Forwarded from Venture Capital
Some of the highest-quality businesses in the world are sitting at the cheapest multiples in YEARS.
βοΈ @venture
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While everyone is debating whether the AI trade is over, institutions just poured a record $4.7 billion into semiconductor ETFs in a single week.
Do you understand how crazy this is?
β
@futures
Do you understand how crazy this is?
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US issues Iran a general license for oil trade through August 21
The US has authorized the production, delivery, and sale of Iranian-origin oil, petrochemical, and petroleum products until August 21. This marks the official return of Iranian oil to global markets for the first time since 2018.
β
@futures
The US has authorized the production, delivery, and sale of Iranian-origin oil, petrochemical, and petroleum products until August 21. This marks the official return of Iranian oil to global markets for the first time since 2018.
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SpaceX shares fell nearly 50% from their record highs on June 16, losing 10.5% today and cutting market cap by over $250 billion.
β
@futures
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Your biggest winning streak and your biggest losing streak can come from the exact same strategy.
Think about it.
β
@futures
Think about it.
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In May, 26 central banks hiked rates and 26 cut rates among 52 worldwide, ending two years of more cuts than hikes each month.
The last balance was in early 2021 before three years of restrictive policy. The gap peaked mid-2022, with 28 more hikes than cuts.
Last week, the European Central Bank raised rates by 25 basis points to 2.25%, its first hike since September 2023. On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 basis points to 1.0%, the highest since 1995.
These moves signal the start of a global tightening cycle.
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π35π13π±12β€7π€4π1
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Negative correlation between US stocks and government bond yields is rapidly increasing, indicating rising sensitivity of stocks to rate hike expectations.
Traders are actively betting on a Fed rate hike this year, according to BBG.
β
@futures
Traders are actively betting on a Fed rate hike this year, according to BBG.
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$1 trillion erased from the stock market today as the dollar index $DXY hits a 13-month high.
β
@futures
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You donβt need to catch every move.
You need to wait for your setup.
Most losses come from trying to force a trade that was never there.
β
@futures
You need to wait for your setup.
Most losses come from trying to force a trade that was never there.
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A separate Israeli report claims Qatar has quietly expanded economic and military cooperation with Iran since 2018, and a formal regional security framework excluding Washington would mark a major shift in the Gulf's stance.
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US Dollar Index (DXY) continues strengthening against global currencies after months of consolidation at a long-term support level.
β
@futures
Dollar strength usually signals "risk-off" sentiment in risky assets like stocks and crypto.
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Michael Saylor is on track to become the first CEO ever to experience a 99% stock collapse twice in one career.
β
@futures
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He adds he will release Iranian funds to US farmers and ranchers and that food, urgently needed in Iran, will be bought exclusively from the United States.
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