*META SEES FY CAPEX $64B TO $72B, SAW $60B TO $65B, EST. $59.27B
*META 1Q EPS $6.43, EST. $5.25
*META 1Q REV. $42.31B, EST. $41.38B
*META EXPECTS 2Q 2025 TOTAL REV. TO BE IN RANGE OF $42.5-45.5B
*META 1Q EPS $6.43, EST. $5.25
*META 1Q REV. $42.31B, EST. $41.38B
*META EXPECTS 2Q 2025 TOTAL REV. TO BE IN RANGE OF $42.5-45.5B
*MICROSOFT 3Q REV. $70.07B, EST. $68.48B
*MICROSOFT Q3 EPS $3.46; IBES ESTIMATE $3.22
*MICROSOFT 3Q AZURE & OTHER CLOUD REV EX-FX +33%, EST. +31%
MICROSOFT SHARES ADD TO AFTER-HOURS GAINS; LAST UP 6.4%
*MICROSOFT Q3 EPS $3.46; IBES ESTIMATE $3.22
*MICROSOFT 3Q AZURE & OTHER CLOUD REV EX-FX +33%, EST. +31%
MICROSOFT SHARES ADD TO AFTER-HOURS GAINS; LAST UP 6.4%
$META +5.70% PREMKT
๐ธ $META: BARCLAYS CUTS TARGET PRICE TO $640 FROM $705
๐ธ $META: RAYMOND JAMES CUTS TARGET PRICE TO $750 FROM $800
๐ธ $META: GOLDMAN SACHS RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $690 FROM $685
๐ธ $META: KEYBANC RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $655 FROM $645
๐ธ $META: MOFFETTNATHANSON RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $605 FROM $525
๐ธ $META: MORGAN STANLEY RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $650 FROM $615
๐ธ $META: BOFA SECURITIES RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $690 FROM $640
๐ธ $META: STIFEL RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $655 FROM $628
๐ธ $META: PIPER SANDLER RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $650 FROM $610
๐ธ $META: TRUIST SECURITIES RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $720 FROM $700
๐ธ $META: OPPENHEIMER RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $665 FROM $725
๐ธ $META: EVERCORE ISI RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $750 FROM $685
๐ธ $META: CITI RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $690 FROM $655
๐ธ $META: JPMORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $675 FROM $610
๐ธ $META: WEDBUSH RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $750 FROM $680
๐ธ $META: BARCLAYS CUTS TARGET PRICE TO $640 FROM $705
๐ธ $META: RAYMOND JAMES CUTS TARGET PRICE TO $750 FROM $800
๐ธ $META: GOLDMAN SACHS RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $690 FROM $685
๐ธ $META: KEYBANC RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $655 FROM $645
๐ธ $META: MOFFETTNATHANSON RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $605 FROM $525
๐ธ $META: MORGAN STANLEY RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $650 FROM $615
๐ธ $META: BOFA SECURITIES RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $690 FROM $640
๐ธ $META: STIFEL RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $655 FROM $628
๐ธ $META: PIPER SANDLER RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $650 FROM $610
๐ธ $META: TRUIST SECURITIES RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $720 FROM $700
๐ธ $META: OPPENHEIMER RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $665 FROM $725
๐ธ $META: EVERCORE ISI RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $750 FROM $685
๐ธ $META: CITI RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $690 FROM $655
๐ธ $META: JPMORGAN RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $675 FROM $610
๐ธ $META: WEDBUSH RAISES TARGET PRICE TO $750 FROM $680
โค1
Myspyoptions
#MSTR $380. Close above $425. We may witness $1350+ levels in 12 to 18 months.
