AkhenOsiris
What's a few dollars between friends?
$ORCL price of $172.75 would be a 50% drawdown...$7 bucks away
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What's a few dollars between friends?
$ORCL price of $172.75 would be a 50% drawdown...$7 bucks away
$ORCL now down 25% since the close before the RPO pop.
~$240 before RPO pop (ran to ~$340, now <$180}tweet
Offshore
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Fiscal.ai
It's hard to find better capital allocation than O'Reilly Automotive over the last decade.
Since 2011:
Shares Outstanding -56%
Earnings per Share +1,067%
$ORLY https://t.co/uNeOLq1PAp
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It's hard to find better capital allocation than O'Reilly Automotive over the last decade.
Since 2011:
Shares Outstanding -56%
Earnings per Share +1,067%
$ORLY https://t.co/uNeOLq1PAp
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Offshore
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EndGame Macro
Tucker Carlson, discussing potential U.S. action against Venezuela on the Judging Freedom podcast, said he doesn't know if President Trump will start a war but revealed that members of Congress were briefed yesterday on an impending war, expected to be announced in a national address tonight at 9 p.m. though he cautioned he didn't want to overstate unconfirmed details. 🤔
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Tucker Carlson, discussing potential U.S. action against Venezuela on the Judging Freedom podcast, said he doesn't know if President Trump will start a war but revealed that members of Congress were briefed yesterday on an impending war, expected to be announced in a national address tonight at 9 p.m. though he cautioned he didn't want to overstate unconfirmed details. 🤔
TUCKER: "Members of Congress were briefed yesterday that a war is coming and it will be announced in the address to the nation tonight."
https://t.co/LFbdRQvGXx tweet
Offshore
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The Few Bets That Matter
Friendly reminder that $ORCL has a massive cash generation and that it has been accelerating post AI cloud services.
A moment will come where its cash generation will healthily cover its debt. https://t.co/pOk5rdnric
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Friendly reminder that $ORCL has a massive cash generation and that it has been accelerating post AI cloud services.
A moment will come where its cash generation will healthily cover its debt. https://t.co/pOk5rdnric
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Offshore
Video
EndGame Macro
Venezuela Is on the Tape And Markets Are Still Waiting for Confirmation
If there were a probable escalation of military action, and if Trump were set to address the nation tonight, we’d usually expect to see markets leaning harder into that risk ahead of time. What we’re seeing instead looks more conditional with equities softer, volatility up a notch, oil and gold bid, the market acknowledging the headline without committing to the outcome. That’s consistent with traders treating this as a binary event, where it makes more sense to wait for confirmation than to fully reposition early.
That said, this isn’t a clean nothing is priced signal either. A lot of real war risk pricing happens off the main screens in shipping rates, insurance premia, crude differentials, and dealer hedging and not necessarily in the S&P or the VIX. And Venezuela is a scenario markets could view as containable, which keeps reactions narrow until something definitive happens. So markets seem aware of the situation and lightly hedged, and skeptical. If the address turns probability into action, pricing will likely shift fast and mechanically. Until then, this looks like a market standing by the door and aware of the situation but not convinced enough to run. Let’s see what he has to say tonight…
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Venezuela Is on the Tape And Markets Are Still Waiting for Confirmation
If there were a probable escalation of military action, and if Trump were set to address the nation tonight, we’d usually expect to see markets leaning harder into that risk ahead of time. What we’re seeing instead looks more conditional with equities softer, volatility up a notch, oil and gold bid, the market acknowledging the headline without committing to the outcome. That’s consistent with traders treating this as a binary event, where it makes more sense to wait for confirmation than to fully reposition early.
That said, this isn’t a clean nothing is priced signal either. A lot of real war risk pricing happens off the main screens in shipping rates, insurance premia, crude differentials, and dealer hedging and not necessarily in the S&P or the VIX. And Venezuela is a scenario markets could view as containable, which keeps reactions narrow until something definitive happens. So markets seem aware of the situation and lightly hedged, and skeptical. If the address turns probability into action, pricing will likely shift fast and mechanically. Until then, this looks like a market standing by the door and aware of the situation but not convinced enough to run. Let’s see what he has to say tonight…
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Offshore
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The Few Bets That Matter
$MU proving once again that demand for hardware is inevitable, be it GPUs, TPUs, memory, accelerators...
While the market sells $NVDA and $ALAB on fears of rising competition, it misses the bigger picture: the total compute “cake” is exploding.
Even with lower market share, a slice of tomorrow’s market can be twice the size of a 100% market share just two years ago.
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$MU proving once again that demand for hardware is inevitable, be it GPUs, TPUs, memory, accelerators...
While the market sells $NVDA and $ALAB on fears of rising competition, it misses the bigger picture: the total compute “cake” is exploding.
Even with lower market share, a slice of tomorrow’s market can be twice the size of a 100% market share just two years ago.
The AI trade isn't over.
$NBIS $ALAB
👇 https://t.co/g2onKBMbzw tweet
Offshore
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Clark Square Capital
RT @ClarkSquareCap: Just shared a new write-up on a left-for-dead US-listed stock. Be sure to check it out. https://t.co/xT3CrKGqoA
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RT @ClarkSquareCap: Just shared a new write-up on a left-for-dead US-listed stock. Be sure to check it out. https://t.co/xT3CrKGqoA
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Offshore
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Wasteland Capital
I’m short of words to describe this $MU earnings report.
Revenue +57% y-on-y, +21% on last Q. EPS +167%.
Guide is off the f**king charts. Next Q revenue +30% above consensus, $18.7 bn vs $14.3bn (WTF!?!).
This is absolutely mindblowing.
The Memory Man wins again. https://t.co/9ehiqcI55K
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I’m short of words to describe this $MU earnings report.
Revenue +57% y-on-y, +21% on last Q. EPS +167%.
Guide is off the f**king charts. Next Q revenue +30% above consensus, $18.7 bn vs $14.3bn (WTF!?!).
This is absolutely mindblowing.
The Memory Man wins again. https://t.co/9ehiqcI55K
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