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Cardinals ML

Our analysis was not on point here tonight. We acknowledge it and expect better. First rough stretch in quite a while as we now stand at 9-5-2 this month. We’ll push forward and look to build momentum again into the 2nd half of October
St. Louis Cardinals - Washington Nationals Under 4 runs (first five innings) @ (2.00/Even)

We’ll focus on the starting pitchers in this one. Dakota Hudson will pitch for the Cardinals. From a matchup perspective, we’re liking his chances to do well versus the Nationals lineup. We say this due to his massive pitching splits. We’ve mentioned it before but the Nationals will have 6 right handed batters in the lineup. This is significant as Hudson has been dominant against right handed batters holding them to a 0.232 batting average, a
0.296 wOBA and a groundball rate of 64.2%. With many F5 Under bets we’ve made, limiting the home runs have been the key. The groundball rate should help along with the Nationals hitting in this series. So far 9/13 Nationals runs have came with two outs. Timely hitting, yes, but hard to sustain over the course of an entire series. We’ll bet against this trend and will trust Hudson to generate ground balls and outs. On the other side we’ll see Patrick Corbin. One of the Nationals “Big 3” starters he’ll face a Cardinals team that has yet to show any life at all offensively. Although Corbin in a left handed pitcher facing many right handed batters, he’s still solid holding right handed batters to a 0.235 average, a 0.301 wOBA, a 49.7% groundball rate. Statistically the Cardinals hitters are in a better spot, but after watching every game thus far in this series, it’s extremely difficult to trust St. Louis. It was evident last night, and we missed the mark as they have yet to show any signs of being able to score runs in bunches. Patrick Corbin has mostly been working out of the bullpen but is back to his routine today. He’s fully rested having not started a game since October 3rd. So often the playoffs come down to rest and preparation. We have that situation with Corbin tonight along with team looking to sweep the series at home. Patrick Corbin has solid history against St. Louis only allowing a 0.239 batting average, a 0.316 wOBA, and just two home runs to the current Cardinals roster through 109 at bats. Overall we like the situations for both starters and like the value we’re getting with Under 4 with the safety of a push involved as well.
Nationals - Cardinals F5 Under

Tonight’s pick is a loss but we reach a key point as tonight was our 150th documented pick. We’ve used Blogabet for this starting on June 10th: (https://sports-betting-masters.blogabet.com) Since we’ve gone 89-54-7. We’re excited for the next 150 and continuing to share our analysis with you!
We’ve reached the halfway point this month and it’s been an interesting past two weeks to say the least. We stand at 9-6-2. A bit of regression after a hot start, but we’ll continue pushing forward and shift our focus to the second half beginning tomorrow. We wish everyone a great day!
UCLA - Stanford (First Half) Under 24.5 @ 1.86 (NCAA Football)

These are two teams that are in interesting situations offensively. First with Stanford they come into this game as a slight favorite despite having to play their 3rd string backup quarterback and UCLA is 1-5 on the season and is searching for answers. Nonetheless we are targeting this situation in particular and expect a slow start from both teams. We begin with Stanford. As mentioned they will start backup Jack West. It’s difficult to project how he will perform, so far in his college career he has thrown for a total of only 5 passes and has very little experience in an actual game. Stanford will need him as 64.4% of their total yards this year have come through passing. Adding to this concern is that due to injuries to their offensive line, Stanford will start 3 first year lineman up front which may limit their ability to run the ball and open up space down the field. Although UCLA does not a great defense ranked near the bottom of college football they may not be as bad as they seem as they allowed 611 yards to Oklahoma and 720 yards to Washington State (two of the best offenses in college football). Remove these two games and they’ve only averaged 422.25 yards per game which would be considered average. On the other side UCLA also has their quarterback listed as questionable for the game. Regardless of which QB goes for them, UCLA is not an offense I’d be running to bet on. Outside of scoring 67 points and 31 points against two of the worst defenses in college football (Oregon State and Washington State both ranked in the bottom 30 out of 130 teams), UCLA has failed to reach 20 points in any of their other four games (only 35% of their total points have come in the first half as well) Tonight they’ll face Stanford who ranks 52nd in opponent points allowed on defense. Last game Stanford forced Washington’s QB to only have a 44% completion percentage. Expect more of the same against a UCLA offensive line that’s allowed 15 sacks already this season. Combine this with a top 30 Stanford rushing defense and UCLA may be in for another difficult game offensively. With the QB situations in mind and stats, we’re going with under 24.5 points in the first half.
Stanford - UCLA 1H Under 24.5

