Forwarded from Ukraine Watch
Due to recent statements by Zelensky, which hint at a willingness to stop the war at the front line, there's a question of how Ukrainian society will react to such a move.
Some believe that if Zelensky abandons the demand to return to the 1991 borders, he could be ousted from power, either through a new Maidan, a rebellion by "patriotic soldiers," or elections if the war ends.
Borys Krotevych of the Azov Regiment stated, "No peace without victory. Victory means no Russian soldiers on Ukrainian territory. If this is an attempt to compromise, don't even think about it."
Aleksey Arestovich argues that the government has created high expectations of victory, and changing this stance could cause public outrage. Political analyst Volodymyr Fesenko mentioned that Zelensky's opponents are trying to corner him: if he negotiates peace without the 1991 borders, he will be labeled a traitor; if he doesn't, he will be accused of sacrificing the Ukrainian people.
However, the war-time sociology doesn't reflect true public sentiment, as many fear expressing views contrary to the government's. There is an increasing number of people supporting a compromise for peace, and if the government advocates this, public opinion might shift in its favor.
Moreover, if Zelensky and his team decide, they can potentially shift the public's image of victory to mean "preserving Ukrainian statehood and access to the sea." Many Ukrainians, including notable figures from various political backgrounds, already support this view.
Stopping the war at the front line might not be seen as betrayal by residents of frontline cities, men avoiding conscription, or struggling Ukrainian entrepreneurs. The main threat to Zelensky comes from nationalist and far-right groups who benefit from prolonged conflict.
Ultimately, Zelensky can control the situation and avoid unrest if he ends the war at the front line. As "the president who preserved Ukraine's independence and led it to a fair peace," he could even have good chances for re-election.
The real challenge in peace negotiations will be agreeing on terms that include security guarantees for Ukraine and ensuring the war does not resume, involving not just Russia but also the West and possibly China. Reaching such an agreement will be complex, but if achieved, internal Ukrainian sentiment is unlikely to be a major obstacle.
A prolonged war poses greater risks, threatening to drain the nation and army, destabilize the country, and potentially lead to military defeat.
@ukraine_watch
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Intel Republic
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
โก๏ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธReports of the Russian Opponent up to Morning of 3 July 2024 until 08:32 Moscow Timeโก๏ธ
๐ด #Kharkov Front:
๐ก In #Volchansk, in the northern part of the town, fighting continues for a block of high-rise buildings and along Sobornaya and Pushkin Streets. The situation has not changed significantly.
๐ก The RFAF published footage of the presence in the southern part of the ruins of house No. 33 on Sobornaya Street, but subsequently retreated across the street due to the inability to hold the position.
๐ฌ Reported on 3 Jul at 08:32
๐บ Map 1๐
๐ด In #ChasovYar, the RFAF have gained a foothold in the remaining part of the Kanal Microdistrict and continues to press into the Orlova Tract in the direction of the Seversky Donets-Donbass Canal (supplement to yesterday's publication).
๐ฌ Reported on 3 Jul at 08:01
๐บ Map 2๐
๐บ๐ฆ ๐ Map
๐ฑ Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
๐ฌ Reported on 3 Jul at 08:32
๐ฌ Reported on 3 Jul at 08:01
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
โก๏ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ RFAF Entry into #Makeyevka in #Liman Sector of #Svatovo Directionโก๏ธ
๐ท๐บ The RFAF entered #Makeyevka on the eastern edge and also advanced on a broad front northeast of the settlement, which lies northwest of #Kremennaya.
๐บ Map: @z_arhiv
๐ฑ Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
โก๏ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ RFAF Advance in and at #Staromayorskoye on #Vremyevka Ledge in #Ugledar Directionโก๏ธ
๐ท๐บ The RFAF advanced in, northwest of and north of #Staromayorskoye. Expansion of the control zone of the RF Armed Forces more than 1 km to the north.
๐ฌ Attack of the RFAF by motorised rifle units north of #Staromayorskoye. The assault groups are advancing on motorcycles and occupying new positions in the area of โโheight 171.6.
