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โš”๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿ’ฉ Analysis of the Situation in Ukraine by the US Troll Entity "Institute for the Study of War" (ISW):

โš ๏ธ What annoys me most is that the trolls have predicted the Russian withdrawal from the Dnipro bridgehead, which I did not think possible for political reasons (I will comment on this separately). Otherwise ISW forecasts are rather pathetic and inspired by wishful thinking, such as Kupyansk being conquered within 3 days. It took weeks for the Russians to withdraw.

November 9 Key Takeaways๐Ÿ”ป

โ–ช๏ธ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) ordered Russian forces on the west (right) bank of the Dnipro River to begin withdrawing to the east (left) bank on November 9.

โ–ช๏ธ The battle of Kherson is not inherently over, but Russian forces have entered a new phaseโ€” prioritizing withdrawing their forces across the river in good order and delaying Ukrainian forces, rather than seeking to halt the Ukrainian counteroffensive entirely.

โ–ช๏ธ Many prominent voices in the Russian milblogger space sided with Surovikin and lauded the decision as a necessary one, indicating that Russian leadership has learned from the information effects of the disastrous Russian withdrawal from Kharkiv Oblast in mid-September.

โ–ช๏ธ Russian National Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev met with senior Iranian officials in Tehran on November 9, likely to discuss the sale of Iranian ballistic missiles to Russia and other forms of cooperation.

โ–ช๏ธ Russian and Ukrainian sources reported continued fighting along the Svatove-Kremmina highway and Bilohorivka, Luhansk Oblast.

โ–ช๏ธ Ukrainian forces made territorial gains northeast of Kherson City and continued their successful interdiction campaign.

โ–ช๏ธ Russian forces continued offensive operations around Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and in western Donetsk Oblast.

โ–ช๏ธ Russian federal subjects are struggling to pay mobilized personnel, and the Russian military is struggling to provision them.

โ–ช๏ธ Relatives of mobilized personnel continue to protest lack of payment and poor conditions.

โ–ช๏ธ Russian occupation deputy head of Kherson Oblast Kirill Stremousov was killed in a claimed car accident in rear Kherson Oblast the day Russian forces announced their withdrawal from the west bank of Kherson Oblast.

โ–ช๏ธ Occupation authorities in rear areas are likely increasing law enforcement crackdowns and filtration measures amid fears of Ukrainian counteroffensives after the November 9 withdrawal announcement.

t.me/sitreports /@TheStudyofWar/
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โš”๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿ’ฉ The British Unintelligence has the Floor๐Ÿ”บ

๐Ÿ‘ Today ok, maybe the gin ran out, poor Brits ๐Ÿผ

t.me/sitreports /@DefenceHQ/
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโš”๏ธ Situation in the #Soledar Direction until 14:00 on 10 Nov 2022โšก๏ธ

#Bakhmut Area:

โ–ช๏ธ The Wagner PMC assault troops continue to storm Ukrainian positions in the southeastern part of #Bakhmut and in the #Kurdyumovka area. The "Wagnerians" have advanced towards #Andreevka and #Kleshcheevka.

โ–ช๏ธ #Bakhmutskoye has been completely cleared out, and Russian troops are close to #Soledar. Heavy fighting is also taking place for the village of #Belogorovka, where half of the settlement is currently under the control of the musicians.

โ–ช๏ธ To deter the Russian offensive, AFU artillery crews are shelling the areas of #Ivangrad, #Zaitsevo and #Mayorsk. Reinforcements were moved to the contact line to reinforce the 53rd and 54th Mechanized Brigades of the AFU.

โ–ช๏ธ Due to significant losses in personnel and equipment, the command of the Operation Task Group Soledar plans to withdraw the 93rd Mechanized Brigade from the #Podgorodnoye - #Soledar - #Yakovlevka line for restoration, starting on 16 November

โ–ช๏ธ In addition, preparations are underway for a partial withdrawal of personnel of the 30th AFU Mechanized Brigade from the vicinity of #Bakhmut. The positional defence areas of the two Ukrainian formations will be handed over to separate units of the 24th Mechanized Brigade.

#Lysychansk Sector:

โ–ช๏ธ Fighting for (another) #Belogorovka continues. To reinforce the positions, 80th Separate Air Assault Brigade and armoured vehicles of the 81st Airmobile Brigade of the AFU have been moved to the #Serebryanka- #Belogorovka line

t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/41037 /#smo/
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Forwarded from Global Intel Watch
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’ฅ Have Fun with the Drone Operatorsโšก๏ธ

Let's move on.... Adjustment of artillery at an Ukrop stronghold, the shell hit the ammunition depot, fleeing Khokhol warriors to nowhere ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ’ช

Especially for other channels, if you steal material, write from whom ๐Ÿ˜„

โš ๏ธ Verbatim Translation

t.me/sitreports /@tankist4/#vid/
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐ŸŽค In the following Posts, some Opinions on the Announced Russian Withdrawal from the Dnipro Bridgehead ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡
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Forwarded from Victor vicktop55 (victor)
In Ukraine, they do not believe that Russian troops are leaving Kherson.

