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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
A few noteworthy observations on $UBER
Revenue mix has materially diversified
๐๐จ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ is no longer the whole story โ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ has gone from negligible to meaningful contributors over time, reducing reliance on a single segment
๐๐จ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ continues to scale, even as growth normalizes. Absolute mobility revenue keeps climbing to new highs, while YoY growth has settled into a more sustainable range
๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ is re-accelerating. After a digestion phase, Delivery growth has picked back up into the high-teens / low-20% range, showing the segment still has legs at scale
๐๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐จ๐ข๐จ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต keeps expanding as ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ต๐ฉ๐ญ๐บ ๐๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด have steadily increased to new highs, reinforcing Uberโs network effects across rides, delivery, & freight
A combination of scaling, diversification, & improving durability across the platform
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A few noteworthy observations on $UBER
Revenue mix has materially diversified
๐๐จ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ is no longer the whole story โ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ has gone from negligible to meaningful contributors over time, reducing reliance on a single segment
๐๐จ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ continues to scale, even as growth normalizes. Absolute mobility revenue keeps climbing to new highs, while YoY growth has settled into a more sustainable range
๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ is re-accelerating. After a digestion phase, Delivery growth has picked back up into the high-teens / low-20% range, showing the segment still has legs at scale
๐๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐จ๐ข๐จ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต keeps expanding as ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ต๐ฉ๐ญ๐บ ๐๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด have steadily increased to new highs, reinforcing Uberโs network effects across rides, delivery, & freight
A combination of scaling, diversification, & improving durability across the platform
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Offshore
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God of Prompt
RT @rryssf_: Sergey Brin accidentally revealed something wild:
"All models do better if you threaten them with physical violence. But people feel weird about that, so we don't talk about it."
Now researchers have the data proving he's... partially right?
Here's the full story: https://t.co/icoO8kMySX
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RT @rryssf_: Sergey Brin accidentally revealed something wild:
"All models do better if you threaten them with physical violence. But people feel weird about that, so we don't talk about it."
Now researchers have the data proving he's... partially right?
Here's the full story: https://t.co/icoO8kMySX
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AkhenOsiris
Mizuho: Our top sectors in 2026E are: 1) AI Accelerators and WFE, 2) Optical, and 3) memory(DRAM/NAND)
"In our 2026 Semis and Automotive Technologies Outlook, we see continued upside for the SOX in 2026E at attractive valuations(0.9x PEG vs. SPX/Naz at 1.5x/1.7x), but more modest than 2025, up 45% (more than 2x S&P's ~16%).
Strength should continue in AI with a) GPU and ASIC (+ve NVDA, DELL, AVGO), b) AI interconnect (+ve LITE, CRDO) with scale-up/out/across, and 800G/1.6T. We continue to see WFE (+ve LRCX) a beneficiary and memory(+ve MU, SNDK) supercycle extend with strong pricing. While Analog semis trends are improving, we see challenges with Global Autos-LVP down ~1% y/y(vs 2024/25 up 2%/2%) and some high inventory levels.
Our top sectors in 2026E are: 1) AI Accelerators and WFE, 2) Optical, and 3) memory(DRAM/NAND), while we remain cautious on I) xEV/Autos/SiC/Analog and II) PC/handsets. Our top picks for 2026 are NVDA, LITE, and AVGO while we also continue to like MCHP and LRCX as key outperformers."
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Mizuho: Our top sectors in 2026E are: 1) AI Accelerators and WFE, 2) Optical, and 3) memory(DRAM/NAND)
"In our 2026 Semis and Automotive Technologies Outlook, we see continued upside for the SOX in 2026E at attractive valuations(0.9x PEG vs. SPX/Naz at 1.5x/1.7x), but more modest than 2025, up 45% (more than 2x S&P's ~16%).
Strength should continue in AI with a) GPU and ASIC (+ve NVDA, DELL, AVGO), b) AI interconnect (+ve LITE, CRDO) with scale-up/out/across, and 800G/1.6T. We continue to see WFE (+ve LRCX) a beneficiary and memory(+ve MU, SNDK) supercycle extend with strong pricing. While Analog semis trends are improving, we see challenges with Global Autos-LVP down ~1% y/y(vs 2024/25 up 2%/2%) and some high inventory levels.
Our top sectors in 2026E are: 1) AI Accelerators and WFE, 2) Optical, and 3) memory(DRAM/NAND), while we remain cautious on I) xEV/Autos/SiC/Analog and II) PC/handsets. Our top picks for 2026 are NVDA, LITE, and AVGO while we also continue to like MCHP and LRCX as key outperformers."
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AkhenOsiris
$CRWD
Berenberg upgraded CrowdStrike from Hold to Buy and set a price target of $600, citing the cybersecurity firmโs unified architecture and growth potential.
