😮💨 The Economist: Trump’s Iran conflict is backfiring
The Economist released a new cover story titled “Operation Blind Fury”, arguing that Trump’s military move against Iran is weakening his position.
The longer the conflict drags on, the more it erodes his key political advantages and puts additional pressure on the White House.
War is starting to cost more politically than it gains.
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CryptoFlash
The Economist released a new cover story titled “Operation Blind Fury”, arguing that Trump’s military move against Iran is weakening his position.
The longer the conflict drags on, the more it erodes his key political advantages and puts additional pressure on the White House.
War is starting to cost more politically than it gains.
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CryptoFlash
⚡️JUST IN: The Trump Administration has made "detailed preparations" for deploying US ground forces into Iran, per CBS News.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
Trump yesterday 10 min before the US stock market close: “I don’t want to do a ceasefire with Iran”
10 min after close: “We are considering winding down the war”
Classic.
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CryptoFlash
10 min after close: “We are considering winding down the war”
Classic.
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CryptoFlash
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“If you don’t read the newspaper, you’re uninformed. If you do read it, you’re misinformed.”
- Denzel Washington
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CryptoFlash
- Denzel Washington
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CryptoFlash
🗣️ Trump over the last 36 hours:
Friday, 3:40 PM ET: "I don't want to do a ceasefire with Iran."
Friday, 5:15 PM ET: The US is "considering winding down" the war with Iran.
Today, 2:00 PM ET: Axios reports Trump is planning "peace talks."
⚡️ Now: "If Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours the US will obliterate Iran's power plants."
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
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CryptoFlash
Friday, 3:40 PM ET: "I don't want to do a ceasefire with Iran."
Friday, 5:15 PM ET: The US is "considering winding down" the war with Iran.
Today, 2:00 PM ET: Axios reports Trump is planning "peace talks."
⚡️ Now: "If Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours the US will obliterate Iran's power plants."
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
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CryptoFlash
The traders who survive long enough to become consistently profitable all share one trait.
Not a better system.
Not a better mentor.
They stopped caring about being right.
And started caring about being consistent.
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CryptoFlash
Not a better system.
Not a better mentor.
They stopped caring about being right.
And started caring about being consistent.
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CryptoFlash
⚠️ Key Events This Week
Focus: growth, inflation, and Iran tensions. Oil is key, especially after Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum on the Strait of Hormuz.
🔴 Tuesday
● March S&P Global Services PMI – signals service sector strength or slowdown.
🔴 Wednesday
● US Crude Oil Inventory – reflects oil supply/demand; impacts prices and inflation.
🟡 Thursday
● Initial Jobless Claims – labor market pulse. Rising = cooling, stable = strength.
🟡 Friday
● March MI Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – show economic outlook and spending behavior. Crucial for Fed policy.
Main focus: Tuesday’s PMI and Iran-driven oil moves.
#Oil #Inflation #Fed
CryptoFlash
Focus: growth, inflation, and Iran tensions. Oil is key, especially after Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum on the Strait of Hormuz.
🔴 Tuesday
● March S&P Global Services PMI – signals service sector strength or slowdown.
🔴 Wednesday
● US Crude Oil Inventory – reflects oil supply/demand; impacts prices and inflation.
🟡 Thursday
● Initial Jobless Claims – labor market pulse. Rising = cooling, stable = strength.
🟡 Friday
● March MI Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – show economic outlook and spending behavior. Crucial for Fed policy.
Main focus: Tuesday’s PMI and Iran-driven oil moves.
#Oil #Inflation #Fed
CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran says there are no talks with Washington and claims Trump backed off after warnings Iran would target regional power plants
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says a deal with Iran could be “5 days or sooner,” says he is not sure what Iranian media is referring to, and confirms talks took place last night
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran’s foreign ministry says it had no talks with the United States and its Strait of Hormuz stance and war conditions are unchanged
...
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
📈 The real path of a trader looks like this
At the start, everything feels easy. A few wins and it feels like you’ve cracked the market.
Then losses come in, confidence drops, and you realize how little you actually understand.
This is the Dunning–Kruger effect.
A curve where beginners overestimate their skill, then go through a deep phase of doubt before real competence starts to build.
Most never make it past that drop.
✅
CryptoFlash
At the start, everything feels easy. A few wins and it feels like you’ve cracked the market.
Then losses come in, confidence drops, and you realize how little you actually understand.
This is the Dunning–Kruger effect.
A curve where beginners overestimate their skill, then go through a deep phase of doubt before real competence starts to build.
Most never make it past that drop.
✅
CryptoFlash
When people are worried about the future, they buy gold.
When people are worried about the present, they sell gold.
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CryptoFlash
When people are worried about the present, they sell gold.
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CryptoFlash
⚡️ JUST IN: Iran’s new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei has agreed to negotiate with the US and reach an agreement - Al Arabiya reports citing Israeli media.
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CryptoFlash
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CryptoFlash
⚠️ Trump Insiders Are Already Trading It
Large positions hit the market minutes before Trump’s announcement.
Around $580M in oil shorts and $1.5B in S&P 500 longs were opened just 15 minutes before the speech.
At the same time, about 6,200 Brent and WTI contracts changed hands, with aggressive selling right before the news.
That kind of positioning doesn’t look accidental.
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CryptoFlash
Large positions hit the market minutes before Trump’s announcement.
Around $580M in oil shorts and $1.5B in S&P 500 longs were opened just 15 minutes before the speech.
At the same time, about 6,200 Brent and WTI contracts changed hands, with aggressive selling right before the news.
That kind of positioning doesn’t look accidental.
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CryptoFlash
⚠️ Someone Is Betting Big on a US–Iran Ceasefire
10 new Polymarket wallets placed $160K on a US–Iran ceasefire by the end of March.
If it hits, the payout is $1M.
Even more interesting, two of these wallets already made around $135K after betting on US strikes before Feb 28 and are now positioned for a ceasefire.
That kind of timing doesn’t look random.
Either someone understands how this plays out, or it’s a very confident bet.
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CryptoFlash
10 new Polymarket wallets placed $160K on a US–Iran ceasefire by the end of March.
If it hits, the payout is $1M.
Even more interesting, two of these wallets already made around $135K after betting on US strikes before Feb 28 and are now positioned for a ceasefire.
That kind of timing doesn’t look random.
Either someone understands how this plays out, or it’s a very confident bet.
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CryptoFlash