Clark Square Capital
RT @ClarkSquareCap: Idea thread time!
What's your best idea right now? (Any style, any market cap, any geography).
Be sure to add why you like it + valuation.
I will compile the responses and share.
Appreciate a RT for visibility! ๐
tweet
RT @ClarkSquareCap: Idea thread time!
What's your best idea right now? (Any style, any market cap, any geography).
Be sure to add why you like it + valuation.
I will compile the responses and share.
Appreciate a RT for visibility! ๐
tweet
Offshore
Video
Startup Archive
Max Levchin on when to fire someone
All founders will hire the wrong person at some point. When asked what signals he looks for to realize heโs made a hiring mistake, Max responds with a quote from the movie Ronin:
"Whenever there's a doubt, there's no doubt."
He explains:
โWhen you're staring at a peer - or if you're the CEO, at a direct report - and you catch yourself thinking, I wonder if you're here next year. This person shouldn't be here today. Unfortunately, it's that binary.โ
Importantly, this is not the same as hating a personโs guts at times - Max caveats that brilliant people cause that sort of emotional response. Wondering if a person will still be at the company next year is different:
โBoring people, untalented people, not hardworking people, people that don't have the company's best interest in mind, people that are undermining each other. Those people make you think I should have fired you yesterdayโฆ No one's ever said I wish I had fired that person laterโฆ When there's a doubt, there is no doubt. That's also applicable just about every other situation in life, but in people it's infinitely applicable.โ
Video source: @khoslaventures (2024)
tweet
Max Levchin on when to fire someone
All founders will hire the wrong person at some point. When asked what signals he looks for to realize heโs made a hiring mistake, Max responds with a quote from the movie Ronin:
"Whenever there's a doubt, there's no doubt."
He explains:
โWhen you're staring at a peer - or if you're the CEO, at a direct report - and you catch yourself thinking, I wonder if you're here next year. This person shouldn't be here today. Unfortunately, it's that binary.โ
Importantly, this is not the same as hating a personโs guts at times - Max caveats that brilliant people cause that sort of emotional response. Wondering if a person will still be at the company next year is different:
โBoring people, untalented people, not hardworking people, people that don't have the company's best interest in mind, people that are undermining each other. Those people make you think I should have fired you yesterdayโฆ No one's ever said I wish I had fired that person laterโฆ When there's a doubt, there is no doubt. That's also applicable just about every other situation in life, but in people it's infinitely applicable.โ
Video source: @khoslaventures (2024)
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Offshore
Photo
The Transcript
RT @TheTranscript_: $BE CEO: AI-driven electricity demand is overwhelming traditional grid infrastructure
"The upcoming AI computer racks will consume almost 100x more power than traditional CPU compute racks of yesteryears" https://t.co/fxg5NqPz7p
tweet
RT @TheTranscript_: $BE CEO: AI-driven electricity demand is overwhelming traditional grid infrastructure
"The upcoming AI computer racks will consume almost 100x more power than traditional CPU compute racks of yesteryears" https://t.co/fxg5NqPz7p
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Offshore
Photo
NecoKronos
If youโre grinding the markets daily, your volume should be paying for your tools ๐
https://t.co/J5F7lA6x84
We just made MMT Pro passive. Trade as usual on partner exchanges, fill the bar, and unlock the entire suite (Academy included) for $0.
No deadlines. No pressure. Just rewards for being active.
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If youโre grinding the markets daily, your volume should be paying for your tools ๐
https://t.co/J5F7lA6x84
We just made MMT Pro passive. Trade as usual on partner exchanges, fill the bar, and unlock the entire suite (Academy included) for $0.
No deadlines. No pressure. Just rewards for being active.
๐จYou can now get MMT Pro for FREE๐จ
If you sign up through our partner exchanges, you can unlock MMT Pro access, including advanced aggregation, HD tools, and access to the Academy.
Trade where you already trade and get the terminal on us. https://t.co/BNV7XdGe7a tweet
Offshore
Photo
God of Prompt
๐จ Most founders talk about "ethics in AI" at conferences while shipping engagement-maximizing algorithms the next morning.
Dong Nguyen actually deleted $50K/day because people were too addicted. A solo dev in Hanoi had more ethical backbone than entire AI companies.
Now think about this in 2026. We have AI systems designed to be psychologically addictive. Infinite content feeds tuned by reinforcement learning.
AI companions people form emotional dependencies on. Recommendation engines that know your dopamine triggers better than you do.
Flappy Bird was a pixel bird jumping through pipes. Today's AI products are engineering compulsion at a neurological level. And nobody's pulling the plug.
Dong Nguyen lost sleep over a simple game. Meanwhile AI companies watch engagement metrics climb and call it "user love."
The uncomfortable question nobody in AI wants to answer: if your product is generating $50K/day but destroying attention spans, sleep patterns, and mental health... would you kill it?
We already know the answer. They wouldn't even slow it down.
12 years later, Dong Nguyen is still the most ethical person in tech. And that says everything about where we are.
