📈 Grayscale's Spot Polkadot Fund Filing Amid Regulatory Changes

🌐 Grayscale Investments has submitted a filing for a spot Polkadot fund on Nasdaq, amidst a changing regulatory landscape that also includes ETF proposals for various cryptocurrencies such as XRP, LTC, SOL, DOGE, and HBAR. The filing, made as a Form 19b-4, aims to list the fund under the ticker "DOT", providing investors with a regulated way to access Polkadot (DOT) without directly holding the token.

➡️ The SEC is currently reviewing the filing within a 45-day period to determine if it meets all regulatory standards. However, approval is uncertain due to increased scrutiny of digital asset products and past challenges faced by similar ETF proposals. The recent changes under the Trump administration may influence the outcome, potentially paving the way for several altcoin ETFs to receive approval.

📊 Grayscale, known for its Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), is expanding its offerings to include publicly listed altcoin ETFs. This move reflects a growing institutional interest in regulated crypto investment vehicles. Polkadot is a blockchain that facilitates interoperability and utilizes DOT for governance, staking, and network connectivity.

🔍 Market analysts suggest that this filing could increase investor access to DOT and heighten competition among asset managers. Early reactions show mixed sentiment, with DOT trading around the mid-$4 range. However, this development may boost DOT demand as investors seek regulated exposure to emerging digital assets in the ETF market.

🚀 Grayscale's filing for the spot Polkadot fund marks a significant step towards diversifying crypto investment options. The ongoing review by the SEC of this filing and other ETF proposals underscores a broader shift within the industry. As these latest filings progress, any cryptocurrency could be next for review.

🪙 Bybit Hackers Disperse Stolen Ethereum Amid Market Decline

🔍 Recent reports from blockchain tracking platforms indicate that the Bybit exploitors have strategically moved 230,645.05 ETH (approximately $497.4 million) over a span of four days. This deliberate redistribution underscores the significant movement of cryptographic assets.

➡️ Initially, it was believed that the Bybit hackers, potentially associated with the Lazarus Group linked to Pyongyang, would retain their stolen assets for an extended period. However, they have executed a careful fragmentation of the stolen ethereum, spreading it across numerous wallets to obscure their digital traces.

🔄 These state-sponsored actors have utilized algorithmic marketplaces (DEXs) for token exchanges, converting ETH into other cryptocurrencies through covert financial strategies. They also leverage multi-network bridges to transfer assets across various blockchains, a method aimed at evading traditional blockchain analysis. Additionally, there has been a conversion of funds into bitcoin (BTC).

📉 Four days ago, it was reported that wallets associated with the Bybit hack held 449,395.23 ETH, valued at around $1.26 billion. This amount has now decreased to 218,750.18 ETH, spread across 56 different addresses. During this time, the attackers successfully transferred 230,645.05 ETH, worth $497.4 million at current exchange rates. This outflow of funds has contributed to a decline in ETH’s price amidst a broader crypto market downturn.

📊 Over the past 24 hours, ETH has dropped by 6%, extending its 30-day decline to 30.2%. The cryptocurrency has fluctuated between $2,082 and $2,329 throughout the day, with a trading volume of $38.11 billion, largely driven by ongoing sell pressure.

💰 The $200 Trillion Bitcoin Boom: Michael Saylor's Bold Predictions

🌍 Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Microstrategy, predicts a dramatic increase in Bitcoin's market cap, projecting it will soar from $2 trillion to $200 trillion as global capital from China, Russia, Europe, Africa, and Asia fuels its ascent. In a recent CNBC interview, Saylor discussed the potential of a U.S. strategic crypto reserve that includes Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies like ether (ETH), XRP, solana (SOL), and cardano (ADA).

📈 Saylor expressed optimism about President Donald Trump’s proposal for a U.S. crypto reserve, stating,

this is bullish for bitcoin and bullish for the entire U.S. crypto industry.

He argued against a bitcoin-only approach, advocating for a more inclusive strategy that recognizes digital commodities, stablecoins, digital securities, and utility-based tokens as essential components of a robust digital asset policy.

