Offshore
Video
Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Senator Jon Ossoff has said that there are private conversations to prevent a ban on congressional stock trading. https://t.co/tyZMNSXnvR
tweet
BREAKING: Senator Jon Ossoff has said that there are private conversations to prevent a ban on congressional stock trading. https://t.co/tyZMNSXnvR
tweet
The Few Bets That Matter
Compute providers continue to raise CapEx with $ORCL now planning up to $50B FY26, and $AVGO confirmed that demand for switches & hardware in general are through the roof.
Meanwhile, every actor in the industry confirm that the bottleneck was energy, which can be resolved two ways.
More energy sources or more efficient hardware.
All those points converge to a handful companies selling hardware focused on compute efficiency and optimization, one of them being $ALAB.
And no one talks about this.
tweet
Compute providers continue to raise CapEx with $ORCL now planning up to $50B FY26, and $AVGO confirmed that demand for switches & hardware in general are through the roof.
Meanwhile, every actor in the industry confirm that the bottleneck was energy, which can be resolved two ways.
More energy sources or more efficient hardware.
All those points converge to a handful companies selling hardware focused on compute efficiency and optimization, one of them being $ALAB.
And no one talks about this.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Oracle’s long-term debt has grown at a faster CAGR than its revenue, net income, & free cash flow—a quiet but important divergence
It begs the question: would you feel comfortable owning the entire business?
🤔 $ORCL https://t.co/HaJrf63FRU
tweet
Oracle’s long-term debt has grown at a faster CAGR than its revenue, net income, & free cash flow—a quiet but important divergence
It begs the question: would you feel comfortable owning the entire business?
🤔 $ORCL https://t.co/HaJrf63FRU
BREAKING: Oracle stock, $ORCL, falls over -7% on reports that some of their data centers for OpenAI have been delayed from 2027 to 2028. https://t.co/RIaLaSNgbY tweet
The Few Bets That Matter
RT @WealthyReadings: My problem today is that I can find too many great setups in the market.
$TMDX = flawless.
$BTC / $ETH = bottom vibes.
$KWEB & $BABA = textbook retest.
$ALAB & $NBIS = uptrend reclaim.
$SLB & $HAL = ripping new highs.
$LULU & $NKE = breaking out.
& tons of names still below my buy levels.
Can't catch them all.
tweet
RT @WealthyReadings: My problem today is that I can find too many great setups in the market.
$TMDX = flawless.
$BTC / $ETH = bottom vibes.
$KWEB & $BABA = textbook retest.
$ALAB & $NBIS = uptrend reclaim.
$SLB & $HAL = ripping new highs.
$LULU & $NKE = breaking out.
& tons of names still below my buy levels.
Can't catch them all.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Few Bets That Matter
RT @WealthyReadings: Find broken stocks. Not broken companies.
$LULU https://t.co/XYhgOyRiir
tweet
RT @WealthyReadings: Find broken stocks. Not broken companies.
$LULU https://t.co/XYhgOyRiir
tweet
The Few Bets That Matter
$ORCL pushed back completion of one of its datacenters for OpenAI from 2027 to 2028 because of labor & material shortages.
And management confirmed this delay doesn’t affect their contractual commitments.
The market is reading this new as: “OpenAI is defaulting.”
You need a strong stomach and strong conviction in the markets lately.
tweet
$ORCL pushed back completion of one of its datacenters for OpenAI from 2027 to 2028 because of labor & material shortages.
And management confirmed this delay doesn’t affect their contractual commitments.
The market is reading this new as: “OpenAI is defaulting.”
You need a strong stomach and strong conviction in the markets lately.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Clark Square Capital
AppInvestor put together a great little dashboard to track $GRVY. Awesome stuff.
tweet
AppInvestor put together a great little dashboard to track $GRVY. Awesome stuff.
@ClarkSquareCap No better way to respond to this but by giving you the link to the $GRVY dashboard I've just setup / refreshed for Gravity ;) (Works better on desktop than mobile because using a shit embed tool for now)
Mobile data, news and financial data
https://t.co/GrJg4zR0wt tweet
Offshore
Photo
App Economy Insights
RT @EconomyApp: Wealthfront is going public this week.
Ticker: $WLTH
Valuation: ~$2B
Funded Clients: 1.3M
Platform Assets: $88B
📊 How They Make Money: ~75% of revenue comes from cash management (not advisory fees). This makes the model highly sensitive to interest rates.
Would you buy this over $HOOD or $SOFI?
tweet
RT @EconomyApp: Wealthfront is going public this week.
