Scorpi18 | Market Insights
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Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov.

Note: This is not an investment advice.

Contact: @invoyager

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πŸ›’πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#oil #energy #stock #us #divergence
strong divergence between oil price and US oil stocks

oil = +14% YTD
oil stocks = +68% YTD
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅#lng #gas #japan
Japan - LNG prises continue to rise

energy crisis moves from Europe to Asia

#energy #crisis
☒️ #uranium #nuclear #opinion
BBG: uranium prices could rise sharply if the US gives up on Russian uranium
β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”-
early: US is looking for a replacement for Russian uranium

early: energy crisis triggered by the war in Ukraine has renewed interest in nuclear power

#energy #crisis
πŸͺ¨πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί #coal #europe #esg
the price and demand for coal is rising due to the energy crisis in Europe, but Western coal producers can't get loans (from Western banks) to expand its production because of ESG principles. Instead, they are raising money via public markets, pre-sale finance, trading houses, private equity firms and investment funds - RTRS

#energy #crisis
☒️🌎#nuclear #energy #world #macro
with the beginning of the energy crisis in Europe, number of nuclear programs around the world began to grow

πŸ’₯#uranium
βš οΈπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§#uk #energy #crisis #electricity
UK - Electricity prices rose significantly in November
βš οΈπŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ #electricity #uk
UK - Electricity Prices = Record

#energy #crisis
πŸ›’πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί#gas #europe #energy #crisis
Europe will need €100B to overcome the energy crisis in 2023 after Russia cut most natural gas to Europe - IEA

#renewable needs to speed renewables to the market and take other steps to avoid a potential shortage next year in 2023
πŸ›’πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί#gas #europe #energy #crisis
gas in Europe = $900
πŸ›’πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#stocks #us #return #energy
⚠️🌎#markets #world #flow #stats
Lipper - weekly financial flows:

WORLD STOCKS = outflow = -$0.529B (ex. -$39.1B last week)

US STOCKS = outflow = -$5.41B #us

❗️EUROPE STOCKS = inflow = +$0.46B #europe

ASIA STOCKS = inflow = +$1.66B #asia

EM STOCKS = outflow = -$0.344B #em

EM BONDS = outflow = -$0.097B

WORLD CASH = inflow = +$14.8B #cash

STATE BONDS = inflow = +$0.814B #bonds

PRECIOUS METAL = inflow = +$0.33B

ENERGY = outflow = -$0.247B #energy
πŸ›’πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί#europe #gas #energy #crisis
BBG: warm winter saved Europe from energy crisis

*European weather: Winter heat records smashed all over continent #weather

**past 8 years were the warmest on
record
⚠️🌎 #markets #flow #stats
Lipper - weekly financial flows:

WORLD STOCKS = outflow = -$1.85B #stocks

US STOCKS = outflow = -$3.5B #us

ASIA STOCKS = outflow = -$0.31B #asia

STATE BONDS WORLD = inflow = +$2.62B = the lowest inflow over the last 7 weeks #bonds

WORLD CASH = outflow = -$13.3B = the strongest outflow over the last 8 weeks #cash

ENERGY WORLD = inflow = +$0.034B = the lowest inflow over the last 3 weeks #energy

PRECIOUS METAL = inflow = +$0.002B #gold

EM STOCKS = inflow = +$1.92B #em

EM BONDS = outflow = -$1.44B #bonds
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#budget #us
The White House has released a draft budget for fiscal year 2024. It projects total outlays of $6.883T and total revenues of $5.036T

Biden budget would cut deficit by $3T over next decade

In the budget, US debt to rise from 97% of GDP in 2022 to 109.8% in 2033 #debt

The budget also boosts military spending to more than $835B #military

⚠️hiking the corporate tax rate to 28%, up from 21% #tax #business

⚠️abolition of tax privileges for energy companies #energy

⚠️raise the minimum tax on the rich to 25%

⚠️stock buybacks tax to rise from 1% to 4% #buyback

⚠️the budget will propose tax changes on crypto to eliminate wash trading #crypto
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί#europe #china #energy #macro
having dealt with the finishing of its dependence on Russia's oil and gas, EU now wants to end its dependence on Chinese supplies of minerals such as lithium, cobalt and etc. β€” FT

#metals #renewable #polysilicon
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#dividends #metals #energy
dividend yield of metallurgical and energy companies = max since 1980s
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ#energy #us #history
US now produces more energy than it consumes for the first time since the late 1950s