The โ€œdo not believeโ€ marathon continues on the Ukrainian side:
โ€œSome people think that they are very cunningโ€ฆ But we are one step ahead,โ€ writes Andriy Yermak, head of the Office of the President of Ukraine. "It's a staged show." The Ukrainian command commented on Russia's withdrawal from Kherson.
The statements of the Russian command about the withdrawal from Kherson can be a โ€œstaged showโ€, and itโ€™s too early to talk about the capture of Kherson, said Natalya Gumenyuk, spokesman for the Operational Command โ€œSouthโ€.
Gumenyuk called the announcement of the withdrawal of troops from Kherson an attempt by the Russian leadership to "save face" and noted that this was not the first time this had happened. โ€œWhat is now being announced [about the withdrawal of Russian troops from Kherson] is an attempt to create a certain impression that the lives of soldiers will be saved, that the civilian population will be saved โ€“ and another demonization of the armed forces of Ukraine,โ€ Gumenyuk said.
According to her, a real military operation requires a regime of information silence, and โ€œa staged show with the announcement of such serious and difficult decisions is a long-understood method of justifying oneself.โ€
At the same time, as Gumenyuk notes, the defense lines near Kherson have been created, and regular Russian troops are on the ground and are ready to defend.
The statement of the Russian command, according to Gumenyuk, may be "an element of an information-psychological operation in order to create an erroneous impression of true intentions." https://t.me/ukraina_ru/114906
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Forwarded from Zornkrieger
Withdrawing from Kherson:

Pros -
1. Youโ€™re not dealing with supply issues of relying on pontoons and bridges that are being targeted every other day
2. The manpower needed to defend the Dnieper river will be much less than to defend Kherson
3. You free up assets for an attack in the Donbas
4. You secure a flank with the Dnieper river as your barrier
5. Narrowing the frontline, which favors the side with less manpower and more artillery (Added)
6. Prevents the destruction of Kherson city if the Ukrainians were to succeed in an offensive (Added)
7. Prolongs the stalemate situation until the Russian mobilized arrive (Added)

Cons -
1. Major political defeat, losing a capitol city of one of the new territories
2. Ukrainians now free up forces to be used in the Donbas
3. Ukraine secures their flank
4. You lose a strategic bridgehead across the Dneiper that wonโ€™t be easy to get back
5. Potential of increased support from the West in aid and equipment (Added)
6. Ranged systems like HIMARS can now potentially strike targets in Crimea (Added)
7. Potential threat of internal unrest (Added)
8. International perspective of Russia may be altered (Added)
9. Ukrainian war crimes, war crimes propaganda by the Ukrainians, on remaining civilians that refused to evacuate (Added)
10. Morale boost to Ukrainians, decreased morale on the Russian side (Added)
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‘ Opinion: On the announced Russian #Dnipro Bridgehead Retreatโšก๏ธ

ใ€ฝ๏ธ This is the third heavy defeat of the Russian Federation after #Kiev and #Kharkov (#Belakleya).

โ–ช๏ธ While #Kiev only damaged the reputation, after #Kharkov citizens with new Russian passports (the region was in the process of integration to Russian Federation) lost their belongings and surprised ones left behind were exposed to the purges of Ukrainian death squads. For #Kherson, on the other hand, evacuations were carried out in time in accordance with international law, as lessons were apparently learned from the #Kharkov mistakes. But with the Kherson withdrawal, #Russia is losing territory to #Ukraine.

โ–ช๏ธ I will not deny that the withdrawal is in line with military needs and Kadyrov and others were also involved in announcing the decision. From (most?) Russian reporters close to the state, it is signalled approval, as expected.

On the other hand, the difficult supply situation in the bridgehead region has not existed for only about two weeks. It was clear to anyone with a modicum of military understanding that the damage to the Crimean Bridge and the constant attacks on Antonovsky Bridge at #Kerson and other bridges in the region would not remain without consequences.

โ–ช๏ธ For many weeks, experts, @Rybar, Russian bloggers, Telegram Channels, circles in state television and journalists etc. have been calling for a tougher approach to the conflict (so have I).

โ–ช๏ธ Destruction of dams and attacks on power plants (even Nuclear) was started on the part of #Ukraine attacks. Has #Ukraine ever been seriously criticised for this by its Western patrons and their media? The same applies to #Ukraine's permanent warfare in violation of international law. Does #Russia believe that it will somehow be rewarded for noble warfare by the West?