🚀 He emphasized the potential for exponential growth in Bitcoin's value, stating,

It’s going to $20 trillion, then it’s going to $200 trillion, then it’s growing 20% a year.

Saylor clarified that Bitcoin does not compete with the U.S. dollar but rather with international real estate and global equities. He suggested that securing a portion of the Bitcoin network could help reduce the national debt.

📊 Addressing concerns about Bitcoin's volatility, Saylor pointed to its historical resilience, stating,

I don’t think anybody’s ever lost money in the Bitcoin network holding four years.

He compared Bitcoin to long-term national investments and highlighted its impressive performance, noting that his company's investment has grown from $250 million to almost $50 billion in just 48 months.

➡️ Russia's Regulated Cryptocurrency Market: A New Era for Investors

🗣 Russia is advancing towards establishing a regulated cryptocurrency market, aimed at “super-qualified” investors within a strict legal framework to maintain financial stability. The Russian Finance Ministry and central bank are in discussions about creating a trading market for experienced investors, as reported by Interfax on March 5.

⚡️ Alexei Yakovlev, director of the finance ministry’s financial policy department, highlighted the importance of this initiative at the Asset Management Market Leaders Forum. He stated,

When we talk about digital currency trading, it’s not just an idea – it’s a task that has been set.

He expressed hope for its implementation soon, likely through an experimental legal regime.

🔍 The proposed market will cater to a new category of “super-qualified” investors, which is still being defined. Yakovlev mentioned,

This will be aimed at ‘super-qualified’ investors – a category that does not yet exist.

This group is expected to include professional market participants and individuals with high financial and expertise standards. The threshold for qualified investors is set to increase from 12 million rubles to 24 million rubles next year.

📊 He elaborated that if the experimental legal regime, the super-qualified investor category, and risk mitigation measures align, a specific initiative may be proposed to the government. Ongoing discussions involve collaboration between the finance ministry, central bank, and market participants.

🚫 While Russian citizens can buy and hold cryptocurrency, its use for payments is banned, and trading primarily occurs on foreign platforms due to the lack of a centralized Russian crypto exchange. Since September 1, the central bank has been allowing select foreign trade participants to conduct cryptocurrency transactions under a special legal framework.

🛠 Yakovlev acknowledged that significant work is needed before broader adoption can be considered. He stated,

This is still in its early stages. We need to justify it and address key questions.

The finance ministry and central bank are prioritizing economic stability and investor protection while evaluating the proposal.

🪙 Trump's Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: A New Era for U.S. Digital Assets

🔍 This week, the crypto community has been buzzing about President Trump's recent announcement regarding the establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile. This follows Trump's revelation on Truth Social that XRP, SOL, and ADA would be included in this initiative, despite the fact that the U.S. government has not officially seized these assets.

⚡️ After signing the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Executive Order, David Sacks, the nation's Crypto Czar, clarified key points about the EO on X. He emphasized that a bitcoin reserve would be created and assured that the U.S. government would not sell any confiscated coins. Sacks stated that the U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile would consist of digital assets other than bitcoin obtained through forfeiture proceedings.

The government will not acquire additional assets for the Stockpile beyond those obtained through forfeiture proceedings.

⚖️ This raises concerns for ADA, XRP, and SOL holders since the U.S. government has never publicly confirmed its holdings of these assets. Onchain analytics show no evidence that these coins have been in government custody after previous seizures. In contrast, there is documented evidence of over 198,000 BTC ($16.26B) confiscated by the government over the years.

📊 As of March 9, 2025, the U.S. government holds 60,850 ETH valued at $122.96 million, which could be liquidated for 1,522.86 BTC. Additionally, it retains 122 million USDT that could yield approximately 1,500 BTC. The government also possesses 750.722 WBTC valued at $61.69 million, 40,293 BNB worth $22.34 million, and various balances in BUSD and AUSDC that could collectively provide up to 5,004.55 BTC if liquidated.

🔄 Trump's Crypto Czar has already indicated that some crypto assets might be reallocated into BTC for better portfolio management. This development marks a significant shift in how the U.S. government approaches digital assets and could have lasting implications for the crypto market.