CrowdStrike shares declined approximately 10% since mid-November despite no earnings downgrades, creating what Berenberg views as an attractive entry point for investors.
Berenberg highlighted CrowdStrike as one of the few vendors capable of maintaining sector-leading growth, supported by its unified architecture in a market where vendor consolidation remains a key theme driving higher wallet share for platform companies.
The research firm noted that cybersecurity platform names have underperformed non-platform peers, declining by 12% compared to a 1% gain for non-platform names since Berenbergโs November 2025 sector initiation.
CrowdStrike currently trades at a 12-month forward EV/sales multiple of approximately 20x with a 20% three-year revenue CAGR and roughly 22% non-GAAP operating margin, which Berenberg considers "broadly fair for a high-quality, scalable SaaS platform with profitability."
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$CRWD
Berenberg upgraded CrowdStrike from Hold to Buy and set a price target of $600, citing the cybersecurity firmโs unified architecture and growth potential.
CrowdStrike shares declined approximately 10% since mid-November despite no earnings downgrades, creating what Berenberg views as an attractive entry point for investors.
Berenberg highlighted CrowdStrike as one of the few vendors capable of maintaining sector-leading growth, supported by its unified architecture in a market where vendor consolidation remains a key theme driving higher wallet share for platform companies.
The research firm noted that cybersecurity platform names have underperformed non-platform peers, declining by 12% compared to a 1% gain for non-platform names since Berenbergโs November 2025 sector initiation.
CrowdStrike currently trades at a 12-month forward EV/sales multiple of approximately 20x with a 20% three-year revenue CAGR and roughly 22% non-GAAP operating margin, which Berenberg considers "broadly fair for a high-quality, scalable SaaS platform with profitability."
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AkhenOsiris
"We're embedding for the first time in our estimates an actual earnings boost from AI adoption and productivity this year," Ben Snider, equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, tells Axios.
"It's still very small, less than a percent, but we think that'll grow going forward."
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"We're embedding for the first time in our estimates an actual earnings boost from AI adoption and productivity this year," Ben Snider, equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, tells Axios.
"It's still very small, less than a percent, but we think that'll grow going forward."
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AkhenOsiris
$GENI
Wells Fargo dove into the mediaฤผadvertising opportunity presented by Genius' management at its November Investor Day, Wells' first response was the company's NFL relationship seems too good to be true given the company's ability to enable live viewership of NFL games across the company's platform partners. The firm sees potential for upside above and beyond management's long-term guide. Further, Wells believes the implied level of direct NFL advertising and related brand/ad opportunities could prove conservative looking out to 2028 for the self-serve portion of the forecast. The firm thinks the NFL Could represent $50M-plus of self-serve ad revenue, and it estimates about $350M of Media revenue by 2028 relative to the company's $300M guidance.
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$GENI
Wells Fargo dove into the mediaฤผadvertising opportunity presented by Genius' management at its November Investor Day, Wells' first response was the company's NFL relationship seems too good to be true given the company's ability to enable live viewership of NFL games across the company's platform partners. The firm sees potential for upside above and beyond management's long-term guide. Further, Wells believes the implied level of direct NFL advertising and related brand/ad opportunities could prove conservative looking out to 2028 for the self-serve portion of the forecast. The firm thinks the NFL Could represent $50M-plus of self-serve ad revenue, and it estimates about $350M of Media revenue by 2028 relative to the company's $300M guidance.
$GENI
Wells Fargo upgrades Genius Sports to Overweight tweet
Offshore
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Brady Long
RT @thisdudelikesAI: Get so good at growth on X that your boys start asking for help...
Here's how ๐ https://t.co/0NjrxwCExP
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RT @thisdudelikesAI: Get so good at growth on X that your boys start asking for help...
Here's how ๐ https://t.co/0NjrxwCExP
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Offshore
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App Economy Insights
๐ซง How to invest in a bubble
CapEx is ramping, valuations are soaring, and the hype is deafening.
Yet earnings are real, margins are expanding, and demand is unprecedented.
Hereโs a practical guide to staying invested without losing your head ๐
https://t.co/ZZjehpGgrH
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๐ซง How to invest in a bubble
CapEx is ramping, valuations are soaring, and the hype is deafening.
Yet earnings are real, margins are expanding, and demand is unprecedented.
Hereโs a practical guide to staying invested without losing your head ๐
https://t.co/ZZjehpGgrH
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Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Representative Jonathan Jackson just filed his first purchase of Palantir stock, $PLTR.
Jackson sits on the House Committee on Foreign Affairs.
Full trade list up on Quiver. https://t.co/BO1BqLDY6N
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BREAKING: Representative Jonathan Jackson just filed his first purchase of Palantir stock, $PLTR.
Jackson sits on the House Committee on Foreign Affairs.
Full trade list up on Quiver. https://t.co/BO1BqLDY6N
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