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๐จ Most founders talk about "ethics in AI" at conferences while shipping engagement-maximizing algorithms the next morning.
Dong Nguyen actually deleted $50K/day because people were too addicted. A solo dev in Hanoi had more ethical backbone than entire AI companies.
Now think about this in 2026. We have AI systems designed to be psychologically addictive. Infinite content feeds tuned by reinforcement learning.
AI companions people form emotional dependencies on. Recommendation engines that know your dopamine triggers better than you do.
Flappy Bird was a pixel bird jumping through pipes. Today's AI products are engineering compulsion at a neurological level. And nobody's pulling the plug.
Dong Nguyen lost sleep over a simple game. Meanwhile AI companies watch engagement metrics climb and call it "user love."
The uncomfortable question nobody in AI wants to answer: if your product is generating $50K/day but destroying attention spans, sleep patterns, and mental health... would you kill it?
We already know the answer. They wouldn't even slow it down.
12 years later, Dong Nguyen is still the most ethical person in tech. And that says everything about where we are.
12 years ago, โFlappy Birdโ creator announced he was removing the game from the App Store, due to how addictive it had become. https://t.co/bBiIMxbha8 tweet
Offshore
Photo
Benjamin Hernandez๐
Plot twist: The "gurus" posting 500% gains screenshots? Most are photoshopped or cherry-picked from 100 losing trades. My WhatsApp shows the full pictureโwins AND losses, real P&L, transparent trading.
See real results ๐ https://t.co/71FIJId47G
Send "Hi" asap.
$MU $PLTR $SOFI
tweet
Plot twist: The "gurus" posting 500% gains screenshots? Most are photoshopped or cherry-picked from 100 losing trades. My WhatsApp shows the full pictureโwins AND losses, real P&L, transparent trading.
See real results ๐ https://t.co/71FIJId47G
Send "Hi" asap.
$MU $PLTR $SOFI
๐ Deep Value Recovery: $JZXN
Recommendation: $JZXN
near $2.18 Even after a 63% rally, $JZXN remains fundamentally undervalued relative to its $1B token acquisition plans.
One-line why: This is a technical "mean reversion" play to the 200-day EMA near $1.65. https://t.co/J3Mm5EADUe tweet
Offshore
Video
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ซ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:
โI love volatilityโฆ Taco Bell went from $14 to $1โฆ they had no debt, never closed a restaurantโฆ I started buying at $7โฆ it went to $1โฆ Volatility is terrific.โ
___
๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ ๐ข๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ข๐ด ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ต๐ฐ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ. ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ด, ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ด๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ฅ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ.
___
A few practical lessons that help navigate volatility:
1. ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ. Volatility is hardest when decisions are reactive. Accumulating with a plan removes emotion. For example if Iโm looking to accumulate $NOW:
20% at $130
30% at $110
30% at $100
20% at $90
Average price if all buys executed $107.
Youโre no longer reacting โ youโre executing.
2. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ. Starting at extreme valuations makes volatility feel far more painful.
Itโs far more difficult to accumulate additional shares of $NOW if you began building a position at $200 and 70x earnings. However, if you started at 33x, it becomes much easier to continue adding at 25x or 20x. At some point, the multiple compresses to a level where ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ง๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ increases โ not decreases โ as the margin of safety significantly improves.
Valuation discipline โ volatility becomes an advantage rather than a source of stress.
What feels like chaos in the moment often looks like opportunity in hindsight.
___
A few names that have seen notable volatility in recent weeks โ worth keeping an eye on:
$AXON $MCO $NOW $NVDA $SNDK $SPGI $TDG
___
Video: Investor Talk Peter Lynch (07/05/2020)
tweet
๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ซ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:
โI love volatilityโฆ Taco Bell went from $14 to $1โฆ they had no debt, never closed a restaurantโฆ I started buying at $7โฆ it went to $1โฆ Volatility is terrific.โ
___
๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ ๐ข๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ข๐ด ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ต๐ฐ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ. ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ด, ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ด๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ฅ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ.
___
A few practical lessons that help navigate volatility:
1. ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ. Volatility is hardest when decisions are reactive. Accumulating with a plan removes emotion. For example if Iโm looking to accumulate $NOW:
20% at $130
30% at $110
30% at $100
20% at $90
Average price if all buys executed $107.
Youโre no longer reacting โ youโre executing.
2. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ. Starting at extreme valuations makes volatility feel far more painful.
Itโs far more difficult to accumulate additional shares of $NOW if you began building a position at $200 and 70x earnings. However, if you started at 33x, it becomes much easier to continue adding at 25x or 20x. At some point, the multiple compresses to a level where ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ง๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ increases โ not decreases โ as the margin of safety significantly improves.
Valuation discipline โ volatility becomes an advantage rather than a source of stress.
What feels like chaos in the moment often looks like opportunity in hindsight.
