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Fiscal.ai
$4B to $110B in operating income in less than 3 years.

Absolutely outrageous growth.

$NVDA https://t.co/LbkHhnBylj
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Fiscal.ai
RT @StockMKTNewz: Nvidia's $NVDA Data Center Business is now a $204.8 Billion annual run rate segment up from a $4B ARR segment in 2020 https://t.co/EoLokfbb7n
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Fiscal.ai
Nvidia v. AMD

Nvidia's Data Center business is now 11x larger than AMD's...

And it's growing 3x faster ๐Ÿคฏ

$NVDA $AMD https://t.co/E9YPc26E4E
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WealthyReadings
I'll ask again.

How do you call a bubble with strong demand, revenue growth, expanding margins and cash generation?

$NVDA $NBIS
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Fiscal.ai
This is what happens when you're the fastest fundamental data provider in the world. โšก๏ธโšก๏ธ

Soooo many Fiscal AI charts after earnings! https://t.co/TGliCIfcvB

is @fiscal_ai the only platform in the world that already has all of Nvidia's financials? https://t.co/1pRpElwgXn
- Braden Dennis
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Fiscal.ai
Nvidia CFO:

"On our balance sheet, inventory grew 32% QoQ while supply commitments increased 63% sequentially. We are preparing for significant growth ahead"

$NVDA https://t.co/oXLBgXPTII
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @TheShortBear: $GOOGL first to $5T market cap?

Gemini 3 just dropped and I believe it opened the path for Google to become the most valuable company in the world.

The biggest factor of the release was seeing that Gemini 3 success wasn't based on NVDA chips but on their own TPUs.

Google's development of the Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) is the strategic, long-term weapon designed to dismantle the current, high-cost dominance of general-purpose GPUs and position GOOGL as the indispensable, cost-advantaged infrastructure layer for the global AI revolution.

The core of this thesis is a calculated power play:

Shifting the economic center of gravity from $NVDA high-margin, general-purpose silicon to specialized, high-efficiency, proprietary ASICs.

The $GOOGL Full-Stack Advantage: Cost-Control and Commercialization, as per an ex employee:

The Superior Unit Economics of Inference
The world is shifting from costly AI model training to massive, repetitive, and daily inference (running the models across billions of user queries in Search, Ads, and Gemini).

TPUs, which are purpose-built for the tensor operations that define AI, offer significantly better performance per dollar and energy efficiency, a key metric for a hyperscaler.

For internal use (Gemini, Search, etc.), this drives down $GOOGL's largest and fastest-growing CapEx cost, translating directly into higher operating margins for the Google Services and Cloud segments.

A Commercial Challenge to the Ecosystem
The plan is to move beyond the Google Cloud "walled garden" and begin selling TPU capacity externally to other hosters, essentially following the $NVDA playbook. This means the TPU, currently the "closest alternative" to an $NVDA GPU, will be introduced as a viable competitor.

The recent deal with Anthropic to use up to one million TPUs confirms the enterprise-level maturity and ambition of this strategy, driven by the TPU's compelling cost-performance ratio.

While $NVDA's developer ecosystem (CUDA) remains a strong lock-in, the generational improvements in TPUs are reportedly significantly larger than the jumps seen in new GPUs.

Thesis: Consolidating AI Money

Monetization Synergy
$GOOGL's revenue is currently divided into Ad Money, Cloud Money, and AI Money.

By controlling the underlying hardware (TPU) that powers all three segments, $GOOGL effectively consolidates the "AI Money" flowing into its system, turning its own immense AI compute consumption from a cost center into a proprietary competitive moat.

$GOOGL can price its cloud AI services more aggressively because its internal cost of goods sold (COGS) for compute is lower than rivals reliant on third-party silicon.

This competitive wedge accelerates Google Cloud's growth and, critically, expands its operating margin, providing structural long-term leverage.

RESULT

Google ends up taking a large chunk of AWS, Azure and NVDA earnings as an all in one platform to develop, train and host the next generation of AI.

Google cloud will become the place to run it all.

On top, the new release of Gemini makes sure they win the Browser market which will run on the superior models.

All of this will be done at a lower cost then the competition, both through the lower cost AI itself but also through the own manufactured TPU and infrastructure.

GOOGL becomes the absolute kind, both for retail as a consumer product but also on the backend where everyone will be building. All of this coming at a massive advantage to Search.