The first half finishes at 31 after a 24 point first quarter. We’ve definitely taken our bumps and bruises this week, in what has been undoubtedly our worst stretch in months. Disappointed as anyone would be but we’ll stay positive, keep up the analysis and stay determined to strike back. We’ll look to find momentum and make it a successful weekend! Dukla Prague pending in the article above
Dukla Prague to win 1.90 🔥🔥

Dukla controlled the match as expected and got a comfortable win here 💰💰
Werder Bremen - Hertha Berlin Over 3 Goals @ (2.00/Even) (Germany Bundesliga)
Note: 3 goals is a push (be sure to have correct market)

Our thoughts and analysis can be found here:

https://sportsbettingmasters.com/2019/10/19/over-3-goals/
Werder Bremen - Hertha Berlin over 3.0 goals
After an early goal we expected to get a scenario with a lot of chances and a lot of goals. That didn't happen. We accept the loss and are now looking forward. We liked the statistics here but unfortunately we got on the first match either of these teams played a match with under 3 goals
Army -4.5 pending in the article above to conclude our Saturday
Saturday goes 0-2. The uncharacteristic week from us continues. These type of recaps are neither ideal nor fun but we stay transparent as always. Appreciate your continued support as we battle through this. We expect more and will keep looking forward
Minnesota Vikings -2.5 @ (1.90/-110) vs. the Detroit Lions

A key divisional game in the NFC North and one where we see the Vikings taking care of business as we see an opportunity for them with this matchup. For the Vikings, so much of their success comes down to their offensive efficiency, the QB position and Kirk Cousins throwing the ball. The Vikings are a defensive minded team but with a strong offensive game can make them one of the best teams in the league. They now rank in the top 5 in both offensive and defensive efficiency from an advanced statistics standpoint (4th of defense, 5th on offense). So far in their two losses to Green Bay and Chicago, the lack of pass protection and strong defensive lines cost them. It’s worth noting Cousins was sacked 6 times against Chicago and struggled against Green Bay as well. We can point to the fact both of these teams rank in the top 10 in sacks and generated a pass rush on a sometimes inconsistent Vikings offensive line. Detroit is one of if not the weakest defensive lines the Vikings have faced. They ranked 6th worst in sack percentage and all around defensively as they give up 23 points per game, which ranks 18th. They allow 413 yards per game, which is 29th in the NFL. That includes 280 passing yards per game, ranked 28th, and 133 rushing yards per game ranked 27th in the league. This will help running back Dalvin Cook get the ground game going and open up passing lanes for Cousins to throw to down the field and be a spot where they can build long drives and tire the Lions defense.

In terms of the Lions offense against the Vikings, they’ll have to face a team that is fifth in the league in total defense (310.3 yards allowed per game), sixth in scoring defense (15.5 points per game), tied for sixth in sacks with 17. Everything the Lions do offensively comes down to their QB Matthew Stafford. He’s having another solid season averaging nine yards per completion, but he's struggled somewhat during the Lions' last two games completing only 59.1 percent of his passes. It was reported a few weeks ago the Stafford has been battling through a hip injury. He has had a history of playing through injuries and see this as a potential underlying factor as his recent numbers seem to be regressing a bit. The Lions will also have one less day to prepare playing last Monday night. Back to back divisional games is not easy for any team and it’s a spot we’re looking to bet against Detroit. They have their good moments on offense but inconsistent is an issue with them. In 4/5 games they’ve gone MIA in the second half scoring less than 10 points. For them to do well in this game, they will have to take advantage of Minnesota with big plays down the field. However given their recent inconsistencies we will take Minnesota on the short line of -2.5 as we see the Vikings being able to win the small battles we have noted over the course of 60 minutes.