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The Few Bets That Matter
A few ideas starting 2026.
The AI trade will continue but it'll evolve. I'd expect two important verticals.
Compute/efficiency (hardware & infra), with companies like $ALAB & $NBIS pushing it further, allowing companies to generate more compute with less infra.
AI services finally surfacing after years of development: started with $PLTR, now $PATH and its S+ setup, and legacy names like $ADBE & more as the “AI disruption” narrative cools down.
Researching another AI name with a $PATH-like setup. More about it later.
China has been one of the best performers this year and I think that'll continue. Gov is pushing consumption and innovation, very bullish for $BABA which remains one of my top pick for 2026 at these levels.
Retail still matters. Surprisingly, we’ve seen monster moves H2-25 like $ULTA, and that could continue into 2026 despites clear consumption weakness. But as long as those with the money consume more, it doesn't matter. My favorite remains $ONON, and I’m watching $LULU closely, with reasons to be optimistic.
Energy and “safer” names also catching a bid lately - $HAL $SLB $DG $DLTR... This shows rotation is starting. Less risk-on, healthier names and valuation. Wouldn’t be surprised to see more of this in 2026.
Precious metals is now a crowded trade. Needs a breather. But I wouldn't be so sure it is over and I wouldn't be surprised for more in 2026. It isn't the healthiest trade as it reflects distrust in the system.
Healthcare waking up. $LLY still leads, but $JNJ, $MRK caught a large bid. Watching laggards like $PFE and $NVO but those need a catalyst.
After massive FY25 performances, I see 2026 as a rotation year. Last two years’ winners will likely underperform as the market either turns to less risks, or focuses on other verticals.
My personal view is that 2026 will see the AI bubble. The real one. Which is why I still own AI names today, but I am clearly not certain I still will by H2-26.
Bullish AI software/services short term, very bullish China, and closely watching healthcare and other "safer" names.
I don’t think 2026 will be bad. Quite the opposite. But I think those who don't take the turn will get burnt. Rotation is coming.
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A few ideas starting 2026.
The AI trade will continue but it'll evolve. I'd expect two important verticals.
Compute/efficiency (hardware & infra), with companies like $ALAB & $NBIS pushing it further, allowing companies to generate more compute with less infra.
AI services finally surfacing after years of development: started with $PLTR, now $PATH and its S+ setup, and legacy names like $ADBE & more as the “AI disruption” narrative cools down.
Researching another AI name with a $PATH-like setup. More about it later.
China has been one of the best performers this year and I think that'll continue. Gov is pushing consumption and innovation, very bullish for $BABA which remains one of my top pick for 2026 at these levels.
Retail still matters. Surprisingly, we’ve seen monster moves H2-25 like $ULTA, and that could continue into 2026 despites clear consumption weakness. But as long as those with the money consume more, it doesn't matter. My favorite remains $ONON, and I’m watching $LULU closely, with reasons to be optimistic.
Energy and “safer” names also catching a bid lately - $HAL $SLB $DG $DLTR... This shows rotation is starting. Less risk-on, healthier names and valuation. Wouldn’t be surprised to see more of this in 2026.
Precious metals is now a crowded trade. Needs a breather. But I wouldn't be so sure it is over and I wouldn't be surprised for more in 2026. It isn't the healthiest trade as it reflects distrust in the system.
Healthcare waking up. $LLY still leads, but $JNJ, $MRK caught a large bid. Watching laggards like $PFE and $NVO but those need a catalyst.
After massive FY25 performances, I see 2026 as a rotation year. Last two years’ winners will likely underperform as the market either turns to less risks, or focuses on other verticals.
My personal view is that 2026 will see the AI bubble. The real one. Which is why I still own AI names today, but I am clearly not certain I still will by H2-26.
Bullish AI software/services short term, very bullish China, and closely watching healthcare and other "safer" names.
I don’t think 2026 will be bad. Quite the opposite. But I think those who don't take the turn will get burnt. Rotation is coming.
