β Up to $7B per day in losses from Strait of Hormuz blockade
Countries are losing up to $7B per day due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global supply chains.
The conflict with Iran is already hitting oil shipments to China. Besides Iran, China also imports large volumes from Saudi Arabia. According to FT, Saudi Arabia has around two weeks before it may need to cut oil production.
With exports restricted, Gulf producers are now filling up storage as shipments through Hormuz stall.
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CryptoFlash
Countries are losing up to $7B per day due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global supply chains.
The conflict with Iran is already hitting oil shipments to China. Besides Iran, China also imports large volumes from Saudi Arabia. According to FT, Saudi Arabia has around two weeks before it may need to cut oil production.
With exports restricted, Gulf producers are now filling up storage as shipments through Hormuz stall.
π§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π³16π€10π€·9π€8π₯°6β‘5π€©5π5π5π4π―3
π US February jobs report signals labor market cooling
The latest US labor market data came in mixed, with job growth sharply missing expectations while wage growth stayed firm.
β Nonfarm Payrolls: -92K vs +59K expected
β Unemployment rate: 4.4% vs 4.3% expected
β Average hourly earnings: +0.4% M/M vs +0.3% expected
β Average hourly earnings: +3.8% Y/Y vs +3.7% expected
Nonfarm Payrolls measure how many jobs were added or lost across the US economy, excluding farming. A negative print signals contraction in hiring.
The unemployment rate rising to 4.4% suggests the labor market is starting to soften, but wage growth remaining strong indicates inflation pressure from salaries is still present.
For markets, weaker employment with still rising wages complicates the Federal Reserveβs outlook on rate cuts.
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β @trading
CryptoFlash
The latest US labor market data came in mixed, with job growth sharply missing expectations while wage growth stayed firm.
β Nonfarm Payrolls: -92K vs +59K expected
β Unemployment rate: 4.4% vs 4.3% expected
β Average hourly earnings: +0.4% M/M vs +0.3% expected
β Average hourly earnings: +3.8% Y/Y vs +3.7% expected
Nonfarm Payrolls measure how many jobs were added or lost across the US economy, excluding farming. A negative print signals contraction in hiring.
The unemployment rate rising to 4.4% suggests the labor market is starting to soften, but wage growth remaining strong indicates inflation pressure from salaries is still present.
For markets, weaker employment with still rising wages complicates the Federal Reserveβs outlook on rate cuts.
π§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π13π11π€£10π9π9π8π7π€6π³3π3π2
Trump says "there will be no deal with Iran except unconditional surrender."
US oil prices immediately surge to a 2-year high.
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CryptoFlash
US oil prices immediately surge to a 2-year high.
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CryptoFlash
π€£27π24π14π₯°10π9π€9π€©6π6π5π2π‘2
US oil prices surge above $90/barrel, up +14% on the day, now at the highest level since October 2023.
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CryptoFlash
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β @trading
CryptoFlash
π₯22π22π15π³14πΎ14π€£13π12π10π10π¦8π6
π Stan Druckenmiller on edge, sizing, and nerve
Stan Druckenmillerβs latest interview with Morgan Stanley is worth your time. A lot of it cuts straight to how real money is made.
π Contrarianism is overrated. The crowd is right 80% of the time. Just donβt get trapped in the other 20%.
π Edge is not being right. Itβs sizing when youβre right and cutting when youβre wrong. Pure Soros playbook.
π You donβt need to understand every detail. He couldnβt spell Nvidia. He trusted smarter people on the tech and made the call.
π Volatility is not the enemy. Itβs your entry if you have conviction.
π TA and price/news signals worked until everyone learned them. Edge fades once it becomes consensus.
π Courage matters more than wisdom. He says heβs smarter now, but was a better PM in his 30s because he had more nerve.
π Scars stay. Mistakes are just moments. Move on.
π Teva sat between growth and value. Nobody wanted it. Thatβs where opportunity lives.
π Watch where the smartest young people go. He tracked Stanford kids moving from crypto to AI before it was obvious.
π Knowing something is big doesnβt mean youβll hold it perfectly. He sold Nvidia at 800. It went to 1400.
