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πŸ’Έ Japan Just Killed the Global Money Printer

Japan’s bond yield hit 1.71 percent, the highest since 2008. Sounds small, but this number is shaking global markets more than most people realize. The country spent decades flooding the world with near-free money, and that flow just flipped.

πŸ”Š Japan used to pump trillions into global bonds, keeping mortgages cheap and markets inflated

πŸ”Š Rising yields turned the math upside down, adding billions in interest to Japan’s own debt

πŸ”Š Japanese pension funds are now selling US Treasuries instead of buying

πŸ”Š The yen carry trade is unwinding and forcing leveraged positions to close

πŸ”Š Higher US yields risk hitting stocks, emerging markets and corporate credit

If Japan keeps tightening in December, markets won’t shrug it off. The world relied on Japanese liquidity for years, and that cushion is disappearing fast. This shift won’t stay under the radar for long.

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β˜„οΈ See The Market, Seize The Future

πŸ’‘ Multidimensional, reality-based analysis grounded in discipline, capital management, and risk control

πŸ•― reading market structure across forex, crypto, and commodities.

πŸ“± @neximarketfinancial

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JUST IN: Trump has announced that tariff dividends will be distributed by the middle of 2026.

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JUST IN: Japan's economy contracted by an annualized 1.8% in Q3 2025, the first decline in six quarters following a 2.3% expansion in the previous period. The downturn was primarily driven by reductions in private residential investment and exports due to new factors.

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JUST IN: Bitcoin has dipped below $91,000 for the first time since April 22, reflecting a 28% drop from its all-time high. In the last seven days, total cryptocurrency liquidations have surpassed $5 billion in losses.

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Most traders are chasing profitability when they should be chasing consistency.

Profits don’t build consistency, but consistency builds profits.

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πŸ’£ Amazon Raises 12B To Fuel Its AI Buildout

Amazon is joining the biggest debt binge in tech history as companies race to build AI data centers before borrowing costs rise.

The Amazon numbers:

πŸ”Š 125B projected capex for 2025, up from 89.9B through Q3
πŸ”Š Six tranche offering with maturities up to forty years, AA minus rated
πŸ”Š Pricing around 115 bps over Treasuries with spreads sitting near the historic low of 81 bps

Tech firms borrowed 75B in September and October 2025 which is more than double the annual average of the past decade. Meta’s October sale pulled in 125B in orders for 30B in debt which shows massive investor appetite.

JPMorgan expects tech to borrow 252B in 2026 which would push total US corporate issuance to a record 1.81T.

Tech companies are locking in cheap debt now because the infrastructure demands are only getting heavier.

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πŸ“‰ Unusual market signal from the selloff

US stocks led the move down, but the usual safety flows never showed up. Neither the dollar nor Treasuries reacted the way they normally do in risk-off.

πŸ”Š EM equities outperformed while US equities dragged

πŸ”Š This behavior looks more like an emerging-market dynamic inside the US market

πŸ”Š The EM vs US ratio is bouncing from deeply undervalued levels

The message is simple: this shift is worth watching. Moves like this tend to repeat, not disappear.

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JUST IN: The Dow has prolonged its five-day decline to nearly 2,000 points, as the market selloff expands beyond cryptocurrencies. This seems like a typical correction in equities, but Nvidia's earnings release tomorrow could alter the trajectory.

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JUST IN: The CBOE Volatility Index has climbed above 25.63, signaling heightened market uncertainty.

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JUST IN: The cryptocurrency market has rebounded into positive territory, with Bitcoin nearing $94,000 just hours after dropping below $90,000 for the first time in seven months.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump announced that Saudi Arabia has agreed to invest $600 billion in the U.S., adding that the figure could increase.

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JUST IN: The Saudi Crown Prince has announced plans to boost investments in the U.S. up to $1 trillion.

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JUST IN: Trump has begun conducting interviews for the Fed Chair position and indicated that he already knows his preferred choice.

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JUST IN: Japan's 40-year government bond yield has surged to a record high of 3.697%, as markets anticipate further stimulus.

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🧾 New SF Fed study flips the tariff narrative

A 150-year review of US tariff policy shows a surprising pattern: tariffs push inflation up in the short term, but the recessionary drag that follows is stronger and ends up pulling inflation down over a 1–3 year window.

πŸ”Š Tariffs are both inflationary and recessionary

πŸ”Š The recessionary effect dominates over time, lowering inflation

πŸ”Š This aligns with what 2025 data already shows

πŸ”Š These findings could influence upcoming FOMC decisions

Markets love simple narratives, but this one isn’t that simple. Tariffs may push prices up at first, but the slowdown they trigger ends up mattering a lot more for the Fed.

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⚑️ Nvidia’s Valuation vs The Entire US Energy Sector

Nvidia is now worth almost three times more than the whole US energy sector, yet it doesn’t generate more free cash flow.

Over the past year, the combined free cash flow of energy companies in the S&P 500 came in about twenty percent higher than Nvidia’s.

πŸ”Š Nvidia market cap around 4.6T
πŸ”Š US energy sector around 1.7T
πŸ”Š Energy sector free cash flow roughly 898B
πŸ”Š Nvidia free cash flow around 728B

Tech keeps rewriting the rules, but the chart is a reminder that real infrastructure still powers everything underneath the AI boom.

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JUST IN: Donald Trump shared quotes from Nvidia founder Jensen Huang about the start of Blackwell production, emphasizing that AI was invented, made, and built in America for the world. Huang noted that after less than a year, the company is now manufacturing its most advanced chips.

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JUST IN: US and Russian officials are drafting a new peace plan for Ukraine, according to the Financial Times.

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JUST IN: President Trump says $270 billion worth of agreements are being signed with β€œdozens of companies” today.

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JUST IN: The US Labor Department announces that it is CANCELLING the October jobs report.

For the first time since 2013, we will not be receiving a monthly jobs report.

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