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Expert outlines five possible outcomes for the XRP lawsuit, with the highest probability being the regulator dropping its appeal in the Ripple vs SEC case.

👉 Read more

🌍 The U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: A Game Changer for Global Finance

💡 Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise, recently highlighted a significant market oversight regarding the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. He stated on March 10,

The market is grossly underestimating the long-term impact of the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

🗓 This reserve was established by an executive order signed by President Donald Trump on March 6. It aims to position the United States as a leader in digital asset strategy, funded by approximately 200,000 BTC (valued at around $17 billion) seized through legal actions. This move is designed to integrate digital assets into the national financial framework without additional taxpayer costs.

📈 On March 11, Rasmussen noted a significant increase in corporate BTC acquisitions, stating that in 2024, public companies purchased twice as much bitcoin as in all previous years combined. He emphasized,

In 2024, public corporations purchased twice as much BTC as all prior years combined. These 70+ companies now own a combined $52 billion worth of bitcoin (3% of the total supply).

🌐 Rasmussen outlined the broader implications of the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, suggesting it would encourage other nations to follow suit and remove barriers for wealth managers, financial institutions, and pensions. He remarked,

A U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve means… other countries will buy bitcoin, wealth managers have no excuse, financial institutions have no excuse, [and] pensions/endowments have no excuse.

🔍 He further noted that this development diminishes the fear of the U.S. selling its bitcoin reserves and increases the likelihood of states purchasing bitcoin. He concluded by urging a broader perspective on bitcoin's evolving role in global finance:

Zoom out.

💰 Low-Cost Transactions in Bitcoin and Ethereum Networks

📉 Recent analyses indicate that onchain transactions for Bitcoin and Ethereum are maintaining low fee structures. The Ethereum network's transaction costs have remained below 1 gwei, while Bitcoin's protocol activity has seen a slight increase in volume.

➡️ On March 15, 2025, prioritizing speed for ether transactions costs about 1.53 gwei ($0.05), with standard transfers averaging 1.07 to 0.57 gwei ($0.03 to $0.02). Ethereum typically handles 1 million to 1.358 million daily transactions. Activities such as DEX swaps, NFT sales, bridging, and borrowing continue to incur minimal costs.

Swapping tokens on the ETH network currently demands about $0.81 for expedited processing, though savvy users can secure a trade for as little as $0.30.

🖼 NFT enthusiasts may spend $1.38 for priority sales but often manage with $0.51. Bridging assets costs $0.10 and borrowing protocols require $0.69. Moving ETH directly is cheaper than using smart contracts due to differences in computational resources.

🔄 Over the past 30 days, Bitcoin's daily transaction volume ranges from 300,000 to 530,000 transfers. The mempool shows 13,089 unconfirmed transactions as of Saturday evening. A high-priority transfer costs 2 satoshis per virtual byte (sat/vB), averaging around $1.03 based on current BTC exchange rates.

📊 Sustained low fees for both Bitcoin and Ethereum transactions reflect modest demand and favorable conditions for users. As users engage in swaps, NFT trades, and bridging with minimal ETH costs, the current environment offers an opportune moment for seamless blockchain interactions. This trend is also evident in Bitcoin's ecosystem, where transaction fees align with those observed in Ethereum. The persistence of this trend will depend on shifting market dynamics and network congestion.

💱 Vaulta: EOS Rebrands for Web3 Banking Transition

🔄 EOS is rebranding to Vaulta as it shifts focus towards Web3 banking. This transformation includes the introduction of a new digital asset, enabling EOS holders to exchange their tokens on a 1:1 basis for the new currency.

🚀 Vaulta plans to launch its token by May 2025, replacing EOS through a direct swap. The project aims to serve as a bridge between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi), with ambitions for Bitcoin integration, tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), and rapid transactions. Its roadmap includes collaboration with exSat, a Bitcoin-focused layer currently securing $557 million in locked assets.

