Trade Watcher
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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place.

😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it.

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Tesla ($TSLA) is set to release its earnings report within the hour (20:00–20:30 UTC), with the earnings call scheduled for 21:30 UTC.

• Options are pricing in 8.8% implied volatility
• Traders are anticipating a strong market reaction
• All eyes on guidance, margins, and AI-related updates


Volatility is expected to spike regardless of the direction.

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The U.S. is close to reaching deals with Japan and India to avoid massive tariffs.

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Google has pushed back against a DOJ proposal to split the company, arguing it would harm innovation and weaken the U.S. in its tech race with China. The case stems from an antitrust trial where Google was deemed a monopoly in search.

The DOJ wants Chrome spun off and search data opened up to rivals. Google warns this could undermine cybersecurity, raise costs, and hurt U.S. AI leadership. The trial runs through May 9, with a verdict expected in August. Google plans to appeal.

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Trump Softens Tone on China, Signals Deal Is Coming

Donald Trump has sharply dialed back his rhetoric on China, signaling a more optimistic outlook on trade relations.

• A deal with China “will be reached”
• China “will be happy” with the outcome
• Final tariffs won’t hit 145%, but won’t drop to zero either
• Talks are going well with China and “almost all countries”
• Tariffs will ultimately benefit the US — “everyone will win”

A notable shift ahead of key economic and election milestones.

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Markets Fully Rebound After Sharp Drop

Global markets have erased their previous losses in a dramatic recovery.

• The stock market regained $1.5 trillion in market cap — exactly what was lost the day before
• The crypto market also bounced, adding $120 billion in value
• Sentiment flipped rapidly as investors rushed back in

A sharp V-shaped recovery across both equities and crypto.

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The current market is a picture of total uncertainty:

• Stocks are falling — as if the trade war is escalating.
• The dollar is dropping — as if trade deals are near.
• Oil prices are declining — as if rate cuts are off the table.
• Gold is rising — as if rate cuts are imminent.
• Tech stocks are slumping — as if a recession is starting.
• Bond yields are climbing — as if the economy is strong.

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Forwarded from Crypto Insider
Two wallets likely owned by the same whale have opened short positions on Bitcoin with 6x leverage at entry points of $92,469.1 and $92,664.8.

Combined position size reaches $74.5M with liquidation prices at $107,220 and $107,160 respectively.

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Trump Reverses Course on Powell: “Never Planned to Fire Him”

• Apr 7 — Trump: Powell is “slow”
• Apr 14 — Bessent: Trump administration is looking for Powell’s replacement
• Apr 17 — Trump: Powell will leave
• Apr 19 — Trump: reviewing whether Powell can be fired
• Apr 21 — Trump: Powell is “the ultimate loser”
• Today — Trump: No intention to fire Powell. Never planned to do so

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Bitcoin is becoming a hedge against systemic risks.

In a new report, Standard Chartered says Bitcoin is regaining its status as a defensive asset amid growing concerns over the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

According to the bank's head of digital assets, Geoffrey Kendrick, Bitcoin now serves a dual purpose:

• As a tech-linked risk asset
• And as protection against financial shocks — both in the private and public sectors

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BREAKING: China tariffs likely coming down to between 50% and 65%, per WSJ

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According to the IMF, the global ranking of economies looks different when measured by PPP rather than nominal GDP.

• PPP adjusts for price levels and inflation
• It reflects real purchasing power within each country
• A more accurate measure of what people can actually afford in local terms

This method offers a clearer view of living standards and economic weight across nations.

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$TSLA — Musk’s Doge Exit Marks End of “Dark Chapter”

Wedbush analysts see Elon Musk’s renewed focus on Tesla as a key turning point after a turbulent quarter.

• Musk stated during the earnings call that his Trump-related role is winding down
• Analysts call this an “off-ramp” from recent brand damage and political chaos
• Tesla now has a chance to reset after months of distraction
• Wedbush expects Musk to spend little to no time on DOGE moving forward

A potential clean break as Tesla tries to regain momentum.

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Over the past 7 days, several insider wallets bought $TRUMP, Wintermute was also buying and selling, and they’re still holding 151K tokens at the moment. Interesting to see what happens with the price ahead of tomorrow’s $318M unlock. 🫡 Powered by V3V Ventures
$TRUMP +25% after Trump announces a dinner party for the top 220 token holders.

This is what real Access Utility looks like.

So… what were you saying about unlocks being bearish?

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Over the last 24 hours:

1. Trump says tariffs on China won’t be as high as 145% and “will come down substantially"

2. Bessent says "de-escalation with China" is coming

3. WSJ reports that tariffs on China are set to drop to 50%-65%

4. Bessent says America "first does not mean America alone"

5. Bessent declines to comment on WSJ report in point #3

6. Bessent clarifies Trump is not offering a unilateral decrease in tariffs on China

7. Bessent says US-China trade deal will take 2 to 3 years

The market's rollercoaster ride continues.

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China Trolls US Over ‘Made in America’ Labels on Chinese-Made Luxury Goods

Chinese factory workers and retailers are calling out Western luxury brands for labeling products as “Made in US” or “Made in Italy” — despite being manufactured in China. Viral videos on Chinese social media highlight the irony amid ongoing US-China trade tensions.

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16 Investing Options

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Bitwise CIO: Bitcoin is going up because they broke the economy. And the way they’re going to “fix” it will make Bitcoin go up even more.

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A British millionaire has shared results of a 5-year investment experiment where he allocated $100 into various assets to test long-term performance. The comparison highlights stark differences in returns, risk, and accessibility.

• Samsung stock (picked at random) — -32%
• REIT fund (real estate) — +10%
• Bitcoin — +550%
• Gold — +40%
• S&P 500 index fund — +80%

The experiment also evaluated tax efficiency and accessibility. The clear winner was Bitcoin, outperforming traditional assets and index funds by a wide margin.

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