๐ Geolocation:
๐ Video: Source
๐บ Map: @z_arhiv
๐ฑ Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
๐ฌ Attack of the RFAF by motorised rifle units north of #Staromayorskoye. The assault groups are advancing on motorcycles and occupying new positions in the area of โโheight 171.6.
๐ Geolocation:
47.76005, 36.77698
& 47.76336 36.78977
๐ Video: Source
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Fearless John - @European_dissident
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โพThe widow of the pro western Russian opposition leader Navalny has been hired as chairperson of the Human Rights Foundation. Navalny and his wife were known for their far right and racist views, described as Russian imperialists by western media. Apparently now are the symbols of an organisation who claims to fight against tyranny... That should tell you all you need to know about the deceiving ways of the western propaganda organisations.
โพFollow:
https://t.me/European_dissident
โพFollow:
https://t.me/European_dissident
Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
โก๏ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ RFAF Advance Southwest of #Novoaleksandrovka on the North #Avdeyevka Frontโก๏ธ
๐ท๐บ The RFAF Assault Squads advanced southeast of #Lozovatskoye and northwest of #Progress (this is not a joke or a mistranslation) close towards the village boundaries.
๐บ Maps: @z_arhiv; the 2nd is a Topographical Map
๐ฑ Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from UKR LEAKS_eng
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
By the end of the year, 200 thousand people will be mobilized in Ukraine if the mobilization campaign continues at the current pace
This was announced by the Secretary of the Defense Committee of the Rada Kostenko.
According to him, such mobilization will allow the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to be staffed to a level at which they have never been before.
@ukr_leaks_eng
This was announced by the Secretary of the Defense Committee of the Rada Kostenko.
According to him, such mobilization will allow the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to be staffed to a level at which they have never been before.
@ukr_leaks_eng
Forwarded from Fearless John - @European_dissident
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โพSkin diseases, dysentery, and hepatitis spiking in Gaza due to the Israeli destruction of water facilities
Al Jazeera reports on the spread of infectious diseases in the Gaza Strip due to the lack of clean water and sanitation.
โพFollow:
https://t.me/European_dissident
Al Jazeera reports on the spread of infectious diseases in the Gaza Strip due to the lack of clean water and sanitation.
โพFollow:
https://t.me/European_dissident
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
๐บ๐ฆ AFU commander-in-chief names main problem of Ukrainian army after trip to Eastern Front
- General Syrskyy returned from a trip to the Eastern Front and said that the main problem of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is the lack of motivated and trained servicemen. He noted that this is a key issue for commanders at all levels.
- Syrsky stressed that the situation in the Pokrovskiy direction (where the Dare-Devils, the Center group, are advancing) remains the most difficult. The lack of qualified and motivated fighters makes it difficult to fulfill tasks and affects the overall combat capability of the Ukrainian army.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+U_EDAcaO-HFjNzEx
@Slavyangrad | Andrei๐
- General Syrskyy returned from a trip to the Eastern Front and said that the main problem of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is the lack of motivated and trained servicemen. He noted that this is a key issue for commanders at all levels.
- Syrsky stressed that the situation in the Pokrovskiy direction (where the Dare-Devils, the Center group, are advancing) remains the most difficult. The lack of qualified and motivated fighters makes it difficult to fulfill tasks and affects the overall combat capability of the Ukrainian army.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://t.me/+U_EDAcaO-HFjNzEx
@Slavyangrad | Andrei
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Battle Maps & Reports
โก๏ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธRFAF Entry into #Druzhba in #Toretsk Sector of #Bakhmut Directionโก๏ธ
๐ท๐บ The RFAF advanced into #Druzhba. The Russian forward position in the residential sector came under AFU drone attack. The advance of the RFAF from the pumping station of the Seversky Donets-Donbass Canal in the west is more than 1 km.
๐ต Further west on Map, is the town of #Dzerzhinsk/ #Toretsk. To the southwest is #Artemovo (#Zaliznoye).