⚖️ However, Web3 banking faces regulatory challenges. Vaulta's attempt to merge compliance-driven TradFi with decentralized frameworks is daunting due to the industry's history of regulatory issues. Nonetheless, the company emphasizes its advisory board includes members from Systemic Trust, ATB Financial, and Tetra Trust.

📈 Vaulta anticipates a variable annual percentage yield (APY), projecting a 17% annual return for stakers. Partnerships with firms like Ceffu and Spirit Blockchain will support yield strategies, fractionalized asset ownership, and blockchain-based insurance solutions. Starting in May 2025, EOS token holders can swap their holdings for Vaulta’s new asset through a dedicated portal, with centralized exchanges facilitating conversions.

🔜 The team stated,

While the new brand identity (Vaulta) has been announced, details regarding the new token ticker will be strategically revealed at a later date.

The portal swap will remain bi-directional for four months. The new token will provide governance rights, staking rewards, and access to RWA investments.

📊 Recently, EOS saw a 15% increase, trading at $0.5756 per unit with a global trade volume of $169 million. Despite this momentum, EOS has declined 41.4% against the U.S. dollar over the past year and remains 97.5% below its all-time high from 2018.

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💱 Dollar-Pegged Stablecoins Strengthening U.S. Dollar's Global Dominance

💬 Chinese economist Zhang Ming argues that U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins are enhancing the global dominance of the U.S. dollar, rather than cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ethereum. Ming, who is the deputy director of the Institute of Finance and Economics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, emphasizes the "link" between stablecoins and the U.S. dollar, which he believes gives these digital assets characteristics similar to the sovereign currency.

📈 In a recent op-ed, Ming asserts that this connection to the U.S. dollar is extending its hegemony. He points out that residents and businesses in inflation-stricken countries are using stablecoins as a store of value. Additionally, he highlights the role of U.S. dollar stablecoins in providing liquidity support within the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem as evidence of their contribution to strengthening the international status of the U.S. dollar.

➡️ Observers note that the potential passage of stablecoin bills by the U.S. Congress could further enhance this role. Some lawmakers are advocating for legislation that would require stablecoin issuers to back their coins solely with U.S. Treasuries. However, opponents argue that such measures could harm Tether, the issuer of the largest stablecoin by market capitalization, USDT.

⚖️ Critics are divided on this issue. While some believe that compelling stablecoin issuers to hold U.S. Treasuries would maintain dollar hegemony, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino has stated that his company is already contributing to this goal by holding billions in U.S. debt.

🟢 On the other hand, Ming suggests that China can counter these efforts by issuing its own stable currency. He proposes increasing the use of the digital yuan on Chinese internet platforms to boost the international status of the renminbi (RMB). Furthermore, he advocates for the trial and promotion of digital special drawing rights (e-SDR) at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) level.

The flourishing of various digital currencies is naturally better than the U.S. dollar monopolizing the development track of digital currencies. e-SDR can expand the use of supranational reserve currencies in the digital field and virtual space, and also help promote the diversification of the international monetary system,

Ming stated.

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📈 Bitcoin's Hashrate Reaches New Heights Amidst Price Surge

📊 Bitcoin's hashrate has been on the rise, adding 40 exahash per second (EH/s) in the last five days and reaching 836 EH/s, nearing its historical peak. This increase coincides with a rise in Bitcoin's price, leading to a higher hashprice—the estimated daily earnings from one petahash per second (PH/s) of computing power.

💰 On March 25, 2025, Bitcoin miners reported improved earnings, with the value of one petahash per day rising from $46.21 on March 18 to $49.57 today, according to hashrateindex. This uptick provides some relief for miners who faced tighter margins earlier in the month. Increased network activity is evident, with 48,116 unconfirmed transactions in the mempool as of 6:30 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday.

📈 Transaction fees have also increased, now averaging 31 satoshis per virtual byte (sat/vB), translating to a cost of $3.83 for high-priority transfers. The recent rise in Bitcoin's price is the main factor behind this revenue boost, as transaction fees accounted for only 2.14% of total earnings over the past 24 hours.

