Even if ChatGPT admitted that it doesn’t know the answer just 30 percent of the time, users could quickly become frustrated and move on, Xing argued.

“Users accustomed to receiving confident answers to virtually any question would likely abandon such systems rapidly,” the researcher wrote.

“The NRA unequivocally believes that all law-abiding citizens have a right to keep and bear arms anywhere they have a legal right to be,” the NRA said on Jan. 27.

“The President is simply wrong,” Dudley Brown, president of the National Association for Gun Rights, said in a statement.

The missing piece is the distinction between a market that observes reality and a market that instigates it.
The criticism is about the systemic risk of converting prediction markets into “Assassination Markets”—mechanisms where the payout is not a reward for foresight, but a bounty for action.