lowest level in 14.5 years, with the average 30yr mortgage rate at 7.4% and the housing market paralyzed.

It is a sharp shift from earlier this year, when homebuilders expected rate cuts.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Talks between Iran and the US continue, but reports that a deal is near are untrue, a negotiator says.

Brent erased half of its earlier decline.

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⚡️ JUST IN: The US will offer Putin a meeting with Zelensky and Trump.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Most of Anthropic's amount is not cash. About $72B comes from non-cash convertible-note and other financing adjustments that grow with valuation, leaving roughly $8.7B.

The draft S-1 shows $16.3B in first-half revenue versus $1.1B a year earlier, with 20% from two customers, and an IPO tentatively set for November at around $2 trillion.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Elon Musk says merging Tesla and SpaceX would be a good idea.

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⚡️ JUST IN: SpaceX crushes Q3 with $14.6B, up 161%, as Musk eyes 100,000 Starlinks and $1T in revenue.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Elon Musk says SpaceX, $SPCX, and Tesla, $TSLA, formed committees to discuss a potential merger.

Musk said combining the companies has “a lot of merit,” but shareholders must support the idea.

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⚡️ JUST IN: The Pentagon targets its first clean audit in 2028 after failing eight in a row, per Hegset.

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You will level up your trading when you realize that doing nothing is doing something.

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The myth. The legend. He did it again.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Putin and US envoy Witkoff conclude Ukraine peace talks in Russia as Witkoff returns to Oslo to brief Zelenskyy.

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