⚠️ Key Events This Week
Focus: growth, inflation, and Iran tensions. Oil is key, especially after Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum on the Strait of Hormuz.
🔴 Tuesday
● March S&P Global Services PMI – signals service sector strength or slowdown.
🔴 Wednesday
● US Crude Oil Inventory – reflects oil supply/demand; impacts prices and inflation.
🟡 Thursday
● Initial Jobless Claims – labor market pulse. Rising = cooling, stable = strength.
🟡 Friday
● March MI Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – show economic outlook and spending behavior. Crucial for Fed policy.
Main focus: Tuesday’s PMI and Iran-driven oil moves.
#Oil #Inflation #Fed
CryptoFlash
Focus: growth, inflation, and Iran tensions. Oil is key, especially after Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum on the Strait of Hormuz.
🔴 Tuesday
● March S&P Global Services PMI – signals service sector strength or slowdown.
🔴 Wednesday
● US Crude Oil Inventory – reflects oil supply/demand; impacts prices and inflation.
🟡 Thursday
● Initial Jobless Claims – labor market pulse. Rising = cooling, stable = strength.
🟡 Friday
● March MI Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – show economic outlook and spending behavior. Crucial for Fed policy.
Main focus: Tuesday’s PMI and Iran-driven oil moves.
#Oil #Inflation #Fed
CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran says there are no talks with Washington and claims Trump backed off after warnings Iran would target regional power plants
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says a deal with Iran could be “5 days or sooner,” says he is not sure what Iranian media is referring to, and confirms talks took place last night
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran’s foreign ministry says it had no talks with the United States and its Strait of Hormuz stance and war conditions are unchanged
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
📈 The real path of a trader looks like this
At the start, everything feels easy. A few wins and it feels like you’ve cracked the market.
Then losses come in, confidence drops, and you realize how little you actually understand.
This is the Dunning–Kruger effect.
A curve where beginners overestimate their skill, then go through a deep phase of doubt before real competence starts to build.
Most never make it past that drop.
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CryptoFlash
At the start, everything feels easy. A few wins and it feels like you’ve cracked the market.
Then losses come in, confidence drops, and you realize how little you actually understand.
This is the Dunning–Kruger effect.
A curve where beginners overestimate their skill, then go through a deep phase of doubt before real competence starts to build.
Most never make it past that drop.
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CryptoFlash
When people are worried about the future, they buy gold.
When people are worried about the present, they sell gold.
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CryptoFlash
When people are worried about the present, they sell gold.
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran’s new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei has agreed to negotiate with the US and reach an agreement - Al Arabiya reports citing Israeli media.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
⚠️ Trump Insiders Are Already Trading It
Large positions hit the market minutes before Trump’s announcement.
Around $580M in oil shorts and $1.5B in S&P 500 longs were opened just 15 minutes before the speech.
At the same time, about 6,200 Brent and WTI contracts changed hands, with aggressive selling right before the news.
That kind of positioning doesn’t look accidental.
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CryptoFlash
Large positions hit the market minutes before Trump’s announcement.
Around $580M in oil shorts and $1.5B in S&P 500 longs were opened just 15 minutes before the speech.
At the same time, about 6,200 Brent and WTI contracts changed hands, with aggressive selling right before the news.
That kind of positioning doesn’t look accidental.
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CryptoFlash
⚠️ Someone Is Betting Big on a US–Iran Ceasefire
10 new Polymarket wallets placed $160K on a US–Iran ceasefire by the end of March.
If it hits, the payout is $1M.
Even more interesting, two of these wallets already made around $135K after betting on US strikes before Feb 28 and are now positioned for a ceasefire.
That kind of timing doesn’t look random.
Either someone understands how this plays out, or it’s a very confident bet.
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CryptoFlash
10 new Polymarket wallets placed $160K on a US–Iran ceasefire by the end of March.
If it hits, the payout is $1M.
Even more interesting, two of these wallets already made around $135K after betting on US strikes before Feb 28 and are now positioned for a ceasefire.
That kind of timing doesn’t look random.
Either someone understands how this plays out, or it’s a very confident bet.
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran confirms US outreach and says it is willing to listen to proposals to end the war, CNN.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: US and Iran are discussing high level peace talks in Islamabad as soon as Thursday.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
The slower you take trading, the faster you will be profitable.
Forget time and money goals.
Submit to discipline and take the same trade every day.
Profits will follow.
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CryptoFlash
Forget time and money goals.
Submit to discipline and take the same trade every day.
Profits will follow.
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CryptoFlash
The S&P 500 has gained just 9% during Trump’s second term.
This is the weakest performance since Bush’s second term in 2008.
Too much winning, Mr. President.
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CryptoFlash
This is the weakest performance since Bush’s second term in 2008.
Too much winning, Mr. President.
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CryptoFlash
🧠 Loss aversion drives bad trading decisions
Loss aversion means losses feel about twice as strong as gains of the same size. The same $100 creates very different reactions depending on direction.
This bias shows up in trading behavior.
Traders hold losing positions longer and close winning ones too early.
The decision is shaped by emotion, not by the setup.
The bias stays constant even when the market does not.
Your brain is lying to you on every single trade.
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CryptoFlash
Loss aversion means losses feel about twice as strong as gains of the same size. The same $100 creates very different reactions depending on direction.
This bias shows up in trading behavior.
Traders hold losing positions longer and close winning ones too early.
The decision is shaped by emotion, not by the setup.
The bias stays constant even when the market does not.
Your brain is lying to you on every single trade.
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CryptoFlash
The best system in the world won’t help you if you act like a retard every time you take a loss.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
40% of Russia's oil export capacity has been shut down following widespread Ukrainian drone attacks.
Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed.
17% of QatarEnergy operations have been halted.
Energy crisis is getting worse only.
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CryptoFlash
Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed.
17% of QatarEnergy operations have been halted.
Energy crisis is getting worse only.
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CryptoFlash