π Pattern recognition compounds. Thereβs no shortcut. Just decades of reps.
Hard to argue with 40 years of scars and sizing.
π§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
β @trading
CryptoFlash
Stan Druckenmillerβs latest interview with Morgan Stanley is worth your time. A lot of it cuts straight to how real money is made.
π Contrarianism is overrated. The crowd is right 80% of the time. Just donβt get trapped in the other 20%.
π Edge is not being right. Itβs sizing when youβre right and cutting when youβre wrong. Pure Soros playbook.
π You donβt need to understand every detail. He couldnβt spell Nvidia. He trusted smarter people on the tech and made the call.
π Volatility is not the enemy. Itβs your entry if you have conviction.
π TA and price/news signals worked until everyone learned them. Edge fades once it becomes consensus.
π Courage matters more than wisdom. He says heβs smarter now, but was a better PM in his 30s because he had more nerve.
π Scars stay. Mistakes are just moments. Move on.
π Teva sat between growth and value. Nobody wanted it. Thatβs where opportunity lives.
π Watch where the smartest young people go. He tracked Stanford kids moving from crypto to AI before it was obvious.
π Knowing something is big doesnβt mean youβll hold it perfectly. He sold Nvidia at 800. It went to 1400.
π Pattern recognition compounds. Thereβs no shortcut. Just decades of reps.
Hard to argue with 40 years of scars and sizing.
π§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π38π31π31π€©28π€£28πΎ26π22π22π20π€19π18
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π49π48π44π44π38π€37π€37π36π€·35π32π‘32
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π42π€40π€£39π37πΎ37π37π33π28π±28π€©25π22
One of the biggest misconceptions in trading is believing you need some hidden informational edge. A secret signal. A pattern nobody else has discovered.
If thatβs the game you think youβre playing, youβre competing against people with more data, more compute, and more capital than youβll ever have. Youβre not in that arena. Pretending you are is the first mistake.
The edge thatβs actually available looks different.
Itβs doing what others refuse to do. Sitting in discomfort. Absorbing volatility. Providing liquidity to the person who just wants out. Youβre not outsmarting the market in some genius way. Youβre out-tolerating other participants.
That framing isnβt exciting, but itβs honest.
The βsecret sauceβ might exist somewhere. Even if most traders found it, they still wouldnβt execute it consistently.
The better focus isnβt on what you know that others donβt.
Itβs on what you can consistently do that others wonβt.
β @trading
CryptoFlash
If thatβs the game you think youβre playing, youβre competing against people with more data, more compute, and more capital than youβll ever have. Youβre not in that arena. Pretending you are is the first mistake.
The edge thatβs actually available looks different.
Itβs doing what others refuse to do. Sitting in discomfort. Absorbing volatility. Providing liquidity to the person who just wants out. Youβre not outsmarting the market in some genius way. Youβre out-tolerating other participants.
That framing isnβt exciting, but itβs honest.
The βsecret sauceβ might exist somewhere. Even if most traders found it, they still wouldnβt execute it consistently.
The better focus isnβt on what you know that others donβt.
Itβs on what you can consistently do that others wonβt.
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π€38π37π35π34π€34π€·31π30π΄28π―25π24π‘22
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π74π€50π49β47π―45π42π42π€·40π36π€34π30
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π45π43π40π³39π37π37π±33π33π33π¨31π€£30
You're in a rush to make profits because you're in pain.
And you're in pain because you always rush.
Break this loop or keep losing money.
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CryptoFlash
And you're in pain because you always rush.
Break this loop or keep losing money.
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π21π15π11π¦9π5π4π2π₯1π1π€1π1
Someone has opened a $8,821,600 Oil short position with 5x leverage today.
Right now, he is sitting on $1,200,000 in unrealized gains, and the liquidation price is at $130.5
β @trading
CryptoFlash
Right now, he is sitting on $1,200,000 in unrealized gains, and the liquidation price is at $130.5
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π32π»22π12π7π€¬6π€©5π€5π€2π’1π1
β οΈ Key Events This Week
Focus: US inflation. Feb CPI Wednesday; Core PCE (Fedβs preferred gauge), GDP, JOLTS, and consumer sentiment Friday. Markets will assess inflation trendsβkey for rate cut timing.