___
A few names that have seen notable volatility in recent weeks โ worth keeping an eye on:
$AXON $MCO $NOW $NVDA $SNDK $SPGI $TDG
___
Video: Investor Talk Peter Lynch (07/05/2020)
tweet
Offshore
Video
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:
โI love volatilityโฆ Taco Bell went from $14 to $1โฆ they had no debt, never closed a restaurantโฆ I started buying at $7โฆ it went to $1โฆ Volatility is terrific.โ
___
๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ ๐ข๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ข๐ด ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ต๐ฐ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ. ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ด, ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ด๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ฅ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ.
___
A few practical lessons that help navigate volatility:
1. ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ. Volatility is hardest when decisions are reactive. Accumulating with a plan removes emotion. For example if Iโm looking to accumulate $NOW:
20% at $130
30% at $110
30% at $100
20% at $90
Average price if all buys executed $107.
Youโre no longer reacting โ youโre executing.
2. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ. Starting at extreme valuations makes volatility feel far more painful.
Itโs far more difficult to accumulate additional shares of $NOW if you began building a position at $200 and 70x earnings. However, if you started at 33x, it becomes much easier to continue adding at 25x or 20x. At some point, the multiple compresses to a level where ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ง๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ increases โ not decreases โ as the margin of safety significantly improves.
Valuation discipline โ volatility becomes an advantage rather than a source of stress.
What feels like chaos in the moment often looks like opportunity in hindsight.
___
A few names that have seen notable volatility in recent weeks โ worth keeping an eye on:
$AXON $MCO $NOW $NVDA $SNDK $SPGI $TDG
___
Video: Investor Talk Peter Lynch (07/05/2020)
tweet
๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:
โI love volatilityโฆ Taco Bell went from $14 to $1โฆ they had no debt, never closed a restaurantโฆ I started buying at $7โฆ it went to $1โฆ Volatility is terrific.โ
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๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ ๐ข๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ข๐ด ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ต๐ฐ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ. ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ด, ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ด๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ฅ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ.
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A few practical lessons that help navigate volatility:
1. ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ. Volatility is hardest when decisions are reactive. Accumulating with a plan removes emotion. For example if Iโm looking to accumulate $NOW:
20% at $130
30% at $110
30% at $100
20% at $90
Average price if all buys executed $107.
Youโre no longer reacting โ youโre executing.
2. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ. Starting at extreme valuations makes volatility feel far more painful.
Itโs far more difficult to accumulate additional shares of $NOW if you began building a position at $200 and 70x earnings. However, if you started at 33x, it becomes much easier to continue adding at 25x or 20x. At some point, the multiple compresses to a level where ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ง๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ increases โ not decreases โ as the margin of safety significantly improves.
Valuation discipline โ volatility becomes an advantage rather than a source of stress.
What feels like chaos in the moment often looks like opportunity in hindsight.
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A few names that have seen notable volatility in recent weeks โ worth keeping an eye on:
$AXON $MCO $NOW $NVDA $SNDK $SPGI $TDG
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Video: Investor Talk Peter Lynch (07/05/2020)
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Offshore
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
$SPGI CAGR Potential based on 2028 EPS estimates & different multiples:
EPS Estimates
Dec 2026: $19.82 (11% YoY)
Dec 2027: $22.28 (12% YoY)
Dec 2028: $24.90 (12% YoY)
CAGR assuming 2028 EPS Est:
25x โ 17.4%
24x โ 15.8%
23x โ 14.1%
22x โ 12.3%
21x โ 10.6% https://t.co/lB9O0Xj4Nb
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$SPGI CAGR Potential based on 2028 EPS estimates & different multiples:
EPS Estimates
Dec 2026: $19.82 (11% YoY)
Dec 2027: $22.28 (12% YoY)
Dec 2028: $24.90 (12% YoY)
CAGR assuming 2028 EPS Est:
25x โ 17.4%
24x โ 15.8%
23x โ 14.1%
22x โ 12.3%
21x โ 10.6% https://t.co/lB9O0Xj4Nb
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The Few Bets That Matter
Using Buffett's quotes out of context to illustrate a behaviour he would never have... Just to confirm personal bias...
$HIMS bulls have no more limits.
Although this confirmation bias using Buffett's quotes out of context is the new normal on X ๐
https://t.co/x6eigOu6yD
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Using Buffett's quotes out of context to illustrate a behaviour he would never have... Just to confirm personal bias...
$HIMS bulls have no more limits.
Although this confirmation bias using Buffett's quotes out of context is the new normal on X ๐
https://t.co/x6eigOu6yD
Not buying $HIMS at $17 a share means you think the following:
- Warren buffets famous quote "Buy when others are fearful, sell when others are greedy" is a load of rubbish
- $NVO will beat $HIMS in court, Hims will have to stop selling compounded GLP-1's
- $HIMS stock trading at a RSI reading of 15 is a nothing burger..
- $HIMS A company that wants to challenge 'big pharma' will not stop and slow down
You do you... ๐ค๐ผ tweet
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The Few Bets That Matter (@WealthyReadings) on X
How W. Buffett Broke Retails' Critical Thinking