#MSTR 367.5 now trading at $40
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#LPLA $328, Buying 50% here and 50% at $293 target $363 and $394 stop loss below $283
S&P 500 AND NASDAQ ERASED ALMOST ALL LOSSES SINCE RECIPROCAL TARIFF ANNOUNCEMENT
So what's changed, developments so far:
*April 2: Trump announced reciprocal Tariffs all nations
*April 3: Lutnick said no chance trump will back off tariffs
*April 4: China announced retaliatory tariffs on US and imposed more export controls on rare earths
*April 7: Trump said their is no inflation FED should cut rates
*April 8: Trump on reducing tariffs on israel: maybe not
*April 9: China and the EU agreed to restart talks
*April 9: Trump announced tariff pause for 90 days with 10% Tariffs during this period (China was excluded from pause)
*April 10: China and EU discuss trade in response to U.S. tariffs
*April 10: Trump said Sectoral tariffs still coming, going to put tariffs on pharma companies (not announced yet)
So what's changed, developments so far:
*April 2: Trump announced reciprocal Tariffs all nations
*April 3: Lutnick said no chance trump will back off tariffs
*April 4: China announced retaliatory tariffs on US and imposed more export controls on rare earths
*April 7: Trump said their is no inflation FED should cut rates
*April 8: Trump on reducing tariffs on israel: maybe not
*April 9: China and the EU agreed to restart talks
*April 9: Trump announced tariff pause for 90 days with 10% Tariffs during this period (China was excluded from pause)
*April 10: China and EU discuss trade in response to U.S. tariffs
*April 10: Trump said Sectoral tariffs still coming, going to put tariffs on pharma companies (not announced yet)
Myspyoptions
S&P 500 AND NASDAQ ERASED ALMOST ALL LOSSES SINCE RECIPROCAL TARIFF ANNOUNCEMENT So what's changed, developments so far: *April 2: Trump announced reciprocal Tariffs all nations *April 3: Lutnick said no chance trump will back off tariffs *April 4: Chinaโฆ
*April 11: Trump exempted many electronics including smartphones, computers, semiconductors from reciprocal tariffs (China was included)
*April 13: Trump said electronics Exclusions are temporary & new more targeted tariffs are coming (sectoral tariffs)
*April 14: Bessent said prioritizing trade deals with the UK, Australia, South Korea, India, and Japan: infinityhedge
*April 15: Bessent said VIX likely peaked
*April 15: US announced it will impose 21% tariffs on Mexico tomatoes starting july 14
*April 15: EU Source said US tariffs to remain as talks make little progress
*April 16: Powell said economic impact of tariffs likely larger than expected; inflationary effects of tariffs may be more persistent; tariffs larger than we expected
*April 16: China pivots from US to Canada for more Oil
*April 17: Trump said powellโs termination cannot come fast enough!: infinityhedge
*April 18: US banned nvidia from exporting H20 chips to China, at $5.5B cost to Nvidia
*April 23: Trump said NO intention of firing powell
*April 23: Trump said US and China are actively talking about a trade deal, Trump said he will not call China's President XI first but XI called him but didn't share exactly when they talked
*April 24: China said China-US are not engaged in any negotiations over tariffs
*April 25: China quietly exempted some US made products ($40B) from Tariffs, strategic move mirrors to that electronic exemption by US
*April 25-28: US keep saying we are talking to China and China was keep saying we are not talking
*April 27: South Korea ruled out tariff deal with US before June 3 election
*April 28: Bessent said India might be one of first trade deals we'll sign
*April 29: US said EU not engaging well on tariff talks
*April 29: Trump walked back some Auto tariffs: 25% tariffs on vehicles will not be subject to other levies like 25% steel & aluminum tariffs & Carmakers will be able to qualify for some relief on imported components for the next two years.
*April 30: China to lift sanctions on EU lawmakers to unlock trade talks
*April 30: China Media said US reached out to China recently for tariff talk but China will not talk unless US do something meaningful first
*May 1: Trump threatened sanctions on anyone who buys Iranian oil (largest buyer is china), a warning after Tehranโs nuclear talks postponed
*May 1: BOJ's Uedo expects tarriffs to remain above 10% baseline and later that day Japanese finance minister said Japanโs US Treasury holdings a card in trade negotiation
*May 2: China said US reached out for talk via various channels, China is assessing the situation and reiterated that US should show sincerity & cancel the unilateral tariff first
*May 2: Japan firmly opposed US trade proposal. Japan to take stance that negotiations on reducing US trade deficit are difficult unless tariffs on autos, steel, aluminium are on negotiating table, US proposal included reluctance to exempt Japan from 10% tariffs & lowering tariffs on autos, steel, aluminium
*May 2: โde minimisโ exemption from tariffs will end
*No deal Announced so far 90 days gone & 67 days left for Reciprocal Tariffs pause to end (China excluded from pause)
*Apollo Chief Economist: It normally takes 18 months on average for the US to negotiate a trade deal
*April 13: Trump said electronics Exclusions are temporary & new more targeted tariffs are coming (sectoral tariffs)
*April 14: Bessent said prioritizing trade deals with the UK, Australia, South Korea, India, and Japan: infinityhedge
*April 15: Bessent said VIX likely peaked
*April 15: US announced it will impose 21% tariffs on Mexico tomatoes starting july 14
*April 15: EU Source said US tariffs to remain as talks make little progress
*April 16: Powell said economic impact of tariffs likely larger than expected; inflationary effects of tariffs may be more persistent; tariffs larger than we expected
*April 16: China pivots from US to Canada for more Oil
*April 17: Trump said powellโs termination cannot come fast enough!: infinityhedge
*April 18: US banned nvidia from exporting H20 chips to China, at $5.5B cost to Nvidia
*April 23: Trump said NO intention of firing powell
*April 23: Trump said US and China are actively talking about a trade deal, Trump said he will not call China's President XI first but XI called him but didn't share exactly when they talked
*April 24: China said China-US are not engaged in any negotiations over tariffs
*April 25: China quietly exempted some US made products ($40B) from Tariffs, strategic move mirrors to that electronic exemption by US
*April 25-28: US keep saying we are talking to China and China was keep saying we are not talking
*April 27: South Korea ruled out tariff deal with US before June 3 election
*April 28: Bessent said India might be one of first trade deals we'll sign
*April 29: US said EU not engaging well on tariff talks
*April 29: Trump walked back some Auto tariffs: 25% tariffs on vehicles will not be subject to other levies like 25% steel & aluminum tariffs & Carmakers will be able to qualify for some relief on imported components for the next two years.