π‘ Monday
β US Daylight Saving starts
NY trading opens earlier, shifting global market timing.
π‘ Tuesday
β Oracle $ORCL earnings
β Existing Home Sales
Oracle may impact enterprise tech and AI sentiment. Home sales reflect housing demand under current rates.
π΄ Wednesday
β Feb CPI β top event
CPI shapes Fed outlookβmarkets watch for cooling or sticky inflation.
π΄ Thursday
β Jobless Claims
β Adobe $ADBE earnings
Claims indicate labor health. Adobe may signal tech and enterprise spending trends.
π΄ Friday
β Core PCE, Q4 GDP, JOLTS, Consumer Sentiment
Major data wave. Core PCE complements CPI; GDP shows growth; JOLTS and sentiment complete the macro picture.
Main focus: CPI Wednesday and Fridayβs data cluster.
β @trading
CryptoFlash
Focus: US inflation. Feb CPI Wednesday; Core PCE (Fedβs preferred gauge), GDP, JOLTS, and consumer sentiment Friday. Markets will assess inflation trendsβkey for rate cut timing.
π‘ Monday
β US Daylight Saving starts
NY trading opens earlier, shifting global market timing.
π‘ Tuesday
β Oracle $ORCL earnings
β Existing Home Sales
Oracle may impact enterprise tech and AI sentiment. Home sales reflect housing demand under current rates.
π΄ Wednesday
β Feb CPI β top event
CPI shapes Fed outlookβmarkets watch for cooling or sticky inflation.
π΄ Thursday
β Jobless Claims
β Adobe $ADBE earnings
Claims indicate labor health. Adobe may signal tech and enterprise spending trends.
π΄ Friday
β Core PCE, Q4 GDP, JOLTS, Consumer Sentiment
Major data wave. Core PCE complements CPI; GDP shows growth; JOLTS and sentiment complete the macro picture.
Main focus: CPI Wednesday and Fridayβs data cluster.
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π25π€£10π₯°9π9π8β7π¦6πΎ4π€4π3π1
β‘οΈ JUST IN: US military has been put on high alert for a ground invasion in Iran.
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CryptoFlash
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π20π€16π¦14π€13π10π8π€8π©8π7π4π1
β‘οΈ JUST IN: G7 official says energy ministers meet Tuesday and leaders later this week, with leaders likely deciding on oil reserve releases as timing and analysis are still needed.
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CryptoFlash
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π29π€22π17β€16π―14π13π¨13π12π€£12π10π8
β‘οΈ JUST IN: Trump will review options to combat the spike in oil prices today
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CryptoFlash
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π€£53π40π25π24π21π21π20π19π€©18π€18π17
π₯42π37π33π32π28π28π27β‘25π³24π€23π16
Oil pumped nearly 30% intraday and erased the entire move in the same day.
One of the most violent single-day reversals the market has seen in decades.
β @trading
CryptoFlash
One of the most violent single-day reversals the market has seen in decades.
β @trading
CryptoFlash
π―35π35π΄32π27π26π‘26π€£24π€©23π22π21π€·20
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When you have a gambling addiction and the therapist says i bet you canβt quit
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CryptoFlash
β @trading
CryptoFlash
β‘31π₯8π8π7π³3π2
A team of traders has recently launched their own private channel! Access to the channel is currently free for everyone until tomorrow. After that, the entry price will be $2,000.
Join here β https://t.me/+_FFiiIVP0po1ZTcy
The channel shares information from a team of traders and investors. Inside, readers will find ideas and analysis across areas such as crypto, trading, Web3, Forex, degen strategies, and venture capital.
Only 100 spots are available so the most active readers have a chance to join first.
#promo
CryptoFlash
Join here β https://t.me/+_FFiiIVP0po1ZTcy
The channel shares information from a team of traders and investors. Inside, readers will find ideas and analysis across areas such as crypto, trading, Web3, Forex, degen strategies, and venture capital.
Only 100 spots are available so the most active readers have a chance to join first.
#promo
CryptoFlash
π27π€24π16π¨7π―5π3πΎ2