CryptoFlash
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πŸ“Š US February jobs report signals labor market cooling

The latest US labor market data came in mixed, with job growth sharply missing expectations while wage growth stayed firm.

● Nonfarm Payrolls: -92K vs +59K expected
● Unemployment rate: 4.4% vs 4.3% expected
● Average hourly earnings: +0.4% M/M vs +0.3% expected
● Average hourly earnings: +3.8% Y/Y vs +3.7% expected

Nonfarm Payrolls measure how many jobs were added or lost across the US economy, excluding farming. A negative print signals contraction in hiring.

The unemployment rate rising to 4.4% suggests the labor market is starting to soften, but wage growth remaining strong indicates inflation pressure from salaries is still present.

For markets, weaker employment with still rising wages complicates the Federal Reserve’s outlook on rate cuts.


πŸ’§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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Trump says "there will be no deal with Iran except unconditional surrender."

US oil prices immediately surge to a 2-year high.


πŸ’§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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US oil prices surge above $90/barrel, up +14% on the day, now at the highest level since October 2023.


πŸ’§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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πŸŽ™ Stan Druckenmiller on edge, sizing, and nerve

Stan Druckenmiller’s latest interview with Morgan Stanley is worth your time. A lot of it cuts straight to how real money is made.

πŸ“Š Contrarianism is overrated. The crowd is right 80% of the time. Just don’t get trapped in the other 20%.

πŸ“Š Edge is not being right. It’s sizing when you’re right and cutting when you’re wrong. Pure Soros playbook.

πŸ“Š You don’t need to understand every detail. He couldn’t spell Nvidia. He trusted smarter people on the tech and made the call.

πŸ“Š Volatility is not the enemy. It’s your entry if you have conviction.

πŸ“Š TA and price/news signals worked until everyone learned them. Edge fades once it becomes consensus.

πŸ“Š Courage matters more than wisdom. He says he’s smarter now, but was a better PM in his 30s because he had more nerve.

πŸ“Š Scars stay. Mistakes are just moments. Move on.

πŸ“Š Teva sat between growth and value. Nobody wanted it. That’s where opportunity lives.

πŸ“Š Watch where the smartest young people go. He tracked Stanford kids moving from crypto to AI before it was obvious.

πŸ“Š Knowing something is big doesn’t mean you’ll hold it perfectly. He sold Nvidia at 800. It went to 1400.

πŸ“Š Pattern recognition compounds. There’s no shortcut. Just decades of reps.

Hard to argue with 40 years of scars and sizing.


πŸ’§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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Feels a bit too relevant

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CryptoFlash
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β€œDon’t send your sons to finish what politicians start.”

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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Do you know who I am? πŸ˜‚

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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One of the biggest misconceptions in trading is believing you need some hidden informational edge. A secret signal. A pattern nobody else has discovered.

If that’s the game you think you’re playing, you’re competing against people with more data, more compute, and more capital than you’ll ever have. You’re not in that arena. Pretending you are is the first mistake.

The edge that’s actually available looks different.

It’s doing what others refuse to do. Sitting in discomfort. Absorbing volatility. Providing liquidity to the person who just wants out. You’re not outsmarting the market in some genius way. You’re out-tolerating other participants.

That framing isn’t exciting, but it’s honest.

The β€œsecret sauce” might exist somewhere. Even if most traders found it, they still wouldn’t execute it consistently.

The better focus isn’t on what you know that others don’t.
It’s on what you can consistently do that others won’t.

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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These are the quants you’re competing against in Asia.

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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This is why trading is one of the most difficult jobs in the world

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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You're in a rush to make profits because you're in pain.

And you're in pain because you always rush.

Break this loop or keep losing money.

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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Someone has opened a $8,821,600 Oil short position with 5x leverage today.

Right now, he is sitting on $1,200,000 in unrealized gains, and the liquidation price is at $130.5

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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⚠️ Key Events This Week

Focus: US inflation. Feb CPI Wednesday; Core PCE (Fed’s preferred gauge), GDP, JOLTS, and consumer sentiment Friday. Markets will assess inflation trendsβ€”key for rate cut timing.

🟑 Monday
● US Daylight Saving starts
NY trading opens earlier, shifting global market timing.

🟑 Tuesday
● Oracle $ORCL earnings
● Existing Home Sales
Oracle may impact enterprise tech and AI sentiment. Home sales reflect housing demand under current rates.

πŸ”΄ Wednesday
● Feb CPI – top event
CPI shapes Fed outlookβ€”markets watch for cooling or sticky inflation.

πŸ”΄ Thursday
● Jobless Claims
● Adobe $ADBE earnings
Claims indicate labor health. Adobe may signal tech and enterprise spending trends.

πŸ”΄ Friday
● Core PCE, Q4 GDP, JOLTS, Consumer Sentiment
Major data wave. Core PCE complements CPI; GDP shows growth; JOLTS and sentiment complete the macro picture.

Main focus: CPI Wednesday and Friday’s data cluster.
βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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⚑️ JUST IN: US military has been put on high alert for a ground invasion in Iran.

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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⚑️ JUST IN: G7 official says energy ministers meet Tuesday and leaders later this week, with leaders likely deciding on oil reserve releases as timing and analysis are still needed.

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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⚑️ JUST IN: Trump will review options to combat the spike in oil prices today

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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⚑️ JUST IN: Trump considers taking over Strait of Hormuz

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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Oil pumped nearly 30% intraday and erased the entire move in the same day.

One of the most violent single-day reversals the market has seen in decades.

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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When you have a gambling addiction and the therapist says i bet you can’t quit

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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A team of traders has recently launched their own private channel! Access to the channel is currently free for everyone until tomorrow. After that, the entry price will be $2,000.

Join here β€” https://t.me/+_FFiiIVP0po1ZTcy

The channel shares information from a team of traders and investors. Inside, readers will find ideas and analysis across areas such as crypto, trading, Web3, Forex, degen strategies, and venture capital.

Only 100 spots are available so the most active readers have a chance to join first.

#promo

CryptoFlash
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Trump said the US could see either a β€œfriendly takeover” of Cuba or what he described as a β€œnot a friendly takeover.”

βœ… @trading

CryptoFlash
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