*April 30: China to lift sanctions on EU lawmakers to unlock trade talks
*April 30: China Media said US reached out to China recently for tariff talk but China will not talk unless US do something meaningful first
*May 1: Trump threatened sanctions on anyone who buys Iranian oil (largest buyer is china), a warning after Tehranโs nuclear talks postponed
*May 1: BOJ's Uedo expects tarriffs to remain above 10% baseline and later that day Japanese finance minister said Japanโs US Treasury holdings a card in trade negotiation
*May 2: China said US reached out for talk via various channels, China is assessing the situation and reiterated that US should show sincerity & cancel the unilateral tariff first
*May 2: Japan firmly opposed US trade proposal. Japan to take stance that negotiations on reducing US trade deficit are difficult unless tariffs on autos, steel, aluminium are on negotiating table, US proposal included reluctance to exempt Japan from 10% tariffs & lowering tariffs on autos, steel, aluminium
*May 2: โde minimisโ exemption from tariffs will end
*No deal Announced so far 90 days gone & 67 days left for Reciprocal Tariffs pause to end (China excluded from pause)
*Apollo Chief Economist: It normally takes 18 months on average for the US to negotiate a trade deal
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*US APRIL NONFARM PAYROLLS RISE 177,000 M/M; EST. +138K
*US APRIL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 4.2%; EST. 4.2%
US CHANGE IN PRIVATE PAYROLLS APR: 167K (EST 125K; PREV 209K)
- CHANGE IN MANUFACTURING PAYROLLS: -1K (EST -5K; PREV 1K)
- CHANGE IN GOVERNMENT PAYROLLS: 10K (PREV 19K)
- AVG WEEKLY HOURS ALL EMPLOYEES: 34.4 (EST 34.2; PREV 34.2)
- LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE: 62.6% (EST 62.5%; PREV 62.5%)
- UNDEREMPLOYMENT RATE: 7.8% (PREV 7.9%)
*US APRIL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 4.2%; EST. 4.2%
US CHANGE IN PRIVATE PAYROLLS APR: 167K (EST 125K; PREV 209K)
- CHANGE IN MANUFACTURING PAYROLLS: -1K (EST -5K; PREV 1K)
- CHANGE IN GOVERNMENT PAYROLLS: 10K (PREV 19K)
- AVG WEEKLY HOURS ALL EMPLOYEES: 34.4 (EST 34.2; PREV 34.2)
- LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE: 62.6% (EST 62.5%; PREV 62.5%)
- UNDEREMPLOYMENT RATE: 7.8% (PREV 7.9%)
โค1
Myspyoptions
#ANET $80, Buying 50% here and 50% downside at $71 target $108 and $134 stop loss below $66
#ANET now $90. Modifying stop loss below $79
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Myspyoptions
#ADBE $365. Buying 50% here and 50% at $335 target $404 and $444 stop loss below $325
#ADBE now $381+, Modifying stop loss below $363
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Myspyoptions
CAT $299.60. Buying 50% here and 50% at $280 target $330 and $367 stop loss below $272
CAT now $321+, modifying stop loss below $298
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Myspyoptions
NVDA $110. Buying 50% here and 50% at $100 targets $127 and $143 stop loss below $95
NVDA now $115, modifying stop loss below $105, 2 levels got executed and already booked 50% around 114
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