US Treasuries have posted an average annual inflation-adjusted return of -3% over the last 10 years, the worst since the 1980s.
The S&P 500 returned +12% annually in real terms over the same period, the widest stock-bond gap since the 1960s.
Sustained negative real Treasury returns happened only in the 1910s, 1940s, and 1970s-80s, all with inflation sometimes above 10%.
Current deficit spending and inflation remain out of control.
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Never enter a βletβs see what happensβ trade.
Every trade taken should come from conviction.
Not about the trade outcome, but the pre-planned process leading to you taking the trade.
β
@futures
Every trade taken should come from conviction.
Not about the trade outcome, but the pre-planned process leading to you taking the trade.
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JPMorgan Chase's director of diversity, equity, and inclusion lost her job after a video surfaced showing her stealing a public trash bin during a New York Knicks victory parade.
The footage shows 40-year-old Angie Baez dumping trash from a limited-edition blue and orange bin onto a Manhattan sidewalk before taking the container with her. Witnesses later spotted her on the subway carrying the stolen bin.
JPMorgan Chase quickly responded, conducting an internal investigation and confirming that Baez is no longer employed by the company.
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He adds, "The only crop we're harvesting is what you planted: decades of mistrust. It's organic, abundant, and homegrown."
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Core PCE inflation increased to 3.4%, the highest since October 2023.
Inflation is now running at more than double the Fed's 2.0% target.
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There is now a 25% chance the Fed will raise rates at the July 29th meeting.
Markets began the year expecting 2 rate cuts by then. The "higher for longer" outlook is back.
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During the sell-off, Bitcoin dropped to $58,000, marking a new 21-month low.
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Iran estimates these fees could generate around $40 billion annually.
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The stock market has reached an even more extreme level than during the dot-com crash, with top stocks now making up 45% of the S&P 500, up from 27% back then.
β
@futures
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The incident occurred near the coast of Oman following warnings from the Iranian Navy for ships to avoid routes through Hormuz without Iranian approval.
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All the successful day traders that I know have been through hell and back.
They have been in positions where 95% of people would have quit.
Years of blown accounts, high stress, pain and suffering.
However, this is what builds the character required to be a successful trader.
β
@futures
They have been in positions where 95% of people would have quit.
Years of blown accounts, high stress, pain and suffering.
However, this is what builds the character required to be a successful trader.
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The cost of AI infrastructure is no longer affecting just tech companies. It's starting to reach consumers.
Apple has raised prices across several MacBook and iPad models after surging memory chip costs. At the same time, Microsoft announced higher prices for Xbox consoles, citing the same reason.
β’ MacBook Air: $1,099 β $1,299
β’ MacBook Pro: $1,699 β $1,999
β’ iPad Air: $599 β $749
β’ iPad Pro: $999 β $1,199
Microsoft also increased Xbox prices by up to $150, with the Series X now starting at $799.
As demand for AI hardware keeps pushing memory and chip prices higher, consumers are beginning to pay the bill.
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Micron ($MU) was valued at $60 billion with $8.1 billion quarterly revenue 15 months ago.
Now itβs worth $1.3 trillion and generates $41.5 billion quarterly.
Such rapid growth is rare.
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Trump condemned the drone attacks as a breach of the ceasefire deal between the two countries.
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Forwarded from Venture Capital
Morgan Stanley is restricting withdrawals from its $7 billion North Haven Private Income Fund after 11.6% of investors sought redemptions this quarter, up slightly from before.
The bank is fulfilling only about 43% of requests.
Apollo paused withdrawals from a large private credit fund after redemption requests hit $2.4 billion (16.8%), imposing a 5% quarterly cap.
Partners Group, with an $8.6 billion fund, limited withdrawals after requests surged to 9.8%, nearly double its limit. The Swiss firmβs shares fell 13% in Zurich.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust issued a $343 million loan tied to a June 9 default on a Chicago skyscraper. The 2018 loan included about $159 million in commercial mortgage-backed securities.
Redemption gates are often an early sign that stress is spreading through the financial system.
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