Stack & Story - Every stack has a story
2 subscribers
249 photos
251 links
Calm, independent analysis of crypto and markets — what happened and what it actually means. No hype, no shilling, no bag to defend. A free 5-minute read, every Sunday. The stack is the asset; the story is the why.

https://stackandstory.com/
Download Telegram
Circle slots USDC and EURC straight into SAP's finance software

Stack
- SAP's ecosystem covers 84% of global commerce, per the Circle-Tereina announcement
- Arc, Circle's new layer-1, already supports over 20 fiat-backed stablecoins
- USDC pays Arc's transaction fees, tying the chain's economics to Circle's own token

Story
The point of this deal is removing the login screen. Stablecoins show up inside the same settlement dropdown finance teams already use, which is the friction that killed most prior enterprise crypto pilots.

Watch
- Watch for published transaction volume once the pilot period ends
- Watch for a rival ERP vendor (Oracle, Workday) announcing a similar stablecoin embed within two quarters

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/circle-sap-tereina-usdc-eurc-payments
EU gives platforms 3 months to cut off new USDT access

Stack
- USDT is the largest stablecoin by market cap and still unauthorized under MiCA, per ESMA's opinion
- PYUSD, the third-largest stablecoin, is also flagged as non-compliant
- MiCA's stablecoin rules have applied since June 2024, with no USDT authorization filed since

Story
This isn't a ban, it's a front-door lock. Existing EU holders can still sell or withdraw USDT freely; what stops is new buying on authorized exchanges.

Watch
- Watch if Tether files for MiCA authorization before the January deadline
- Watch EU exchange USDT volumes for a drop in new trades versus flat existing balances

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/esma-three-month-deadline-usdt-access
Bitcoin ETFs erase a month of inflows in one session

Stack
- $485M left Bitcoin ETFs Wednesday, the biggest daily outflow since June 25
- IBIT swung from +$122M to -$207.7M in 24 hours
- Ether ETFs just logged their 7th straight outflow day, -$569M since Sept 29

Story
One session wiped out four days of inflows. ETF wrappers aren't smoothing Bitcoin exposure anymore, they're moving at the same speed as the spot panic.

Watch
- October's net flow: does it stay negative through month-end or snap back in days?
- IBIT's share of outflows vs its share of AUM, confirming or denying the exit-valve pattern

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/bitcoin-etfs-erase-october-gains-in-one-day
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Bitcoin, Ether ETFs bleed $986M in October outflows

Stack
- Bitcoin ETFs lost $485M in one day Wednesday, the worst since June 25
- Ether ETFs just posted their 8th straight outflow day, $641M total
- Combined October outflows hit $986.3M while BTC fell to a 3-week low

Story
This isn't profit-taking after a rally, it's capital leaving faster than buyers can replace it. One Bitcoin ETF session erased nearly half the month's prior outflows.

Watch
- Watch for a single day of $200M+ Bitcoin ETF inflows breaking the trend
- Watch whether Ether ETFs post any positive-flow day after 8 straight losses

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/bitcoin-ether-etf-october-outflows-1b
Thailand caps crypto ETFs at bitcoin and ether, rules live Oct. 16

Stack
- Only bitcoin and ether qualify under Thailand's new SEC rules
- Rules take effect Oct. 16, about a week after the announcement
- New custody, exposure, and trading requirements apply to both assets

Story
This reads like Thailand opening up to crypto ETFs. It's actually Thailand picking two winners and freezing everyone else out of the wrapper.

Watch
- Does a third asset get added within 12 months of Oct. 16?
- What custody standard does any new addition have to meet?

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/thailand-sec-bitcoin-ether-etf-rules
France taxed crypto swaps, then killed its own budget

Stack
- Oct 10: French committee adopts stablecoin swap tax and crypto exit tax in same session
- Same session: committee rejects the 2027 budget's entire revenue section
- Exit tax mirrors France's existing equity capital-flight rules for wealthy holders

Story
A tax amendment passing committee means nothing if the bill carrying it just got voted down. Watch for the reintroduction, not the headline vote.

Watch
- Does France reintroduce the revenue section with the amendments intact before year-end
- Does any EU state copy the stablecoin-swap-as-disposal language into its own tax code

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/france-stablecoin-swap-exit-tax-budget-rejected
Ether ETFs bleed nine days straight, Solana's streak finally breaks

Stack
- Ether spot ETFs just posted a 9th straight day of net outflows
- Solana ETFs snapped a 14-week inflow streak, the longest on record
- Bitcoin ETFs also logged net outflows the same week

Story
One week, three ETF categories in the red, but it's not one story. Ether's bleed is slow and grinding; Solana's break ends a 14-week run in five days, which is the sharper signal.

