⚠️ Key Events This Week

The week is centered around US labor data. JOLTS, ADP, and the Jobs Report all land within a few days, putting the labor market in focus.

🟡 Tuesday

● March JOLTS Job Openings
● April ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

JOLTS shows labor demand across the economy. ISM services reflects activity in the largest sector. Together they give a read on growth and hiring momentum.

🔴 Wednesday

● April ADP Nonfarm Employment

ADP provides an early signal ahead of the official jobs report. Markets use it to adjust expectations on labor strength.

🔴 Friday

● April Jobs Report

The main release of the week. Payrolls, unemployment, and wages will shape expectations for Fed policy and overall market direction.

Main focus: Friday’s jobs report and the broader labor trend.

A heavy schedule of Fed speakers and a large share of S&P 500 earnings add to volatility, while headlines around Iran can still influence oil and risk sentiment.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Two missiles hit a U.S. warship near Jask Island after it ignored Iran warnings, according to Iran's Fars News Agency.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Two U.S.-flagged merchant vessels have successfully transited through the Strait of Hormuz, Trump said.

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Berkshire Hathaway reports record $397 billion cash balance.

The company sold a net $8.1 billion in stocks last quarter, marking its 14th consecutive net quarterly sale.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Strait of Hormuz is completely closed, says IRGC.

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⚡️ JUST IN: US announces it has eliminated six Iranian small boaters attempting to interfere with commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

The US said the Iranian boats were trying to disrupt commercial vessels in the strategic waterway.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump issues statement after new Iranian drone attacks on Gulf countries.

Trump responded to the recent escalation involving Iranian drones targeting nations in the Gulf region.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump calls Fed Chair Powell a "disaster for America" and says interest rates are too high.

The 10Y Note Yield is approaching 4.50%, while the average rate for a new 30Y mortgage has risen above 6.5%.

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🛒 GameStop Offers $56B to Buy eBay

GameStop has proposed acquiring eBay for $56 billion, offering $125 per share.

GameStop shares have been meme-driven, rising on news like its Bitcoin purchase. Now it aims to buy the struggling eBay.

eBay trades at a 20% premium to the market.
GameStop, worth about $12 billion, is trying to buy a company roughly five times its size and has acquired 5% of eBay shares.

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📉 Hedge Funds Slash US Tech Exposure Sharply

Hedge funds posted their largest two-week cut in US tech exposure this decade, excluding early 2021 meme stock moves.

Long sales outpaced short covers by 1.5 to 1.

Nearly all subsectors fell, led by Semiconductors and Semi Equipment.

Hedge funds also sold Magnificent 7 stocks in four of five recent sessions, locking in big tech profits.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Hegseth says Iran ceasefire remains in effect.

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⚡️ JUST IN: US job openings reached 6.866 million in March, exceeding the 6.835 million estimate.

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⚡️ JUST IN: US services activity rose to 51.0 in April, below the 51.3 forecast and above the 49.8 prior reading.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump administration warned Iran ahead of a planned US operation to guide ships through the Strait of Hormuz, with officials saying Trump could order a resumption of war later this week if talks stall.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump said Iran knows what not to do, all eight of its small boats are gone, and none have passed through the Hormuz blockade.

He added Iran respects the US more than ever, unlike before, and declined to say if the US will arm Iranian civilians.

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🧾 What “national debt” actually means

This is not a credit card bill that a country has to pay off tomorrow. It’s the total amount a government has borrowed over time to fund spending beyond its tax income.

In practice, it works through bonds. Governments issue debt, investors buy it, and in return they get interest. That includes banks, funds, pension systems, and often the country’s own central bank.

The key point is not the size alone, but who holds it and how manageable it is. Strong economies can carry large debt because there is constant demand for their bonds and trust in their system.

So the number itself looks scary, but the real question is always the same: can they keep rolling it and servicing it without breaking confidence.

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⚡️ JUST IN: US and Iran near 14-point memorandum of understanding to end Iran War

US and Iran are close to finalizing a 14-point memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the Iran War and establishing a framework for a detailed nuclear deal. The agreement would include Iran committing to a moratorium on uranium enrichment lasting 12-15 years.

In return, the US would lift sanctions and release billions in frozen Iranian funds. Both sides would also remove restrictions on transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The deal would mark an end to the war and initiate a 30-day negotiation period for further details.

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