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The Few Bets That Matter
Just found a stock I’ve never seen mentioned here.
🔹Customer acquisition accelerating
🔹Real monetized AI services
🔹Revenue growth accelerating
🔹~$20B EV
🔹Profitable
🔹Strong balance sheet
🔹Trades ~4x sales
🔹Textbook price action
Might be onto something here. Still digging.
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Just found a stock I’ve never seen mentioned here.
🔹Customer acquisition accelerating
🔹Real monetized AI services
🔹Revenue growth accelerating
🔹~$20B EV
🔹Profitable
🔹Strong balance sheet
🔹Trades ~4x sales
🔹Textbook price action
Might be onto something here. Still digging.
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The Few Bets That Matter
$META buying Manus raises some question.
What makes one LLM better than another?
This is $META, one of the largest compute owners already heavily invested in Llama. Why buy another model instead of upgrading their in-house one? https://t.co/gW3UrcYOU6
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$META buying Manus raises some question.
What makes one LLM better than another?
This is $META, one of the largest compute owners already heavily invested in Llama. Why buy another model instead of upgrading their in-house one? https://t.co/gW3UrcYOU6
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: FTAI Aviation $FTAI builds and leases jet engines—but with a twist
Instead of just renting engines to airlines, it owns, repairs, and rebuilds them through a vertically integrated system of engine modules and aftermarket parts
This lets $FTAI capture profits from both leasing and maintenance—two recurring, high-margin businesses
In short: $FTAI helps airlines keep planes flying while earning “toll-like” cash flows every time an engine needs repair or replacement
$FTAI is a business worth keeping an eye on
$FTAI trades for $182💵 / $18.66B Market Cap
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RT @DimitryNakhla: FTAI Aviation $FTAI builds and leases jet engines—but with a twist
Instead of just renting engines to airlines, it owns, repairs, and rebuilds them through a vertically integrated system of engine modules and aftermarket parts
This lets $FTAI capture profits from both leasing and maintenance—two recurring, high-margin businesses
In short: $FTAI helps airlines keep planes flying while earning “toll-like” cash flows every time an engine needs repair or replacement
$FTAI is a business worth keeping an eye on
$FTAI trades for $182💵 / $18.66B Market Cap
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memenodes
when you realise you're not going to retire your bloodline using crypto https://t.co/Txg4BvVT3M
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when you realise you're not going to retire your bloodline using crypto https://t.co/Txg4BvVT3M
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The Few Bets That Matter
If your stock doesn't look like this, it simply isn't worth buying.
Help me find those who look like this 👇 https://t.co/PEb5ZT5yfA
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If your stock doesn't look like this, it simply isn't worth buying.
Help me find those who look like this 👇 https://t.co/PEb5ZT5yfA
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Fiscal.ai
The CEO of MSCI bought $6.7 million worth of shares in the open market earlier this month.
The stock is currently trading near its lowest forward multiple in 5 years.
$MSCI https://t.co/HW1X2GkJYP
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The CEO of MSCI bought $6.7 million worth of shares in the open market earlier this month.
The stock is currently trading near its lowest forward multiple in 5 years.
$MSCI https://t.co/HW1X2GkJYP
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EndGame Macro
Stability Now Requires More Maintenance
When people see the Fed injected $16 billion, it’s easy to jump straight to crisis thinking. I wouldn’t dismiss it, but I wouldn’t call it a bailout either. This is the Fed keeping the plumbing working. Overnight repos are short term cash for Treasuries swaps, used when funding gets tight at the edges and year end is when those edges usually fray. Balance sheets get defensive, risk limits tighten, and cash that was easy to borrow a week earlier suddenly isn’t. The Fed steps in early because it knows how fast a small funding hiccup can snowball if it’s ignored.
The nuance people miss is that this isn’t QE in a technical sense, but it behaves like QE while it’s happening. The balance sheet doesn’t permanently expand, but reserves are added when they’re scarce, funding stress is suppressed, and the market is reassured there’s a backstop. Markets trade liquidity, not accounting labels so functionally, the effect can feel very similar.
