London-based hedge fund Caxton Associates is down more than $1.3B in March. The fund run by Andrew Law dropped about 15% after betting on UK rate cuts and a rise in gold.
The Iran conflict flipped both trades. Gilt yields jumped to 2008 highs, while gold fell around 15% since the war began.
Even large funds get caught on the wrong side when the macro shifts fast.
So don’t stress over a -5% on a virtual prop account.
This was a tough month across the board.
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CryptoFlash
The Iran conflict flipped both trades. Gilt yields jumped to 2008 highs, while gold fell around 15% since the war began.
Even large funds get caught on the wrong side when the macro shifts fast.
So don’t stress over a -5% on a virtual prop account.
This was a tough month across the board.
✅
CryptoFlash
🚨 UBS halted withdrawals on a $469 million real estate fund for up to 3 years.
Translation: “Sorry, we don’t have your money.”
This is how it starts.
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CryptoFlash
Translation: “Sorry, we don’t have your money.”
This is how it starts.
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump and senior White House officials have been informed that Iran's counter-proposal to the US peace plan will be announced today, according to CBS News.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
Iran’s Speaker of the Parliament accused the US of publicly promoting negotiations while secretly planning a ground attack.
He stated that Iran’s armed forces are prepared and waiting for the US to arrive.
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CryptoFlash
He stated that Iran’s armed forces are prepared and waiting for the US to arrive.
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CryptoFlash
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“About once every two years the market falls 10%.
Every six years the market’s going to have a 25% decline.
That’s all you need to know. You need to know that the market’s going to go down sometimes.
If you’re not ready for that, you shouldn’t own stocks.”
– Peter Lynch
✅
CryptoFlash
Every six years the market’s going to have a 25% decline.
That’s all you need to know. You need to know that the market’s going to go down sometimes.
If you’re not ready for that, you shouldn’t own stocks.”
– Peter Lynch
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CryptoFlash
It takes longer to master yourself than it does to master your system.
You can become a great analyst in 1–2 years.
But stopping yourself from acting like a cunt when executing your system can take years.
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CryptoFlash
You can become a great analyst in 1–2 years.
But stopping yourself from acting like a cunt when executing your system can take years.
✅
CryptoFlash
⚠️ Key Week Ahead: Jobs Data & Iran Tensions
Focus: US labor and consumer data amid rising oil prices from the ongoing Iran conflict, complicating the Fed’s path.
🔴 Monday
● Fed Chair Powell speaks – watch for tone shifts on inflation and rates.
🟡 Tuesday
● March Consumer Confidence & Feb JOLTS – gauge consumer sentiment and labor demand.
🔴 Wednesday
● March ADP & Retail Sales – early labor trends and spending under higher fuel costs.
🟡 Thursday
● Jobless Claims – fresh labor market signal.
🔴 Friday
● March Jobs Report – the week’s key event. Outcome shapes Fed outlook and markets.
Main drivers: Friday’s jobs data and Iran-related oil moves.
#Oil #Fed #JobsReport
CryptoFlash
Focus: US labor and consumer data amid rising oil prices from the ongoing Iran conflict, complicating the Fed’s path.
🔴 Monday
● Fed Chair Powell speaks – watch for tone shifts on inflation and rates.
🟡 Tuesday
● March Consumer Confidence & Feb JOLTS – gauge consumer sentiment and labor demand.
🔴 Wednesday
● March ADP & Retail Sales – early labor trends and spending under higher fuel costs.
🟡 Thursday
● Jobless Claims – fresh labor market signal.
🔴 Friday
● March Jobs Report – the week’s key event. Outcome shapes Fed outlook and markets.
Main drivers: Friday’s jobs data and Iran-related oil moves.
#Oil #Fed #JobsReport
CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says the US is in “serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime to end our military operations in Iran.”
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
🚨 Powell emergency speech in 1 hour
Reports say the Fed may address rate hikes after the recent market move and oil spike.
How will the market react?
❤️ Up
💔 Down
✅
CryptoFlash
Reports say the Fed may address rate hikes after the recent market move and oil spike.
How will the market react?