🔼 The recent price movements have driven the hashrate higher, with a 40 EH/s increase from 796 EH/s on March 20. This trend aligns with a 1.43% difficulty adjustment that occurred two days ago. Currently, mining difficulty is set at 113.76 trillion, slightly below the all-time high of 114.17 trillion recorded six weeks ago.

⚖️ As transaction fees remain a minor revenue source, miner profitability is increasingly linked to Bitcoin's market value. With the protocol approaching historical thresholds, miners may need to adapt their strategies to navigate tightening margins and changing network conditions. Additionally, advancements in application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) hardware may also be contributing to the increased computational output.

➡️ Elon Musk's xAI Merges with X: A New Era in AI and Communication

🌐 Elon Musk has announced a major merger between his artificial intelligence startup xAI and the social media platform X. The all-stock transaction values xAI at $80 billion and X at $33 billion, after accounting for X's $12 billion debt. This strategic move aims to combine xAI's rapid innovation with X's global communication infrastructure.

“X is the digital town square where more than 600M active users go to find the real-time source of ground truth,”

Musk stated. He highlighted X's transformation into one of the most efficient companies in the world, positioning it for scalable future growth. The merger will integrate vast data resources, machine learning capabilities, and a large user base.

🔗 Musk emphasized the synergy between the two companies:

“xAI and X’s futures are intertwined. Today, we officially take the step to combine the data, models, compute, distribution and talent,”

he said. This integration is expected to unlock immense potential by blending xAI’s advanced capabilities with X’s extensive reach.

🚀 Looking ahead, Musk envisions a platform that not only reflects reality but also accelerates human progress. He stated,

“The combined company will deliver smarter, more meaningful experiences to billions of people while staying true to our core mission of seeking truth and advancing knowledge.”

Musk expressed gratitude to the teams at both companies and conveyed optimism for the future:

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📉 Bitcoin's Current Market Status and Future Outlook

📊 As of Sunday morning, Bitcoin is trading between $82,856 and $83,032, with a market cap of $1.65 trillion and a 24-hour trade volume of $15.6 billion. Over the past day, its price has fluctuated between $81,629 and $83,496.03, which is 23.6% below its all-time high from January 20, 2025.

🔍 The 1-hour chart indicates a short-term consolidation for Bitcoin after bouncing back from a recent low of $81,629. However, lower highs and lower lows suggest a continuing downtrend. Key resistance is at $84,500 and crucial support is at $81,600. Volume patterns show weak buyer participation, and a breakout above $83,500 on increased volume could signal a short-term bullish move.

📈 The 4-hour chart shows a recent relief rally from the $81,629 low. However, the lack of strong buying volume undermines the credibility of this rebound. A significant resistance range between $83,500 and $84,000 remains critical. Failure to breach this zone could indicate continued downside pressure.

⚡️ On the daily chart, Bitcoin is in a defined downtrend after falling from a recent high of $96,967. The nearest support at $82,000 is currently being tested, with further downside potential if this level fails. Resistance levels between $88,000 and $90,000 pose additional challenges for bullish momentum.

⚖️ Oscillator analysis shows market indecision. The relative strength index (RSI) is at 44 and the Stochastic is at 30, indicating neutral conditions. However, the awesome oscillator’s negative value of -10 suggests underlying bearish pressure. In contrast, the momentum indicator’s positive value of -843 and a bullish reading from the MACD at -939 offer some encouragement for buyers.

🔴 Fibonacci retracement levels provide valuable reference points. On the daily chart, key levels include $91,607 (23.6%) and $88,758 (38.2%). The 4-hour chart shows retracement levels at $87,148 (23.6%) and $85,999 (38.2%). Similarly, the 1-hour chart presents resistance and support zones at $83,869 (23.6%) and $83,440 (38.2%).

🌟 Moving averages indicate a predominantly bearish sentiment. All short and long-term exponential and simple moving averages are signaling negative sentiment. Until Bitcoin can reclaim these levels, downward pressure is likely to persist.

