Offshore
Photo
Hidden Value Gems
RT @BerkelKip: For those interested, this article shows the inventories around Buffett's first silver purchases - looks like they were 50-80 mln oz when Buffett got involved. FWIW, current inventories are ~425 mln oz (see next post) - https://t.co/EbWBV5z1rb https://t.co/TtZKQI4El7

Did you know that Buffett bought 111 million oz of Silver back in 1997? That's more than 10% of current global demand. Fascinating story - link in the next post.

#Buffett #Silver #Berkshire https://t.co/u6NF0VacmW
- Hidden Value Gems
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Few Bets That Matter
I've seen comments about shorting $ASML, or calling the stock too expensive for low growth.

If that’s your take, you either don’t understand the business, or the market.

$ASML is the heart of the AI revolution, before $NVDA. No lithography means no GPUs, memory, none of it. With no competition $ASML deserves a premium for its business alone.

Guidance calls for ~4% - 19% growth in FY26. Weak to reasonable considering the AI boom, I'll give you that.

But that’s only half the story. Markets reward safe and growing cash generation.
https://t.co/dDXxvy08KM

Not only margins are expanding. But they should continue to with growing EUV proportion of sales, layoffs for more efficient operations and long term demand for their lithography hardware.

Companies that can grow cash flow predictably and return capital to shareholders deserve premium multiples.

$ASML checks every box.

🔹Massive moat (and I don't use that word lightly)
🔹Years of dominance with more ahead
🔹Healthy and regular growth in an accelerating market
🔹Margin expansion from pricing power and efficiency

That justifies its premium, and it isn't an overrated one. It was an easy buy at ~$700 and it seems to be an easy hold today, despites short term moves.

Nothing indicates a top. Maybe a small consolidation as the stock ran hot in anticipation of earnings, but those delivered.

Nothing to short here.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Hidden Value Gems
RT @HiddenValueGems: Have I seen this chart already?

$WRB is a specialist insurance still run by its founder (the largest shareholder), trading at 14x P/E.

Mitsui Sumitomo (10% holder) increased its stake recently. https://t.co/IoanaHaH2R
tweet
Moon Dev
Claude code can not automate your trading

Unless you approach it this way

It’s really the only way to use Claude to build trading bots

You may wanna bm this if you actually wanna have Claude code bots for you https://t.co/7uloPjRG2w
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Illiquid
We can’t estimate the demand for anything anymore. Optics. $lite $cohr $6834 https://t.co/gfLiRa8lQz
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Democrats now have an 80% chance of winning the House in 2026.

Up 2% in the last week. https://t.co/Q7JsfjzjiZ
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: $MELI trades for a reasonable PEG 🤝

NTM P/E ~44x

2026 EPS➡️ $59.55 (+48%)
2027 EPS ➡️ $83.48 (+40%)
2028 EPS ➡️ $115.61 (+38%)

CAGR at various multiples assuming 2028 EPS of $100 (~14% below est)

36x | 18%
34x | 16%
32x | 13%
30x | 11%
28x | 8% https://t.co/aDJ7eU8npV
tweet
Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Senator Chuck Schumer has said that Democrats won't vote for DHS funding unless ICE is required to remove masks and have body cameras & ID.

Also demanding no roving patrols and a code of conduct.

Polymarket is pricing in a 70% chance of a shutdown on Saturday.
tweet