โ–ช๏ธ The current situation. There are midterm elections in the USA, winter is coming, the situation in the unfriendly and hostile states is worsening and recently one has increasingly heard the word negotiations. And yesterday the Russian Foreign Ministry announced its willingness to negotiate, taking into account the current situation?

โ–ช๏ธ A PR performance could not be worse. A war is not only won on the battlefield. In the media age, public opinion is more important than ever, because #Ukraine is 100% on the drip of Western taxpayers. And now weakness is signalled so that the enemy's propaganda gets a boost again?

โ–ช๏ธ Back to noble warfare. The blows to #Ukraine's energy system have been half-hearted at best. We must be clear about this, #Ukraine still has power and is repairing everything rapidly.

โ–ช๏ธ One usually measures the success of an operation by the objectives set. But after almost 11 months, all the objectives of the "Special Military Operation" are more distant than ever. On the other hand, much further suffering has (inevitably) been caused worldwide.

โ–ช๏ธ The Russian leadership must realise that the conflict must end. Either you lose out in negotiations or you force the other side to accept your terms in negotiations.

๐Ÿ’ก The Ukrainian energy system lends itself to forcing the other side to give in. The other side does not need a de-energised #Ukraine, if only because of the wave of refugees it fears.

๐Ÿฉธ After the loss of the Battle of #Kherson, #Russia must now act with all its might, just as the other side is doing, although the energy war was ultimately started by #Ukraine and is therefore excusable.
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โšก๏ธ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraineโšก๏ธ
(10 November 2022)

โ—ฝ๏ธ The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.

โ—ฝ๏ธ In Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction, the manoeuvre of Russian troops to the prepared positions on the left bank of the Dnepr River is under way, in strict accordance with the approved plan.

๐Ÿ’ฅIn Kupyansk direction, the enemy with up to two companies reinforced by nationalists and foreign mercenaries made unsuccessful attempts to attack units of Russian troops in direction of Kuzyomovka (Lugansk People's Republic). Through the active action of our troops and artillery fire, the enemy units were stopped and dispersed on the far approaches to the defence line. Over 90 Ukrainian personnel, one tank, and four armoured fighting vehicles have been eliminated.

๐Ÿ’ฅIn Krasny Liman direction, Russian troops thwarted an attempt by two reinforced platoons of the AFU to attack Stelmakhovka and Ploshchanka (Lugansk People's Republic). As a result of the shelling, the enemy's losses were 70 Ukrainian servicemen killed and wounded, one infantry fighting vehicle, and three pickup trucks.

๐Ÿ’ฅIn South Donetsk direction, a counterattack by AFU units has been repulsed near Nikolskoye (Donetsk People's Republic). Russian artillery and army aviation destroyed up to 55 fighters, one tank, and two armoured fighting vehicles.

๐Ÿ’ฅOperational-Tactical and Army Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery has hit two command posts of the AFU and foreign mercenaries near Nikolayev and Sukhoi Stavok (Kherson region), as well as 46 artillery units in firing positions, manpower and military equipment in 153 areas.

๐Ÿ’ฅThree US-made AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery radar stations have been destroyed near Krasny Liman (Donetsk People's Republic), Novogrigorovka (Kherson region), and Novopoltavka (Nikolayev region). The AFU fuel depot has been destroyed near Annovka (Dnepropetrovsk region). The AFU munitions depot of artillery was destroyed near Novoaleksandrovka, (Nikolayev region).

๐Ÿ’ฅA Su-25 aircraft of the AFU has been shot down by Russian Aerospace Forces fighter aircraft near Malomikhailovskoye (Nikolayev region). A Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopter has been neutralised near Rizdvyanka (Zaporozhye region).

๐Ÿ’ฅ Nine unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down by air defence forces near Golikovo and Chervonopopovka (Lugansk People's Republic), Kirillovka, Yegorovka, and Novoandreyevka (Donetsk People's Republic), Vasilyevka (Zaporozhye region), and Veseloye and Krynki (Kherson region).

โ—ฝ๏ธIn addition, 21 HIMARS and Olkha multiple-launch rocket systems were intercepted near Vysokoye, Tomarino, Antonovka, Nikolskoye, and Novaya Kakhovka (Kherson region), as well as three HARM anti-radiation missile near Guselskoye (Donetsk People's Republic), Nikolskoye and Korsunka (Kherson region).

#MoD #Russia #Ukraine #report
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Anyaโœจ)
โšก๏ธExclusiveโšก๏ธ

โšก๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บThe flag of the Russian Federation is raised over Pavlovkaโšก๏ธ
Pavlovka in the Ugledar direction was fully liberated and cleared yesterday after heavy fighting by the combined forces of the Donbas OBTF "Kaskad" and the marines of the 155th and 40th brigades of the Russian Armed Forces.