Watch
- A second straight week of Solana ETF outflows confirms a real trend shift
- Ether ETFs breaking their streak within 5 trading days points to a Solana-specific move instead

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/ether-etfs-nine-day-outflows-solana-streak-snaps
Ledger implant linked to $86M losses reignites ETF-vs-cold-wallet debate

Stack
- Ledger hardware implant losses could top $86M, per blockchain investigators
- Coldcard and Ledger both disclosed separate incidents within the same week
- Strategy added 250 BTC that week, lifting holdings to 848,250 BTC

Story
This isn't self-custody losing to ETFs. It's a supply-chain and phishing failure at one vendor, dressed up as a verdict on cold storage itself.

Watch
- Watch for Ledger/Coldcard to publish a revised threat model or attestation fix
- Watch for a second, unrelated vendor compromise confirming an industry-wide pattern

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/ledger-implant-bitcoin-etfs-safer-custody
Sberbank gets state approval for crypto trading before December

Stack
- Russia's crypto exchange registry doubled from 4 to 10 operators in one week
- Digital custodians rose from 5 to 6, including both Sberbank and VTB
- USDT trades alongside BTC and ETH from Sberbank's December 1 launch

Story
Two sanctioned banks just got licensed custody and exchange status for dollar-pegged stablecoins. That's settlement infrastructure, not a trading app for retail customers.

Watch
- USDT volume share versus BTC/ETH after December 1 launch
- Any OFAC or Treasury statement naming Sberbank's crypto arm directly

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/sberbank-clears-crypto-trading-december
USDC becomes the first dollar stablecoin under MiCA's toughest tier

Stack
- USDC: $73B market cap vs Tether's $184B, per Cointelegraph
- Only 45 tokens held "significant" status before USDC
- ECB's digital euro isn't expected before 2029

Story
This reads like a crackdown but EU issuers lobbied for it. Dollar stablecoins are becoming eurozone payment rails, and Circle just got the compliance stamp that makes that official.

Watch
- Watch Circle's EU reserve reporting for tighter terms under joint ACPR-EBA oversight
- Watch whether USDC's euro-area volume gains on USDT after the classification

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/eu-classifies-usdc-significant-mica
Evernorth puts its $648M XRP pile to work lending

Stack
- Evernorth's XRP treasury sits at $648 million, per The Block
- Four counterparties named: Ripple, Kraken, Coinbase, BitGo
- XRP has no native staking yield, unlike proof-of-stake assets

Story
XRP pays nothing just sitting in a wallet, so Evernorth has to lend it out to earn anything. That means real counterparty risk, and Ripple being one of the four lenders concentrates it instead of spreading it.

Watch
- Watch Evernorth's next filing for actual yield rates and per-counterparty allocation
- Watch for any disclosed change in Kraken or Coinbase XRP lending terms

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/evernorth-xrp-treasury-yield-strategy
Thailand opens crypto ETFs Friday, CoinShares sees a slow start

Stack
- Hong Kong holds 0.42% of the $172.9B global crypto ETP pool despite its hub status
- Thai investors already route into Bitcoin via MFC's tracker fund since 2024
- CoinShares pegs Thailand's first inflows at tens of millions, not billions

Story
Regulating access doesn't create demand from nothing. Thailand's own feeder funds into BlackRock's IBIT have existed since 2024, so the new ETFs have to pull money away from something that already works.

Watch
- Confirmed launch date from MFC or ONE Asset Management
- First-week AUM versus the tens-of-millions marker
- Whether overseas ETF broker access widens past institutional and UHNW investors

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/thailand-crypto-etfs-hong-kong-problem
Ripple Prime now lets clients trade stocks as perpetuals, 24/7

Stack
- Hyperliquid has processed over $1 trillion in cumulative perpetuals volume since launch
- Ripple's Hidden Road deal, the base of Ripple Prime, closed near a $1.25B valuation
- Traditional markets sit closed roughly 16 hours a day plus weekends, the exact gap this fills

Story
This is a credit and venue play dressed as tokenization. Ripple Prime holds the collateral risk, Hyperliquid supplies the price, and the client gets weekend stock exposure priced off a derivative of a derivative.

