⚡️ BREAKING: Iran operatives made offer to discuss terms for ending war.


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CryptoFlash

📈 Extreme debt cycles and gold’s role

Periods of extreme debt have historically coincided with rising geopolitical tension. That pattern has repeated across major global turning points.

If deglobalization is structural rather than temporary, portfolio construction shifts with it. Politically neutral hard assets move from tactical exposure to core allocation.


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CryptoFlash

⚡️ JUST IN: Iran has denied reports that it contacted the U.S. for talks.


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CryptoFlash

🇺🇸 US services PMI hits highest level since 2022

US ISM Services PMI came in at 56.1, well above the 53.5 forecast and the highest reading since 2022.

At the same time, the Prices Paid index dropped to 63, the lowest level in 11 months.

ISM PMI is based on surveys of purchasing managers. Readings above 50 signal expansion in economic activity.

Strong activity with cooling price pressure is the combination markets like to see.


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CryptoFlash

⚡️ JUST IN: Pentagon to ask Congress for $50 billion in additional funding for the conflict with Iran.


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CryptoFlash

⚡️ BREAKING: Trump officially nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair


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CryptoFlash

If you’d bought $TRUMP for $100 on the morning of January 17, 2025, by that same evening you’d already have $20,000.

Just think about it: you buy coins for $100 in the morning, and by evening that $100 has become $20,000. Pretty nice, right?

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CryptoFlash

Hedge fund dudes will have setups like these just to underperform the S&P by double digits


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CryptoFlash

GM


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⚡️ BREAKING: Iran hits large US oil tanker close to Kuwait.


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CryptoFlash

⚡️ JUST IN: Iran says it is ready to abandon its nuclear program on condition that the U.S. presents a satisfactory alternative offer.


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CryptoFlash

📊 Stocks vs inflation over the last 50 years

A simple long-term comparison puts inflation and equities into perspective.

Over the past 50 years:

⚪️ US inflation (CPI): up 6x
⚪️ S&P 500 dividends: up 21x
⚪️ S&P 500 total return: up 265x

The takeaway is straightforward. Over long periods, equities have historically outpaced inflation by a wide margin.

Time in the market tends to do the heavy lifting.


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CryptoFlash

📊 US jobless claims come in below expectations

Initial US jobless claims totaled 213,000, slightly below the 215,000 expected.

Jobless claims track how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during the week.

Lower readings usually signal a stronger labor market, since fewer workers are losing jobs.


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CryptoFlash

⚡️ JUST IN: Donald Trump said the U.S. should help shape Iran’s leadership.

He warned against a hard-line successor such as Mojtaba Khamenei.

He says Iran needs a leader who brings “harmony and peace.”


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CryptoFlash

⚡️ Trump: People are loving what's happening... Cuba is going to fall too.


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CryptoFlash

⚡️ JUST IN: The Trump Administration is preparing a rule that would restrict AI chip shipments globally without US approval.


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CryptoFlash

Trading is 1% strategy and 99% not losing your mind when the 1% hits SL.


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CryptoFlash

❕ Up to $7B per day in losses from Strait of Hormuz blockade

Countries are losing up to $7B per day due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global supply chains.

The conflict with Iran is already hitting oil shipments to China. Besides Iran, China also imports large volumes from Saudi Arabia. According to FT, Saudi Arabia has around two weeks before it may need to cut oil production.

With exports restricted, Gulf producers are now filling up storage as shipments through Hormuz stall.


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CryptoFlash

📊 US February jobs report signals labor market cooling

The latest US labor market data came in mixed, with job growth sharply missing expectations while wage growth stayed firm.

● Nonfarm Payrolls: -92K vs +59K expected
● Unemployment rate: 4.4% vs 4.3% expected
● Average hourly earnings: +0.4% M/M vs +0.3% expected
● Average hourly earnings: +3.8% Y/Y vs +3.7% expected

Nonfarm Payrolls measure how many jobs were added or lost across the US economy, excluding farming. A negative print signals contraction in hiring.

The unemployment rate rising to 4.4% suggests the labor market is starting to soften, but wage growth remaining strong indicates inflation pressure from salaries is still present.

For markets, weaker employment with still rising wages complicates the Federal Reserve’s outlook on rate cuts.


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CryptoFlash

Trump says "there will be no deal with Iran except unconditional surrender."

US oil prices immediately surge to a 2-year high.


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CryptoFlash

US oil prices surge above $90/barrel, up +14% on the day, now at the highest level since October 2023.


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CryptoFlash