Unreal turn of events after 1-1.5years of doubt by the street. GOOGL kept on telling us that their efforts in AI were strong and rooted in investments made a decade ago...

The market doubted them but it will likely make them the first 5T company.

Perhaps that is what Berkshire saw.
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
In less than 5 months, $GOOG has surged from $181 to $300, a +65% gain๐Ÿ“ˆ

Shows how powerful sentiment can be

A business with $GOOG moat, growth profile, & AI potential should not have been priced under 20x

Today, $GOOG appears fairly valued https://t.co/WsFxnGCLgv

A quality valuation analysis on $GOOG ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ

โ€ขNTM P/E Ratio: 19.32x
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 23.69x

โ€ขNTM FCF Yield: 3.79%
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 4.18%

As you can see, $GOOG appears to be trading below fair value

Going forward, investors can receive ~18% MORE in earnings per share & ~9% LESS in FCF per share ๐Ÿง ***

Before we get into valuation, letโ€™s take a look at why $GOOG is a great business

BALANCE SHEETโœ…
โ€ขCash & Short-Term Inv: $95.33B
โ€ขLong-Term Debt: $10.89B

$GOOG has a strong balance sheet, an AA+ S&P Credit Rating & 467x FFO Interest Coverage

RETURN ON CAPITALโœ…
โ€ข2020: 16.2%
โ€ข2021: 27.6%
โ€ข2022: 26.1%
โ€ข2023: 26.9%
โ€ข2024: 32.3%
โ€ขLTM: 31.9%

RETURN ON EQUITYโœ…
โ€ข2020: 19.0%
โ€ข2021: 32.1%
โ€ข2022: 23.6%
โ€ข2023: 27.4%
โ€ข2024: 32.9%
โ€ขLTM: 34.8%

$GOOG has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUESโœ…
โ€ข2014: $66.00B
โ€ข2024: $350.02B
โ€ขCAGR: 18.16%

FREE CASH FLOWโœ…
โ€ข2014: $12.01B
โ€ข2024: $72.76B
โ€ขCAGR: 19.73%

NORMALIZED EPSโœ…
โ€ข2014: $1.28
โ€ข2024: $8.04
โ€ขCAGR: 20.17%

SHARE BUYBACKSโœ…
โ€ข2018 Shares Outstanding: 14.07B
โ€ขLTM Shares Outstanding: 12.39B

By reducing its shares outstanding ~12%, $GOOG increased its EPS by ~13.6% (assuming 0 growth)

MARGINSโœ…
โ€ขLTM Gross Margins: 58.2%
โ€ขLTM Operating Margins: 33.2%
โ€ขLTM Net Income Margins: 30.9%

***NOW TO VALUATION ๐Ÿง 

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~18% MORE in EPS & ~9% LESS in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Grahamโ€™s 2G rule of thumb, $GOOG has to grow earnings at a 9.66% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2025 - 2028 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (9.66%) required growth rate:

2025E: $9.61 (19.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2026E: $10.21 (6.3% YoY)
2027E: $11.55 (13.1% YoY)
2028E: $13.57 (17.4% YoY)

$GOOG has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but letโ€™s assume $GOOG ends 2028 with $13.57 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

23x P/E: $312.11๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~17.4% CAGR

22x P/E: $298.54๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~15.9% CAGR

21x P/E: $284.97๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~14.5% CAGR

20x P/E: $271.40๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~12.8% CAGR

19x P/E: $257.83๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~11.2% CAGR

As you can see, $GOOG appears to have attractive return potential IF we assume >20x earnings (a multiple below its 5-year & 10-year mean while assuming a lower 2028E)

At >22x, $GOOG has aggressive CAGR potential & itโ€™s not unreasonable for the business to even trade for ~23x (given its growth rate, moat, balance sheet, & exemplary capital allocation)

Today at $181๐Ÿ’ต $GOOG appears to be a strong consideration for investment

Between cloud โ˜๏ธ , AI ๐Ÿค– , quantum computing โš›๏ธ, $GOOG has a strong growth runway ahead, with the potential for continued margin expansion serving as an additional tailwind

$GOOGL
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๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ: ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž. ๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž[...]
Offshore
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ In less than 5 months, $GOOG has surged from $181 to $300, a +65% gain๐Ÿ“ˆ Shows how powerful sentiment can be A business with $GOOG moat, growth profile, & AI potential should not have been priced under 20x Today, $GOOG appearsโ€ฆ
๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ. - Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ tweet