OTAS: operational thinking against the state
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trying to do the impossible task of thinking strategically and tactically about revolt against the ruling order

(for academic purposes only)
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"You can be sure of succeeding in your attacks if you only attack places which are undefended.
You can ensure the safety of your defense if you only hold positions that cannot be attacked.
Hence that general is skillful in attack whose opponent does not know what to defend; and he is skillful in defense whose opponent does not know what to attack.
O divine art of subtlety and secrecy! Through you we learn to be invisible, through you inaudible; and hence we can hold the enemy's fate in our hands."—Sun Tzu, The Art of War
Using tech out of sync with the contemporary and conventional methods of war can sometimes give you an advantage. Like an old style radar picking up stealth planes or balloons bypassing billion dollar missile defense systems.
In the US context it’s going to take a lot more than guns to have any sort of successful insurgency but that more is not better military tech, that more is social. Guns and their application have in fact been a hinderance, see Seattle and Atlanta last summer as examples. Of course it’s also not just guns, but the culture around them that adds to this, but it is also true that the escalation to certain arenas of arms away from low intensity and logistics based conflict does enter a realm where the state has the advantage.

Of course in the US guns and cars are important elements to consider and certainly aren’t something that should never be deployed. The capacity for armed self defense is a need for many. This of course should come with proper training, but not create specialized security. Of course more often than not neo-nazis are shooting each other, but that doesn’t mean they won’t attack people in the street or in their homes. And it’s not just neo-nazis who are armed, but more common reactionaries too.
Belarus: “When We Rise”

https://cwc.im/WhenWeRise

Anarchists who participated in the 2020 revolt in Belarus discuss its strengths and weaknesses—and why the regime and its liberal opposition were able to prevent it from toppling the dictatorship.

An invaluable analysis from the front lines.
Forwarded from Revolutionary Toolbox
FM_34_2_1_Reconaissance_and_Surveillance_and_Intelligence_Support.pdf
6.1 MB
FM 34-2-1 Reconnaissance and Surveillance and Intelligence Support to Counterreconnaissance
Published 19 June 1991

"Throughout history, military leaders have recognized the importance of R&S (reconnaissance and surveillance). Gaining and maintaining contact with the enemy is essential to win the battle. Our own military history contains many examples where our knowledge of the enemy, or lack of knowledge, directly led to victory or defeat.

The role of R&S has not changed on the modern battlefield; if anything, it has become even more important. Battles at combat training centers prove that a good R&S effort is critical to successful attacks. On the other hand, a poor R&S effort almost guarantees defeat for the commander[...]

The message is clear: Success on the battlefield begins with R&S and R&S begins with the intelligence officer..."

Source: Radical Defense (link)

#intelligence #sabotage #link #document #book #tactics #strategy #security
OTAS: operational thinking against the state
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This is how the US Military thinks conventional insurgencies work. Take it with a grain of salt if course, but for groups that have gone clandestine and are looking to influence local politics this could be a trajectory. Maybe you can make your own similar chart renaming some of the projectualities?