Ticker: $WLTH
Valuation: ~$2B
Funded Clients: 1.3M
Platform Assets: $88B
📊 How They Make Money: ~75% of revenue comes from cash management (not advisory fees). This makes the model highly sensitive to interest rates.
Would you buy this over $HOOD or $SOFI?
tweet
Offshore
Photo
EndGame Macro
The 10 Year Isn’t Buying the Fed’s Easing Story
The Fed is easing at the front end, and you can see that in short term rates. But the 10 year isn’t playing along. It’s staying high and even pulling away from Fed Funds which is why this spread is as wide as it’s been in years. That’s the bond market quietly reminding everyone who sets the price of long term money.
The Fed can cut, but it can’t force investors to lend long on the cheap.
Why the 10 Year Is Pushing Back
Part of this is straightforward. The economy is cooling. Layoffs are creeping up, hiring is less confident, and housing is rolling over first in the places that always turn early. That’s enough for the Fed to start cutting.
But the 10 year is focused on a different problem. There’s a lot of debt that needs to be refinanced over the next couple of years. Treasury supply is heavy, deficits aren’t going away, and the global backdrop is noisier with more tariffs, more geopolitics, more uncertainty. Even if inflation ends up cooling, the fear of inflation sticks around longer than the reality.
So investors are basically saying “Cut if you want but if I’m lending for ten years in this environment, I still want to be paid.” That’s term premium coming back.
What This Means And Where The Fed Gets Boxed In
This kind of widening doesn’t mean the economy is about to fall apart tomorrow. But it does mean relief doesn’t travel very far. Credit cards might get a little cheaper, but mortgages and long term financing don’t magically follow if the 10 year stays elevated.
Historically, this shows up late in the cycle. Growth is slowing, stress is building, and policy is reacting rather than leading. Cuts work, just unevenly.
If unemployment keeps rising and the economy keeps softening, the 10 year will eventually come down on its own as growth fears take over. If it doesn’t, the Fed faces a tougher choice that they either accept tighter financial conditions, or step in more directly to compress long term rates. That’s where talk of QE starts to matter and not because inflation is low, but because the transmission from policy to the real economy is breaking down.
The risk isn’t that rate cuts fail. It’s that they don’t reach the places that matter until the slowdown has already done some damage.
tweet
The 10 Year Isn’t Buying the Fed’s Easing Story
The Fed is easing at the front end, and you can see that in short term rates. But the 10 year isn’t playing along. It’s staying high and even pulling away from Fed Funds which is why this spread is as wide as it’s been in years. That’s the bond market quietly reminding everyone who sets the price of long term money.
The Fed can cut, but it can’t force investors to lend long on the cheap.
Why the 10 Year Is Pushing Back
Part of this is straightforward. The economy is cooling. Layoffs are creeping up, hiring is less confident, and housing is rolling over first in the places that always turn early. That’s enough for the Fed to start cutting.
But the 10 year is focused on a different problem. There’s a lot of debt that needs to be refinanced over the next couple of years. Treasury supply is heavy, deficits aren’t going away, and the global backdrop is noisier with more tariffs, more geopolitics, more uncertainty. Even if inflation ends up cooling, the fear of inflation sticks around longer than the reality.
So investors are basically saying “Cut if you want but if I’m lending for ten years in this environment, I still want to be paid.” That’s term premium coming back.
What This Means And Where The Fed Gets Boxed In
This kind of widening doesn’t mean the economy is about to fall apart tomorrow. But it does mean relief doesn’t travel very far. Credit cards might get a little cheaper, but mortgages and long term financing don’t magically follow if the 10 year stays elevated.
Historically, this shows up late in the cycle. Growth is slowing, stress is building, and policy is reacting rather than leading. Cuts work, just unevenly.
If unemployment keeps rising and the economy keeps softening, the 10 year will eventually come down on its own as growth fears take over. If it doesn’t, the Fed faces a tougher choice that they either accept tighter financial conditions, or step in more directly to compress long term rates. That’s where talk of QE starts to matter and not because inflation is low, but because the transmission from policy to the real economy is breaking down.
The risk isn’t that rate cuts fail. It’s that they don’t reach the places that matter until the slowdown has already done some damage.
10yr yield hits the highest spread over Fed Funds in 3yrs
The number of people on Fox Business, CNBC, CNN, etc that claim FFR cuts will benefit average Americans thru lower CC rates, mortgage rates, etc is astounding
The 10yr is where those are priced & the spread is WIDENING https://t.co/Bb24XqzUzw tweet
Offshore
Photo