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πŸ“ˆWe track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives.
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πŸ’± Fed Rate Hike Odds Rise for July Meeting

There is now a 25% chance the Fed will raise rates at the July 29th meeting.

Markets began the year expecting 2 rate cuts by then. The "higher for longer" outlook is back.

βœ…@futures
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⚑️ JUST IN: Crypto sees $450 million in levered long positions liquidated within 60 minutes.

During the sell-off, Bitcoin dropped to $58,000, marking a new 21-month low.

βœ…@futures
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⚑️ JUST IN: Iran proposes charging service fees for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, with revenue shared among Gulf countries.

Iran estimates these fees could generate around $40 billion annually.

βœ…@futures
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The stock market has reached an even more extreme level than during the dot-com crash, with top stocks now making up 45% of the S&P 500, up from 27% back then.

βœ…@futures
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⚑️ JUST IN: Iran has attacked a Singapore-flagged cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, according to US officials.

The incident occurred near the coast of Oman following warnings from the Iranian Navy for ships to avoid routes through Hormuz without Iranian approval.

βœ…@futures
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All the successful day traders that I know have been through hell and back.

They have been in positions where 95% of people would have quit.

Years of blown accounts, high stress, pain and suffering.

However, this is what builds the character required to be a successful trader.


βœ…@futures
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πŸ’° AI Is Starting To Hit Consumer Prices

The cost of AI infrastructure is no longer affecting just tech companies. It's starting to reach consumers.

Apple has raised prices across several MacBook and iPad models after surging memory chip costs. At the same time, Microsoft announced higher prices for Xbox consoles, citing the same reason.

β€’ MacBook Air: $1,099 β†’ $1,299
β€’ MacBook Pro: $1,699 β†’ $1,999
β€’ iPad Air: $599 β†’ $749
β€’ iPad Pro: $999 β†’ $1,199

Microsoft also increased Xbox prices by up to $150, with the Series X now starting at $799.

As demand for AI hardware keeps pushing memory and chip prices higher, consumers are beginning to pay the bill.

βœ…@futures
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πŸ“ˆ Micron 's Market Value Surges to $1.3 Trillion

Micron ($MU) was valued at $60 billion with $8.1 billion quarterly revenue 15 months ago.

Now it’s worth $1.3 trillion and generates $41.5 billion quarterly.

Such rapid growth is rare.

βœ…@futures
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⚑️ JUST IN: Trump accuses Iran of a "foolish violation" of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement after Iran fired at least four one-way attack drones at ships in the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump condemned the drone attacks as a breach of the ceasefire deal between the two countries.

βœ…@futures
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⚑️ JUST IN: Trump announces 100% tariff on all imports from countries that impose digital services tax on American firms.

βœ…@futures
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Forwarded from Venture Capital
❕ Morgan Stanley and Others Limit Withdrawals Amid Rising Redemptions

Morgan Stanley is restricting withdrawals from its $7 billion North Haven Private Income Fund after 11.6% of investors sought redemptions this quarter, up slightly from before.

The bank is fulfilling only about 43% of requests.

Apollo paused withdrawals from a large private credit fund after redemption requests hit $2.4 billion (16.8%), imposing a 5% quarterly cap.

Partners Group, with an $8.6 billion fund, limited withdrawals after requests surged to 9.8%, nearly double its limit. The Swiss firm’s shares fell 13% in Zurich.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust issued a $343 million loan tied to a June 9 default on a Chicago skyscraper. The 2018 loan included about $159 million in commercial mortgage-backed securities.

Redemption gates are often an early sign that stress is spreading through the financial system.


βœ”οΈ @venture
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⚑️ JUST IN: US Military has conducted new strikes near the Strait of Hormuz.

This is the first US strike in the region since the signing of the β€œMemorandum of Understanding.”

βœ…@futures
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Trump announces new US military strikes on Iran and warns Iran will no longer exist if the US can no longer be reasonable.

βœ…@futures
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How it feels to check TradingView instead of scroll social media in the morning:

βœ…@futures
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Trump unveiled the design of the new US passport.

βœ…@futures
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