Why The Size Matters Without Exaggerating It
On its own, $16 billion isn’t massive. It’s not the biggest repo activity we’ve seen, and it’s nowhere near the scale of late 2019, when tens of billions were needed day after day during a real funding squeeze. This isn’t that. But the context makes it meaningful. It’s happening after rate cuts, after QT ended, and alongside several other sizable repo operations in a short window. That tells you liquidity isn’t abundant across the system, it’s uneven. Some parts are fine; others are tight enough that the Fed’s window looks like the safest option.
When institutions are willing to borrow at the top of the policy range overnight, it’s a signal they value certainty over price. That’s not panic but it is caution.
What It Says About The Economy
My read is the Fed is managing an economy that’s slowing underneath the surface while markets remain sensitive to shocks. Credit stress is rising, bankruptcies are up, refinancing needs are stacking, and consumers are becoming more selective. In that environment, the Fed’s role shifts from draining liquidity to making sure the pipes don’t clog. These are quiet, preventative moves, the kind you make when the margin for error is thin.
So I wouldn’t wave this off, and I wouldn’t sensationalize it either. It’s not proof something has already broken. It’s proof the system has less slack than it used to, and the Fed knows liquidity has to be there before small stresses cascade. Call it stealth easing if you want…temporary by design, but very real in impact and a sign that a fragile equilibrium is being actively managed.
tweet
Stability Now Requires More Maintenance
When people see the Fed injected $16 billion, it’s easy to jump straight to crisis thinking. I wouldn’t dismiss it, but I wouldn’t call it a bailout either. This is the Fed keeping the plumbing working. Overnight repos are short term cash for Treasuries swaps, used when funding gets tight at the edges and year end is when those edges usually fray. Balance sheets get defensive, risk limits tighten, and cash that was easy to borrow a week earlier suddenly isn’t. The Fed steps in early because it knows how fast a small funding hiccup can snowball if it’s ignored.
The nuance people miss is that this isn’t QE in a technical sense, but it behaves like QE while it’s happening. The balance sheet doesn’t permanently expand, but reserves are added when they’re scarce, funding stress is suppressed, and the market is reassured there’s a backstop. Markets trade liquidity, not accounting labels so functionally, the effect can feel very similar.
Why The Size Matters Without Exaggerating It
On its own, $16 billion isn’t massive. It’s not the biggest repo activity we’ve seen, and it’s nowhere near the scale of late 2019, when tens of billions were needed day after day during a real funding squeeze. This isn’t that. But the context makes it meaningful. It’s happening after rate cuts, after QT ended, and alongside several other sizable repo operations in a short window. That tells you liquidity isn’t abundant across the system, it’s uneven. Some parts are fine; others are tight enough that the Fed’s window looks like the safest option.
When institutions are willing to borrow at the top of the policy range overnight, it’s a signal they value certainty over price. That’s not panic but it is caution.
What It Says About The Economy
My read is the Fed is managing an economy that’s slowing underneath the surface while markets remain sensitive to shocks. Credit stress is rising, bankruptcies are up, refinancing needs are stacking, and consumers are becoming more selective. In that environment, the Fed’s role shifts from draining liquidity to making sure the pipes don’t clog. These are quiet, preventative moves, the kind you make when the margin for error is thin.
So I wouldn’t wave this off, and I wouldn’t sensationalize it either. It’s not proof something has already broken. It’s proof the system has less slack than it used to, and the Fed knows liquidity has to be there before small stresses cascade. Call it stealth easing if you want…temporary by design, but very real in impact and a sign that a fragile equilibrium is being actively managed.
BREAKING 🚨: U.S. Banks
Fed Reserve just pumped $16 Billion into the U.S. Banking System through overnight repos 🤯 This is the 2nd largest liquidity injection since Covid 👀 tweet