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[Exclusive] Samsung to Expand DRAM Capacity for HBM4 by 120,000 Wafers per Month

Samsung Electronics is embarking on an initiative to increase its new DRAM production capacity by nearly 20% this year, centered around its Pyeongtaek Plant 4 (P4). The core of this expansion is to significantly boost the production of 6th-generation 10nm-class (1c) DRAM, which serves as the primary material for 6th-generation High Bandwidth Memory (HBM4). This move is interpreted as a strategic plan for aggressive facility investment, driven by a sharp recovery in the company's HBM4 technical competitiveness and the ever-increasing demand for DRAM from Artificial Intelligence (AI) customers.

According to industry sources on the 5th, Samsung Electronics has established a strategy to build a new DRAM production line at 'P4' in Pyeongtaek, Gyeonggi Province—the company's latest semiconductor factory—capable of producing 100,000 to 120,000 wafers per month by the first quarter of next year. This line will specifically house the 1c DRAM production infrastructure used for HBM4.

HBM is a type of memory created by vertically stacking multiple DRAMs. It is faster and has a larger capacity than single DRAM units, making it a highly sought-after product in the AI industry, which requires complex computations.

HBM4 is the latest HBM product that Samsung Electronics will supply to AI semiconductor companies such as NVIDIA and AMD starting this year. Samsung produces HBM4 by vertically stacking 12 units of 1c DRAM, the most advanced product currently available.

Industry experts evaluate Samsung’s establishment of a new 1c DRAM line for HBM4 as a substantial investment. To date, Samsung Electronics possesses lines capable of producing 660,000 DRAM wafers per month. Adding up to 120,000 wafers of new capacity would mean a maximum 18% increase in DRAM production capability within a single year.

The production ratio of 1c DRAM for HBM4 is also expected to rise. Samsung Electronics is known to have established a production line for 60,000 to 70,000 1c DRAM wafers monthly as of last year. If the lines are completed as planned, the capacity for 1c DRAM for HBM4 will reach nearly 200,000 wafers per month, meaning HBM4-specific DRAM alone will account for 25% of the total production process.

Furthermore, the 4nm process line at S5, the Pyeongtaek foundry plant that manufactures HBM4 base dies, is reportedly operating in "full-throttle" mode. Construction on the exterior of 'P5,' currently being built in Pyeongtaek, is also moving busily to align with the timing for semiconductor manufacturing equipment delivery as early as the first quarter of next year.

The company is also reportedly considering expanding the production of general-purpose 1c DRAM used in mobile devices and home appliances. This involves a large-scale process transition to 1c DRAM, primarily at Hwaseong Line 17, where previous generation processes were located.

Samsung Electronics’ decision to significantly strengthen its 1c DRAM production capacity this year stems from growing confidence in its latest technology and the arrival of a memory "super cycle" driven by the expansion of the AI market.

The atmosphere within Samsung Electronics has recently seen a surge in technical confidence. Until last year, the company struggled significantly with the manufacturing of HBM4 and 1c DRAM. Consequently, Vice Chairman Jun Young-hyun, who was appointed as the new head of the Device Solutions (DS) division in 2024, decided on a redesign of the 1c DRAM. This strategy proved successful, leading to a rapid recovery in technology since the first half of last year.

In the HBM4 sector specifically, Samsung recently passed the "qual test" (qualification test) for NVIDIA—the world's leading AI semiconductor company—beating its competitors to become the first to do so, and is now ahead of mass production shipments. Faced with a situation where HBM4 production must be scaled up rapidly, the company has entered the stage of bu[...]
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Jukan [Exclusive] Samsung to Expand DRAM Capacity for HBM4 by 120,000 Wafers per Month Samsung Electronics is embarking on an initiative to increase its new DRAM production capacity by nearly 20% this year, centered around its Pyeongtaek Plant 4 (P4). The…
ilding new lines centered on P4, its most advanced facility.

Additionally, the company must increase production capacity to respond to tightening memory supply chains caused by the AI boom. According to market research firm Counterpoint Research, the price of 64GB DDR5 DRAM for servers rose by 98% in the first quarter of this year compared to the fourth quarter of last year, marking a significant price hike.