๐ Geolocation:
๐ Video: Source
๐บ Maps: @z_arhiv; 2nd ๐ Topographical Map; #smo
๐ฑ Battle Maps & Reports - for the Military Hardcore
๐ Geolocation:
48.410032 37.929324
๐ Video: Source
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from Two Majors - English Channel
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Forwarded from GLOBAL DEPTH from HK
๐ฌ๐ฌโ๏ธโ๏ธ๐ต๐ธ๐ซ๐ซ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐๐ต๐ธ
LANGUAGE USE AS A MEASURE OF ARAB BATTLEFIELD SUCCESS IN PALESTINE
โ๏ธWritten by Hikaru Kitabayashiโ๏ธ
Hamas affiliated groups have often been accused of exaggeration in describing their successes. This seems to be based on a misinterpretation of the terminology they use. Because they are forced to use the hit and run techniques of guerilla warfare and because most of the equipment they use is not technologically advanced, they are almost never in a position to supply opponent casualty number estimates. They are, however, careful to name those of their own ranks who die in battle.
The lowest level of battlefield action is "targeting" something. With no other descriptive term, it simply means unguided ammunition rounds were shot in the direction of a target. It does not mean that an actual hit took place or any material damage was done. In fact, in most cases, it would be impossible to know. This does not mean that "targeting" is meaningless. It is most meaningful. It keeps Zionist military forces tied down to often nonessential geographic areas and thus allows resistance forces a chance to regroup and attack elsewhere. Also, there are cases of unreported damage which, due to Israeli military censorship, are never reported. And, even when no material damage is done, the psychological damage to the Zionist military is costly.
When a targeted object can be verified as having been struck, this is invariably mentioned in reports. This is a much smaller number than the number of targeted objects mentioned, which leads one to believe that numbers are not exaggerated. Due to the comparative weakness of Palestinian weapons, direct hits do not always result in significant damage, nor can significant damage always be verified. In such cases, Zionist military censorship will normally suppress reports of such an event. When significant damage can be verified by Palestinians, it is reported. Again, the number given for significant damage is always lower than that for verified hits.
In those very few cases when direct hits result in verifiable casualties, it is, of course, always mentioned in battlefield reports which tend to be up-to-the-minute pretty much 24 hours a day. Casualties include wounded and killed and this can be verified by the appearance of Israeli military rescue helicopters coming to the battlefield and returning to hospitals in the Zionist state. Palestinian sources almost never have a way of directly knowing casualty numbers, so enemy battlefield casualty estimates are almost never given. Instead, mention is made when panic and loud wailing occur. Furthermore, Israeli military censorship filtered casualty figures are carefully followed and reported on for what they are worth.
We can conclude that Palestinian resistance force reports of battlefield activity heavily underestimate the number of Israeli losses. These reports, of course, do not cover civilian casualties on either side, nor do they normally give an account of the wounded among Palestinian resistance military forces. But, in terms of Palestinian military deaths, they seem to be fairly accurate. On the other hand, besides overestimating damage done to Palestinian forces, Israeli censorship also heavily underestimates both the number of the wounded and the dead among the Israeli military. Especially, the number of dead Israeli soldiers seems ridiculously small for the amount of battlefield action. A rough estimate based on a reading of hundreds of Palestinian battlefield reports per day would indicate a daily average of 50 to 100 Israeli deaths and at least an equal number of wounded being hospitalized. The invisible psychological damage done, though, has to be at least 10 times as great and far more dangerous to the Zionist state. The breaking point is a matter of when, not if.
๐Join Global Depth to boost your TG Feed with my Daily Release
Telegram
GLOBAL DEPTH from HK
This channel aims to unite interested individuals from around the world in an attempt to connect the dots. Subscriber participation is always welcome.
LANGUAGE USE AS A MEASURE OF ARAB BATTLEFIELD SUCCESS IN PALESTINE
โ๏ธWritten by Hikaru Kitabayashiโ๏ธ
Hamas affiliated groups have often been accused of exaggeration in describing their successes. This seems to be based on a misinterpretation of the terminology they use. Because they are forced to use the hit and run techniques of guerilla warfare and because most of the equipment they use is not technologically advanced, they are almost never in a position to supply opponent casualty number estimates. They are, however, careful to name those of their own ranks who die in battle.