❤️ Up
💔 Down
✅
CryptoFlash
Powell Remarks
-Overall the research tends to find that buying long-term assets lowers rates and supports the economy, I'd be in the camp that there is something to that
-There are risks to both sides of mandate
-Expected risks to large balance sheet have not materialized
-No sign past Fed bond buying was inflationary
-We are committed to getting inflation back to 2% on sustained basis
-We don't know what economic effects of current situation will be
-Fed mindful of missing inflation target for some time
-Inflation expectations appear anchored
-Not facing yet the question of what to do
✅
CryptoFlash
-Overall the research tends to find that buying long-term assets lowers rates and supports the economy, I'd be in the camp that there is something to that
-There are risks to both sides of mandate
-Expected risks to large balance sheet have not materialized
-No sign past Fed bond buying was inflationary
-We are committed to getting inflation back to 2% on sustained basis
-We don't know what economic effects of current situation will be
-Fed mindful of missing inflation target for some time
-Inflation expectations appear anchored
-Not facing yet the question of what to do
✅
CryptoFlash
📉 History’s biggest trading losses – all due to size & failed risk control.
Adolf Merckle: ~$1B on Volkswagen short (2008 squeeze).
Hunt Brothers: ~$1.7B on leveraged silver corner.
Metallgesellschaft: ~$1.3B on flawed oil hedges.
Orange County (Citron): ~$1.7B on leveraged rate bets.
LTCM: ~$1.8B+ on collapsed arbitrage (Russia default).
UBS (Adoboli): ~$2.3B via hidden unauthorized trades.
Aracruz: ~$2.5B on failed FX derivatives.
Sumitomo (Hamanaka): ~$2.6B on copper manipulation.
Société Générale (Kerviel): ~$4.9B on concealed index trades.
Amaranth (Hunter): ~$6.6B on gas spread collapse.
Morgan Stanley: ~$9B on subprime derivatives.
JPMorgan (London Whale): ~$9B on flawed hedge.
Same lesson every time:
The idea isn’t the problem.
Risk management is.
Size kills.
✅
#TradingLessons #RiskManagement #CryptoFlash
CryptoFlash
Adolf Merckle: ~$1B on Volkswagen short (2008 squeeze).
Hunt Brothers: ~$1.7B on leveraged silver corner.
Metallgesellschaft: ~$1.3B on flawed oil hedges.
Orange County (Citron): ~$1.7B on leveraged rate bets.
LTCM: ~$1.8B+ on collapsed arbitrage (Russia default).
UBS (Adoboli): ~$2.3B via hidden unauthorized trades.
Aracruz: ~$2.5B on failed FX derivatives.
Sumitomo (Hamanaka): ~$2.6B on copper manipulation.
Société Générale (Kerviel): ~$4.9B on concealed index trades.
Amaranth (Hunter): ~$6.6B on gas spread collapse.
Morgan Stanley: ~$9B on subprime derivatives.
JPMorgan (London Whale): ~$9B on flawed hedge.
Same lesson every time:
The idea isn’t the problem.
Risk management is.
Size kills.
✅
#TradingLessons #RiskManagement #CryptoFlash
CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: The US Department of War announces it will be holding a press conference at 8 AM ET today.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
"day trading is a scam"
"you can't make money trading"
Those are the words spoken by the fearful the ones who quit.
Don't let losers influence you with their negative world view.
You are strong.
They are weak.
You can do it brother.
✅
CryptoFlash
"you can't make money trading"
Those are the words spoken by the fearful the ones who quit.
Don't let losers influence you with their negative world view.
You are strong.
They are weak.
You can do it brother.
✅
CryptoFlash
🇺🇸 Defense ETF trade request before Iran strikes raises questions
FT reports that broker for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth approached BlackRock in Feb 2026 with a multi-million request to invest in a defense ETF, weeks before strikes on Iran.
The fund manages $3.1B and holds major Pentagon contractors. The deal did not go through.
Pentagon denies the report, calling it false and demanding a retraction.
Timing alone is enough to get attention.
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CryptoFlash
FT reports that broker for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth approached BlackRock in Feb 2026 with a multi-million request to invest in a defense ETF, weeks before strikes on Iran.
The fund manages $3.1B and holds major Pentagon contractors. The deal did not go through.
Pentagon denies the report, calling it false and demanding a retraction.
Timing alone is enough to get attention.
✅
CryptoFlash