An industry official stated, "Samsung Electronics possesses abundant production capacity and capital, allowing it to respond relatively flexibly to surging demand. As technological recovery and supply shortages coincide this year, the company is expected to proceed with facility investments quite aggressively."
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Jukan
In its latest report, kuo Mingchi mentioned that among current hardware manufacturers, Apple is the only company not experiencing difficulties in securing supply volume due to rising memory costs.
In particular, he referred to this as “Cost Pressure” (not “Supply Constraint”).

The key points are as follows:

- Even with the sharp rise in memory prices, Apple is still securing sufficient volume.
- Although DRAM/NAND prices for Apple have increased, the situation is not one where memory shortages prevent the production of hardware.
- This is a position that only Apple uniquely holds in the market.
- Apple alone accounts for 20–25% of global mobile memory demand.
- In other words, if memory companies fail to fulfill Apple’s volume requirements, it could lead to the collapse of the entire mobile market itself — which is why memory suppliers treat Apple as their absolute top priority.
- However, applying Apple’s case to the entire market is extremely dangerous.
- Other companies are highly likely to be almost fully exposed to this kind of supply shock.

$AAPL
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RT @ReutersBiz: WATCH: The Trump administration is willing to allow China's ByteDance to buy Nvidia's H200 chips, but the AI chipmaker has not agreed to proposed conditions for their use, according to a person familiar with the matter https://t.co/GjOpFpFL8f https://t.co/K8O7G59gsJ
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RT @RihardJarc: $GOOGL is a company that doesn’t do hype.

For them to go and increase CapEx from $90B to $180B is probably the most bullish thing long-term investors can see as it shows the scale of future revenue growth. I am shocked that at this stage most still don’t understand this.
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RT @yieldsearcher: Hyperscaler Capex for 2026:

META: $125b ($70b)
GOOG: $180b ($91b)
AMZN: $175b ($125b)
MSFT: $145b ($83b)
ORCL: $55b ($35b)
Total: $680b ($404b)

Almost $300b, or 1% of GDP growth in capex from just these five companies

Hard to have a recession with that capex binge.
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Jukan
According to a report by Taiwan’s Mirror Daily, rising memory prices are not expected to affect Apple’s plans to launch an entry-level MacBook.

The report also says that this new entry-level MacBook will be priced around $699–$799, and will feature 8GB of RAM along with the A18 Pro chip.

It even claims that Apple is forecasting annual sales of 5–8 million units for this low-cost laptop.
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RT @TheTranscript_: $MA Mastercard CEO: Tokenization nearing 40% of all transactions.

“ In fact, as of quarter 4, we have tokenized nearly 40% of all transactions. And we continue to see adoption in both card-present and card-not-present use cases."
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Javier Blas
BIG OIL 4Q EARNINGS: Shell misses expectations dragged by its struggling chemical business and weak oil trading.

The oil major maintained its quarterly share buyback at $3.5 billion (defying expectations of a cut) but at the cost of taking debt. It doesn’t look sustainable. https://t.co/ta5NMoDNWd
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RT @TheTranscript_: $V CEO: "“In our fiscal Q1, we delivered strong financial results, with net revenue up 15% year-over-year to $10.9 billion and EPS up 15%. Payments volume grew 8% YoY in constant dollars to nearly $4T, and processed transactions grew 9%, totaling 69B." https://t.co/we9fZzoz5Q
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The Transcript
Anglo American expects De Beers’ underlying EBITDA to turn negative in 2025 as weak diamond market conditions persist, triggering an impairment review that could weigh on full-year results: https://t.co/Y5Cih1AOID
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Javier Blas
OIL MARKET: Shell CEO Wael Sawan says there's "a bit of oversupply" in the oil market at the moment, but that's balanced by geopolitical risk. "There's a premium with that [political] uncertainty," he says.
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Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks)
What's missing:
- A press release
- How many contact details were leaked (700,000)
- What else was leaked other than emails/phone numbers: specifically: 1) full names 2) user ID 3) Stripe ID 4) profile pictures 5) account creation dates 6) social media handles
- Why it happened

FYI substack email and phone number data has been leaked. https://t.co/xdaE9MHxZs
- captive dreamer
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