The lowest level of battlefield action is "targeting" something. With no other descriptive term, it simply means unguided ammunition rounds were shot in the direction of a target. It does not mean that an actual hit took place or any material damage was done. In fact, in most cases, it would be impossible to know. This does not mean that "targeting" is meaningless. It is most meaningful. It keeps Zionist military forces tied down to often nonessential geographic areas and thus allows resistance forces a chance to regroup and attack elsewhere. Also, there are cases of unreported damage which, due to Israeli military censorship, are never reported. And, even when no material damage is done, the psychological damage to the Zionist military is costly.
When a targeted object can be verified as having been struck, this is invariably mentioned in reports. This is a much smaller number than the number of targeted objects mentioned, which leads one to believe that numbers are not exaggerated. Due to the comparative weakness of Palestinian weapons, direct hits do not always result in significant damage, nor can significant damage always be verified. In such cases, Zionist military censorship will normally suppress reports of such an event. When significant damage can be verified by Palestinians, it is reported. Again, the number given for significant damage is always lower than that for verified hits.
In those very few cases when direct hits result in verifiable casualties, it is, of course, always mentioned in battlefield reports which tend to be up-to-the-minute pretty much 24 hours a day. Casualties include wounded and killed and this can be verified by the appearance of Israeli military rescue helicopters coming to the battlefield and returning to hospitals in the Zionist state. Palestinian sources almost never have a way of directly knowing casualty numbers, so enemy battlefield casualty estimates are almost never given. Instead, mention is made when panic and loud wailing occur. Furthermore, Israeli military censorship filtered casualty figures are carefully followed and reported on for what they are worth.
We can conclude that Palestinian resistance force reports of battlefield activity heavily underestimate the number of Israeli losses. These reports, of course, do not cover civilian casualties on either side, nor do they normally give an account of the wounded among Palestinian resistance military forces. But, in terms of Palestinian military deaths, they seem to be fairly accurate. On the other hand, besides overestimating damage done to Palestinian forces, Israeli censorship also heavily underestimates both the number of the wounded and the dead among the Israeli military. Especially, the number of dead Israeli soldiers seems ridiculously small for the amount of battlefield action. A rough estimate based on a reading of hundreds of Palestinian battlefield reports per day would indicate a daily average of 50 to 100 Israeli deaths and at least an equal number of wounded being hospitalized. The invisible psychological damage done, though, has to be at least 10 times as great and far more dangerous to the Zionist state. The breaking point is a matter of when, not if.
๐Join Global Depth to boost your TG Feed with my Daily Release
Telegram
GLOBAL DEPTH from HK
This channel aims to unite interested individuals from around the world in an attempt to connect the dots. Subscriber participation is always welcome.
Telegram
GLOBAL DEPTH from HK
The world is in crisis. Humanity's very existence is in the balance. This channel explores beneath the surface causation and and subsequent effects of world events. Original posts published are, at most, no more than two per day, but aim at digging deep.
Forwarded from ๐ฆ๐บAussieCossack๐ท๐บ
โ๏ธPANIC: Zelensky demands Trump reveal his plans for Ukraine.
๐คฃ"If Trump knows how to end this war, he should tell us today. If there are risks to Ukrainian independence, if we lose our statehood, we want to be prepared for this, we want to know" Zelensky told Bloomberg.
๐Subscribe @AussieCossack
๐คฃ"If Trump knows how to end this war, he should tell us today. If there are risks to Ukrainian independence, if we lose our statehood, we want to be prepared for this, we want to know" Zelensky told Bloomberg.
๐Subscribe @AussieCossack
Forwarded from Fearless John - @European_dissident
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โพAn Israeli soldier posted this footage of a tortured Palestinian youth they kidnapped from Rafah City, captioning it with a dehumanizing remark:
- "flies are attracted to excrement".
โพFollow:
https://t.me/European_dissident
- "flies are attracted to excrement".
โพFollow:
https://t.me/European_dissident