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AkhenOsiris
$LYFT $UBER $DASH

The Verge:

Let me ask you about some stuff that is changing, that I think you’re going to have to make some decisions about. And honestly, it will stress some of your structure. AI is here, and it’s happening in a lot of ways. Every CEO of a service company, whether that’s TaskRabbit or Uber or whoever has come on the show, I’ve asked this question. I’ve been calling it the DoorDash problem. I should probably get the people from DoorDash on the show to actually ask them directly about this thing that I’ve been calling the DoorDash problem for six months.

But just a couple of days ago, OpenAI had DevDay, and they showed a bunch of integrations where you could ask ChatGPT to go do stuff for you, including booking an Uber. We’ve seen other agentic products. Amazon announced Alexa+, which will be able to book a flight for you and will traverse websites; it’s built into Chrome now. We’re going to traverse websites on your behalf and do stuff for you.

The backend of that, whether it’s you or Zocdoc or whoever else is, well, we have a database of information, we know where all the drivers are. If you want to buy a sandwich, we know where all the sandwiches are. And so your agent’s going to come and order a sandwich on our website, and we won’t get the customer.

We will just become a service provider to some chatbot interface, and we won’t be able to do upsells. We won’t say, “Hey, there are Dua Lipa tickets,” or whatever we’re going to say, and that’s going to shrink our margins, and we’ll just become commodity service providers. This feels like a very big problem. I’ve been asking everybody about it. Does that feel like a big problem to you?

Lyft CEO:

I mean, maybe for the reasons you just said, but I wouldn’t say it’s one of the top five that I worry about. And a big part of it is, first of all, remember what you’re doing: you’re trusting something. You’re trusting that this thing, this person, is going to come and pick you up, and they’re going to just be on time, and it’s going to be safe. And if I leave my iPhone there, I’m not going to get the thing stolen. All these different things. And it’s physical, it’s safety, and it’s real-world stuff. And so the most extreme version of what you’re saying is I go to ChatGPT and I say, “Please come pick me up.” And some rando comes to pick me up, and there’s no guarantee, there’s no service, there’s no... That would be bad. I don’t think a lot of people would be super excited about just some rando coming, picking me up in an unbranded service, and whatever it is.

So if it’s not going to be an unbranded, just a rando picking me up, then it probably has to be one of the guys who are doing existing rideshare, and that’s us. And then we’ve got all sorts of ways where I think we can compete. So we want to compete on relationships, by the way, not just on transactions. And what does that look like? That [is something] you already mentioned: you choose us, among other reasons, because you get points on your credit card, an unnamed credit card, when you do that. Well, that’s still going to be the case in the future. And so you might have a preference for us that you push through ChatGPT. If they try to disintermediate, you say, “Well, no, I actually have a preference here.” And we’re going to do a whole bunch of different things to make sure that you have a very, very strong preference for asking for us by name, not just saying, “I want to get to a place.” And then second of all, remember that-

Verge:

Wait, can you tell me what those things are? Because right now on my phone, the apps are side by side, and I open them both, and I will... if it’s within $5, I’ll pick the credit card points, but I will almost always pick the cheaper one. And I feel like an agent going off onto the web and finding the cheapest one is actually the most direct threat to your margins, to everyone’s margins.

Lyft CEO:

Read here: https://t.co/d6pypIDqEm tweet
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: A Polymarket trader just bet $25K that Andrew Cuomo will win the New York mayoral election.

It is the user's first trade.

They will win $459K if they are correct. https://t.co/ciBqwAMCCR
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Clark Square Capital
Thanks shitcos https://t.co/wNU8K8w9rl

Thanks Bitcoin https://t.co/fMW2DmcvRx
- Baer
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: “Quality (closed at 20-year lows with unprofitable tech +25% in 10 sessions and high SI names on pace for their best month of the year)” — post from @JaredKubin

Paired with chart below, this creates a compelling dynamic—likely a great time to seek value in quality compounders

Mega Cap Tech Stocks are underperforming Non-Profitable Tech Stocks by the largest margin since 2023 🚨🚨 https://t.co/x9QCoAhuLN
- Barchart
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Cintas is now down -20% from its highs

My price target for $CTAS is $150💵, implying -17% further downside—a total -34% decline from its highs

Even after the current drop, margin of safety remains minimal: $CTAS trades 35x forward EPS with 11%–13% EPS CAGR potential, versus 23x–32x multiples from 2016–2024 while growing EPS at ~18% CAGR

I expect continued multiple compression toward 30x
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App Economy Insights
$AMZN AWS and OpenAI just inked a $38B deal.

OpenAI gets access to hundreds of thousands of $NVDA GPUs, with the option to scale to tens of millions of CPUs for agentic workloads.

The 7-year agreement implies ~$5B/year of additional AWS revenue.

📊 AWS Trailing-12-months. 👇 https://t.co/E1r9NfAIsi
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AkhenOsiris
https://t.co/2woR7AcJIs

Software Engineering Jobs have been resilient in 2025:

While there’s been a lot of talk about AI replacing software engineers, the data has suggested the opposite: the # of software engineering jobs have not changed much since last year.

Most engineering roles are either growing or hovering near the benchmark. This is happening in a year where GitHub Copilot, OpenAI Codex, Claude Code, and a dozen other AI coding assistants are supposedly making human programmers obsolete.

The obvious explanation is that AI tools are making engineers more productive, not redundant. When you give a developer Copilot, they don’t become unnecessary – they ship features faster, tackle more complex problems, and spend less time on boilerplate code.

One interesting data point is that frontend engineering jobs have declined the most out of any software engineering job. I can’t help but wonder if it’s because of the influx of vibe coding tools like Replit, Lovable and https://t.co/5RJ3NjnuFR that have made it super easy to create a front-end for a website or app. I doubt AI is getting rid of sophisticated frontend work (like building a frontend app like Figma), but perhaps it’s having an impact on the less complicated work.

Still, despite all the hype about how AI coding tools will replace software engineers, software engineering is still one of the most secure jobs you can have today, relative to most other white-collar jobs.
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Andrew Sather
RT @IFB_podcast: The "Non-Cyclical" Commodity Secret?

Most commodities like copper are volatile. But aggregates (concrete materials) offer rare organic growth.

Why? Fixed supply of quarries + tough government permits = long-term pricing power. That was my lightbulb moment! https://t.co/DpU0ybDWoD
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App Economy Insights
$PLTR Palantir Q3 FY25:

• Net dollar retention 134% (+16pp Y/Y).
• Revenue +63% Y/Y to $1.18B ($90M beat).
• Non-GAAP EPS $0.21 ($0.04 beat).

FY25 guidance:
• Revenue +53% Y/Y to $4.4B ($252M raise).
• Adjusted margin 49% (3pp raise). https://t.co/7g0Q3rFHZi
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