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🟢 Russia's Response to U.S. Threats Over BRICS Currency Initiatives

🗣 Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov addressed U.S. concerns regarding the BRICS alliance's financial initiatives in an interview with International Affairs. He acknowledged the seriousness of U.S. threats but emphasized Russia's commitment to dialogue. Ryabkov clarified that BRICS does not aim to replace the U.S. dollar but seeks to modernize financial systems to protect member states from monopolistic abuses.

We are not developing any alternatives to the dollar within the BRICS framework,

Ryabkov stated. He added that the group is focused on updating its financial architecture to prevent violations by dominant players. He expressed confidence in the progress of these reforms under Brazil's chairmanship this year.

🌍 Ryabkov highlighted BRICS' growing influence and appeal on the global stage. He noted,

The group has gained momentum... and its own expansion, increasing the potential of interacting with partner countries.

This reflects BRICS' modern image and recognition beyond its member states.

⚠️ In contrast, U.S. President Donald Trump warned BRICS nations against undermining the dollar's role in global trade, threatening 100% tariffs and restricted market access. He stated that any attempt to establish a new currency would result in severe economic consequences. This warning aligns with Trump's efforts to maintain the dollar's international dominance amid BRICS countries' dedollarization initiatives.

⚠️ Ray Dalio Warns of Impending Global Market Collapse

🌍 Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, has issued a stark warning about a potential global market collapse driven by deeper issues than just tariff disputes. He emphasized that the public's focus on tariffs overlooks the significant underlying forces at play.

Don’t Make the Mistake of Thinking That What’s Now Happening is Mostly About Tariffs

Dalio stated, highlighting that President Trump's tariff policies are merely symptoms of larger systemic problems.

📉 He pointed out that we are witnessing a rare historical phenomenon: a breakdown of major monetary, political, and geopolitical orders. This type of breakdown occurs only about once in a lifetime and is often preceded by unsustainable conditions.

💰 Dalio linked this impending collapse to excessive debt, increasing domestic inequalities, and the decline of U.S.-led international cooperation. He noted the erosion of middle-class jobs in the U.S. and China's rising influence as signs that the current order is no longer sustainable.

🟢 Furthermore, he warned about the fragility of the domestic political system and the deterioration of democratic norms. Gaps in education, opportunity, productivity, income, and values are driving polarization and empowering extreme factions.

🌐 On a global scale, Dalio observed a shift in the U.S. approach from multilateral leadership to a more unilateral, power-centric model. He urged observers to look beyond surface-level events and to consider how debt, politics, international power, nature, and technology are interacting to push the world toward a new era.

⚡️ Bitcoin's Maturing Role as a Macro Asset

🔍 James Toledano, COO of Unity Wallet, emphasizes that Bitcoin's measured response to a significant sell-off—triggered by the U.S. imposing "reciprocal" tariffs on over 100 countries—demonstrates its growing maturity as a macro asset.

📉 After weeks of moving in sync with traditional assets, Bitcoin (BTC) reacted calmly to a historic sell-off. This sell-off saw BTC drop over 25% from its January 20 peak of just over $109,000, challenging the idea that BTC is uncorrelated with traditional assets. Coingecko data indicates that Bitcoin fell from over $82,200 on April 1 to just under $75,000 on April 7 amid fears of a trade war. However, the Trump administration's unexpected decision to pause "reciprocal tariffs" helped BTC recover some losses.

While it’s far from decoupled or insulated from broader economic shocks, it has fared surprisingly well during this recent market-wide sell-off.

Toledano said.

This might suggest that fewer investors view it as merely another high-beta risk trade. Instead, we’re beginning to see bitcoin occupy a liminal space between risk and refuge.

📊 In contrast to BTC's performance, gold had its best weeks in decades. Starting the year just above $2,580 per ounce, gold gained over $500 by March 31. Although the April 7 global market meltdown temporarily halted gold's rise, it reached a new milestone of just under $3,174 per ounce three days later.

But the global response to U.S. policy shifts is reinforcing bitcoin’s core proposition: a non-sovereign store of value in an increasingly fragmented world.

Toledano argued.

While not yet a traditional safe haven, bitcoin is growing into that role—its resilience increasingly speaks louder than price action alone.