Watch
- Watch Ripple Prime's disclosed notional volume on these swaps next quarter
- Watch for funding-rate divergence on RWA perpetuals versus the underlying asset's normal volatility

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/ripple-prime-rwa-perpetual-swaps-hyperliquid
XRP funds buck the ETF outflow trend as Bitcoin bleeds $151M

Stack
- Bitcoin ETFs: $262M out Wednesday, $151M net outflow for the week
- Ether ETFs: $190M weekly outflow after $542M the week before
- XRP ETFs: only category with positive weekly flows, $740K Wednesday

Story
Everyone's calling this a crypto risk-off week. The flow data says it's a Bitcoin problem specifically, XRP funds took in cash the same day Bitcoin lost $262M.

Watch
- Watch whether XRP ETF flows stay positive through the next SoSoValue weekly report
- Watch if Solana's eight-session outflow streak breaks

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/xrp-etfs-buck-bitcoin-outflow-trend
Circle plans USDC launch in 50 emerging markets, still stuck at 25% share

Stack
- USDC circulation: $73.3B, roughly a quarter of the stablecoin market
- Tether's USDT holds nearly 60% of that same market
- Circle paid $400M for Tazapay to enter new payment corridors

Story
Circle's expansion targets markets USDT already dominates. The growth story is about winning banks and payment firms with regulatory packaging, not catching Tether on volume.

Watch
- Does USDC's market share move past 25% in Circle's next circulation report?
- Does Circle disclose named bank or payment-firm integrations in the 50 target markets?

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/circle-50-markets-usdc-tether-gap
Stablecoin remittances cost 84% less than bank transfers, data shows

Stack
- $200 stablecoin remittance: $2 median cost vs $12.72 traditional, per Borderless.xyz
- Costa Rica's SINPE network completes only 73% of stablecoin payouts
- Mexico's SPEI settles payouts in 3 minutes with 98.6% completion

Story
The cost savings are real but the catch is completion rates, not fees. Costa Rica fails 1 in 4 stablecoin payouts while Mexico fails 1 in 70. The bottleneck is the local bank rail, not the stablecoin.

Watch
- Watch Costa Rica's SINPE completion rate in Borderless' Q4 report for infrastructure fixes
- Watch whether traditional remittance fees drop in response to stablecoin competition

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/stablecoin-remittances-beat-banks-84-percent
Circle says it only keeps 7 cents per revenue dollar

Stack
- Circle kept ~7 cents net profit per revenue dollar in H1 2026
- $819M of $1.4B revenue went to distribution and transaction costs
- $214M of the remaining $473M was stock-based compensation

Story
This reads like a pricing war but it's really a disclosure fight. Circle published its cost math before Open USD has published a single fee number to compare it to.

Watch
- Watch for Open USD to publish an actual management-fee rate
- Watch whether Coinbase discloses its current USDC revenue share
- Watch for any major partner shifting volume within two quarters

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/circle-defends-usdc-economics-seven-cents
BIS says bank deposit rates can throttle stablecoin growth, USDC most

Stack
- USDC supply dropped from ~$45B to under $25B in 2023 as bank rates topped 5%
- BIS study spans 2019-2025, a full rate cycle from near-zero to 5%+
- Circle's USDC showed the strongest rate sensitivity of any stablecoin tested

Story
USDC's 2023 outflows tracked bank deposit rates, not panic. Banks already hold a lever over stablecoin float and barely use it.

Watch
- USDC supply direction once the Fed starts cutting again
- Whether Circle adds holder-facing yield to blunt the rate lever

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/banks-hold-rate-lever-over-stablecoins
Stablecoin supply flat, but payment volume up 45% this year

Stack
- Stablecoin payments hit $482B through September, up 45% YoY, per Allium
- Transaction count jumped 71% to over 1 billion payments in the same period
- Total stablecoin supply grew just 0.4% since January, sitting near $305B

Story
Flat supply looks like a slowdown. It's actually the same dollars clearing 1.6x more payment volume than a year ago, which is why Visa, Mastercard and Stripe all showed up this week.

Watch
- Allium's Q4 data: does transaction growth keep outpacing supply growth?
- Do Visa, Mastercard or Stripe break out stablecoin volume in earnings calls?

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/stablecoin-supply-stalls-payments-velocity
Bitcoin ETFs lose $910M in two weeks as October stays red

Stack
- This week's outflow: $228.6 million, down sharply from the prior week
- Prior week's outflow: $681.1 million, the bigger single hit
- Combined two-week drain: roughly $910 million from spot Bitcoin ETFs

Story
The outflow pace slowed 66% week over week. That's not capitulation accelerating, it's a big redemption wave draining out.

Watch
- Watch for a third straight week of net outflows, even a small one
- Watch for a single day over $200M inflow breaking the current pattern

Full read: https://stackandstory.com/stories/bitcoin-etfs-bleed-910m-two-weeks