⚡️ JUST IN: President Trump announces a 10-day pause in the "period of energy plant destruction" in Iran, extending the delay until April 6th.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
There’s a moment right before an impulsive trade where something shifts internally.
If you can learn to notice that moment, even briefly, you’re already in a different position.
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CryptoFlash
If you can learn to notice that moment, even briefly, you’re already in a different position.
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CryptoFlash
London-based hedge fund Caxton Associates is down more than $1.3B in March. The fund run by Andrew Law dropped about 15% after betting on UK rate cuts and a rise in gold.
The Iran conflict flipped both trades. Gilt yields jumped to 2008 highs, while gold fell around 15% since the war began.
Even large funds get caught on the wrong side when the macro shifts fast.
So don’t stress over a -5% on a virtual prop account.
This was a tough month across the board.
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CryptoFlash
The Iran conflict flipped both trades. Gilt yields jumped to 2008 highs, while gold fell around 15% since the war began.
Even large funds get caught on the wrong side when the macro shifts fast.
So don’t stress over a -5% on a virtual prop account.
This was a tough month across the board.
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CryptoFlash
🚨 UBS halted withdrawals on a $469 million real estate fund for up to 3 years.
Translation: “Sorry, we don’t have your money.”
This is how it starts.
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CryptoFlash
Translation: “Sorry, we don’t have your money.”
This is how it starts.
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump and senior White House officials have been informed that Iran's counter-proposal to the US peace plan will be announced today, according to CBS News.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
Iran’s Speaker of the Parliament accused the US of publicly promoting negotiations while secretly planning a ground attack.
He stated that Iran’s armed forces are prepared and waiting for the US to arrive.
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CryptoFlash
He stated that Iran’s armed forces are prepared and waiting for the US to arrive.
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CryptoFlash
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“About once every two years the market falls 10%.
Every six years the market’s going to have a 25% decline.
That’s all you need to know. You need to know that the market’s going to go down sometimes.
If you’re not ready for that, you shouldn’t own stocks.”
– Peter Lynch
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CryptoFlash
Every six years the market’s going to have a 25% decline.
That’s all you need to know. You need to know that the market’s going to go down sometimes.
If you’re not ready for that, you shouldn’t own stocks.”
– Peter Lynch
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CryptoFlash
It takes longer to master yourself than it does to master your system.
You can become a great analyst in 1–2 years.
But stopping yourself from acting like a cunt when executing your system can take years.
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CryptoFlash
You can become a great analyst in 1–2 years.
But stopping yourself from acting like a cunt when executing your system can take years.
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CryptoFlash
⚠️ Key Week Ahead: Jobs Data & Iran Tensions
Focus: US labor and consumer data amid rising oil prices from the ongoing Iran conflict, complicating the Fed’s path.
🔴 Monday
● Fed Chair Powell speaks – watch for tone shifts on inflation and rates.
🟡 Tuesday
● March Consumer Confidence & Feb JOLTS – gauge consumer sentiment and labor demand.
🔴 Wednesday
● March ADP & Retail Sales – early labor trends and spending under higher fuel costs.
🟡 Thursday
● Jobless Claims – fresh labor market signal.
🔴 Friday
● March Jobs Report – the week’s key event. Outcome shapes Fed outlook and markets.
Main drivers: Friday’s jobs data and Iran-related oil moves.
#Oil #Fed #JobsReport
CryptoFlash
Focus: US labor and consumer data amid rising oil prices from the ongoing Iran conflict, complicating the Fed’s path.
🔴 Monday
● Fed Chair Powell speaks – watch for tone shifts on inflation and rates.
🟡 Tuesday
● March Consumer Confidence & Feb JOLTS – gauge consumer sentiment and labor demand.
🔴 Wednesday
● March ADP & Retail Sales – early labor trends and spending under higher fuel costs.
🟡 Thursday
● Jobless Claims – fresh labor market signal.
🔴 Friday
● March Jobs Report – the week’s key event. Outcome shapes Fed outlook and markets.
Main drivers: Friday’s jobs data and Iran-related oil moves.
#Oil #Fed #JobsReport
CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says the US is in “serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime to end our military operations in Iran.”
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
🚨 Powell emergency speech in 1 hour
Reports say the Fed may address rate hikes after the recent market move and oil spike.
How will the market react?
❤️ Up
💔 Down
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CryptoFlash
Reports say the Fed may address rate hikes after the recent market move and oil spike.
How will the market react?
❤️ Up
💔 Down
✅
CryptoFlash
Powell Remarks
-Overall the research tends to find that buying long-term assets lowers rates and supports the economy, I'd be in the camp that there is something to that
-There are risks to both sides of mandate
-Expected risks to large balance sheet have not materialized
-No sign past Fed bond buying was inflationary
-We are committed to getting inflation back to 2% on sustained basis
-We don't know what economic effects of current situation will be
-Fed mindful of missing inflation target for some time
-Inflation expectations appear anchored
-Not facing yet the question of what to do
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CryptoFlash
-Overall the research tends to find that buying long-term assets lowers rates and supports the economy, I'd be in the camp that there is something to that
-There are risks to both sides of mandate
-Expected risks to large balance sheet have not materialized
-No sign past Fed bond buying was inflationary
-We are committed to getting inflation back to 2% on sustained basis
-We don't know what economic effects of current situation will be
-Fed mindful of missing inflation target for some time
-Inflation expectations appear anchored
-Not facing yet the question of what to do
✅
CryptoFlash
📉 History’s biggest trading losses – all due to size & failed risk control.
Adolf Merckle: ~$1B on Volkswagen short (2008 squeeze).
Hunt Brothers: ~$1.7B on leveraged silver corner.
Metallgesellschaft: ~$1.3B on flawed oil hedges.
Orange County (Citron): ~$1.7B on leveraged rate bets.
LTCM: ~$1.8B+ on collapsed arbitrage (Russia default).
UBS (Adoboli): ~$2.3B via hidden unauthorized trades.
Aracruz: ~$2.5B on failed FX derivatives.
Sumitomo (Hamanaka): ~$2.6B on copper manipulation.
Société Générale (Kerviel): ~$4.9B on concealed index trades.
Amaranth (Hunter): ~$6.6B on gas spread collapse.
Morgan Stanley: ~$9B on subprime derivatives.
JPMorgan (London Whale): ~$9B on flawed hedge.
Same lesson every time:
The idea isn’t the problem.
Risk management is.
Size kills.
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#TradingLessons #RiskManagement #CryptoFlash
CryptoFlash
Adolf Merckle: ~$1B on Volkswagen short (2008 squeeze).
Hunt Brothers: ~$1.7B on leveraged silver corner.
Metallgesellschaft: ~$1.3B on flawed oil hedges.
Orange County (Citron): ~$1.7B on leveraged rate bets.
LTCM: ~$1.8B+ on collapsed arbitrage (Russia default).
UBS (Adoboli): ~$2.3B via hidden unauthorized trades.
Aracruz: ~$2.5B on failed FX derivatives.
Sumitomo (Hamanaka): ~$2.6B on copper manipulation.
Société Générale (Kerviel): ~$4.9B on concealed index trades.
Amaranth (Hunter): ~$6.6B on gas spread collapse.
Morgan Stanley: ~$9B on subprime derivatives.
JPMorgan (London Whale): ~$9B on flawed hedge.
Same lesson every time:
The idea isn’t the problem.
Risk management is.
Size kills.
✅
#TradingLessons #RiskManagement #CryptoFlash
CryptoFlash