Pictures by : Wargonzo
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’ฅ #Donbass - Ukrainian BMP hit near #Ugledarโšก๏ธ

A Russian UAV detected a Ukrainian BMP-1 armoured personnel carrier moving into position: the enemy was planning to open fire on the western outskirts of #Vladimirovka.

The BMP that had reached the opening fire point was hit by a high-precision ammunition from an artillery crew of the Russian Armed Forces.

Most likely, a Krasnopol corrective projectile was used to incapacitate the enemy's equipment.

Coordinates: 47.779928, 37.374942

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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Olaf)
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ #Donbass - Russian Grad MLRS firing on AFU positions in #Georgievkaโšก๏ธ

The footage from the Tankers of the Southern Military District by @tankist4 depicts Russian Grad multiple-launch rocket system operating on the village of #Georgievka, located near the strategically important village of #Maryinka.

Judging by the area where the private sector was hit, the strike targeted a concentration of the enemy's personnel and equipment in #Georgievka.

There is intense fighting in #Maryinka itself. Assault units of the Russian Armed Forces and DPR People's Militia are advancing towards Druzhba Avenue. The western part of the settlement is still under the control of the AFU.

Coordinates: 47.961851, 37.447370

t.me/Slavyangrad /@rybar/@sitreports/#vid/
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Forwarded from BorisBlade
The Germans are tired of NATO
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐ŸŽฏ Battle for #Donbass - #Kaskad on the Huntโšก๏ธ

Nazis are not welcome in the #Donbass. Servicemen of the DPR OBTF 'Kaskad' successfully identify and destroy the henchmen of the #Kiev regime in the #Ugledar direction.

โš ๏ธ Verbatim Translation

t.me/sitreports /@obtf_kaskad/#vid/
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโš”๏ธ Situation in the #Ugledar Direction until 18:00 on 10 Nov 2022โšก๏ธ

๐Ÿฉธ Late in the afternoon, information emerged that the village of #Pavlovka had come fully under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. According to other sources, the AFU withdrew from the settlement but retained control of the northern approaches to the village.

The Russian Armed Forces first liberated the settlement back in the spring. In June, Ukrainian formations recaptured the village and in late October Russian forces launched a counteroffensive against the lost positions.

โ–ช๏ธ Fighting for #Pavlovka lasted several weeks, with units of the Pacific Fleet Brigade and the DPR OBTF suffered losses in personnel and equipment during the clashes.

โ–ช๏ธ However, Russian forces also managed to inflict heavy damage on the enemy, including the active use of Lancet and Kub loitering munitions, which disabled enemy artillery in the near rear and hit personnel in #Pavlovka itself.

โ–ช๏ธ There were no changes in the front line in other sections. There are skirmishes and exchanges of artillery fire near #Prechistovka and #Novomikhailovka, but no active offensive actions are being taken by the Russian Armed Forces.

t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/41043 /#smo/
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Olaf)
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ #Donbass - Destruction of an AFU Armoured vehicle near #Pavlovkaโšก๏ธ

A Russian Armed Forces UAV detected an Ukrainian International MaxxPro armoured vehicle west of #Pavlovka. It was then hit on the move by a high-precision munition from Russian forces.

The vehicle is highly protected against mines and roadside bombs. Because of this, at least four AFU fighters managed to survive after being hit by the shell.

At the time the video was filmed, the enemy held around 30% of the #Pavlovka development. The operation of UAVs and artillery by the RF Armed Forces significantly complicated the supply and rotation of Ukrainian formations in the populated area.

Coordinates: 47.760944, 37.182587

t.me/Slavyangrad /@rybar/@sitreports/#vid/
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โšก๏ธโš”๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ—“ MoD Top News from Yesterday - Summaryโšก๏ธ

โš”๏ธ Pacific Fleet's 155th Separate Marine Brigade operate in South Donetsk direction.

๐Ÿ’ฅ In Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction, the manoeuvre of Russian troops to the prepared positions on the left bank of the Dnepr River is under way, in strict accordance with the approved plan.

๐Ÿ’ฅ In Kupyansk direction, the enemy with up to 2 companies reinforced by nationalists and foreign mercenaries made unsuccessful attempts to attack units of Russian troops towards Kuzyomovka (LPR).

๐Ÿ’ฅ In Krasny Liman direction, Russian troops thwarted an attempt of 2 reinforced platoons of the AFU to attack Stelmakhovka and Ploshchanka (LPR).

๐Ÿ’ฅ In South Donetsk direction, a counterattack by AFU units has been repulsed near Nikolskoye (DPR).

๐Ÿ“น Russian Defence Ministry shows Orlan-10 UAV and Ka-52 helicopter crews, as well as Western MD mortar crew in combat action in the special military operation.

๐Ÿช– Mobilised personnel and volunteers finish their training course in Stavropol region.

#MoD #TopNews #Russia #Ukraine
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