U.S. Dollar on track for its biggest 2-day gain since September 2022


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CryptoFlash

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⚡️ TRUMP: We have a 5 month period to go at 15% tariffs.


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⚡️ JUST IN: US considers military protection for tankers in Strait of Hormuz


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Accept this uncomfortable truth:

You don’t blow accounts because you can’t trade.

You blow accounts because part of you enjoys the intensity.

Once you feel pain, you switch into reckless mode instead of disciplined mode.

The rush.
The all in feeling.

That’s the addiction layer.

And you beat addiction with limits, not willpower.


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⚡️ The US has begun another military operation, this time targeting drug cartels in Ecuador

US Southern Command said that on March 3, Ecuadorian and US forces started joint operations against what they described as terrorist organizations.

Another front opens in Washington’s security campaign.


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⚡️ BREAKING: Iran operatives made offer to discuss terms for ending war.


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📈 Extreme debt cycles and gold’s role

Periods of extreme debt have historically coincided with rising geopolitical tension. That pattern has repeated across major global turning points.

If deglobalization is structural rather than temporary, portfolio construction shifts with it. Politically neutral hard assets move from tactical exposure to core allocation.


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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran has denied reports that it contacted the U.S. for talks.


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🇺🇸 US services PMI hits highest level since 2022

US ISM Services PMI came in at 56.1, well above the 53.5 forecast and the highest reading since 2022.

At the same time, the Prices Paid index dropped to 63, the lowest level in 11 months.

ISM PMI is based on surveys of purchasing managers. Readings above 50 signal expansion in economic activity.

Strong activity with cooling price pressure is the combination markets like to see.


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⚡️ JUST IN: Pentagon to ask Congress for $50 billion in additional funding for the conflict with Iran.


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⚡️ BREAKING: Trump officially nominates Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair


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If you’d bought $TRUMP for $100 on the morning of January 17, 2025, by that same evening you’d already have $20,000.

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CryptoFlash

Hedge fund dudes will have setups like these just to underperform the S&P by double digits


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GM


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⚡️ BREAKING: Iran hits large US oil tanker close to Kuwait.


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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran says it is ready to abandon its nuclear program on condition that the U.S. presents a satisfactory alternative offer.


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📊 Stocks vs inflation over the last 50 years

A simple long-term comparison puts inflation and equities into perspective.

Over the past 50 years:

⚪️ US inflation (CPI): up 6x
⚪️ S&P 500 dividends: up 21x
⚪️ S&P 500 total return: up 265x

The takeaway is straightforward. Over long periods, equities have historically outpaced inflation by a wide margin.

Time in the market tends to do the heavy lifting.


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📊 US jobless claims come in below expectations

Initial US jobless claims totaled 213,000, slightly below the 215,000 expected.

Jobless claims track how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during the week.

Lower readings usually signal a stronger labor market, since fewer workers are losing jobs.


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⚡️ JUST IN: Donald Trump said the U.S. should help shape Iran’s leadership.

He warned against a hard-line successor such as Mojtaba Khamenei.

He says Iran needs a leader who brings “harmony and peace.”


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⚡️ Trump: People are loving what's happening... Cuba is going to fall too.


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