David Colombo
Does anyone know, how to avoid this to happen?
Due to local laws, we are temporarily restricting access to this content until X estimates your age. Más información
I changed my name like a month ago and since then I've been having this problem and can't access to "sensitive" content, even if it's my own content. I don't have a choice to re_verify my age as I'm already verified.
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Does anyone know, how to avoid this to happen?
Due to local laws, we are temporarily restricting access to this content until X estimates your age. Más información
I changed my name like a month ago and since then I've been having this problem and can't access to "sensitive" content, even if it's my own content. I don't have a choice to re_verify my age as I'm already verified.
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Offshore
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ToffCap
We're out with TMM #73, our weekly overview of actionable event-driven and special sits 🔥🔥
This week:
- again activist action all over the place
- some very intriguing merger arbs
- busted companies with pretty good assets, probably going to divest some (at >EV)
- cool liquidations
- cool tender offers
- a TON of Japanese companies doing interesting stuff
- wolves
- as always, companies nearing inflection points (and the market not caring much)
- ... and much more.
As always @ToffCap
Enjoy!
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We're out with TMM #73, our weekly overview of actionable event-driven and special sits 🔥🔥
This week:
- again activist action all over the place
- some very intriguing merger arbs
- busted companies with pretty good assets, probably going to divest some (at >EV)
- cool liquidations
- cool tender offers
- a TON of Japanese companies doing interesting stuff
- wolves
- as always, companies nearing inflection points (and the market not caring much)
- ... and much more.
As always @ToffCap
Enjoy!
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AkhenOsiris
$DKNG $FLUT $GENI $SRAD
Kalshi traffic: Looking at the state-by-state web traffic data, Jefferies noted the three major unregulated or restricted states of California, Texas and Florida accounted for 32% of Kalshi’s web traffic since the start of the NFL season, up from 26% prior to the season. Meanwhile, the traffic from the three largest regulated states of Illinois, New Jersey and New York has shrunk from 23% to 19%. Notably, California’s share of Kalshi traffic has grown substantially from 13% to 19% during the NFL season.
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$DKNG $FLUT $GENI $SRAD
Kalshi traffic: Looking at the state-by-state web traffic data, Jefferies noted the three major unregulated or restricted states of California, Texas and Florida accounted for 32% of Kalshi’s web traffic since the start of the NFL season, up from 26% prior to the season. Meanwhile, the traffic from the three largest regulated states of Illinois, New Jersey and New York has shrunk from 23% to 19%. Notably, California’s share of Kalshi traffic has grown substantially from 13% to 19% during the NFL season.
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Offshore
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Quiver Quantitative
UPDATE: Earlier this year, we reported on purchases of AMD stock by Marjorie Taylor Greene.
$AMD has now risen 179% since her April 8th purchase. https://t.co/SuuHufwzBK
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UPDATE: Earlier this year, we reported on purchases of AMD stock by Marjorie Taylor Greene.
$AMD has now risen 179% since her April 8th purchase. https://t.co/SuuHufwzBK
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Offshore
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Umesh
My entry for the ElevenLabs Studio 3.0 contest.
Having SFX, music, and VO all in one place makes it a great experience! https://t.co/U9blpzSVSP
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My entry for the ElevenLabs Studio 3.0 contest.
Having SFX, music, and VO all in one place makes it a great experience! https://t.co/U9blpzSVSP
Announcing the @elevenlabsio Studio 3.0 community contest.
Create.
Share.
Win.
$2,000 in total prizes. https://t.co/ZCaL9Ebh1e tweet
Offshore
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
A quality valuation analysis on $MELI 🧘🏽♂️
•NTM P/E Ratio: 39.87x
•P/E Ratio Mean: 46.42x
As you can see, $MELI appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~16% MORE in earnings per share 🧠***
Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $MELI is a great business
BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Short-Term Inv: $3.98B
•Long-Term Debt: $3.43B
$MELI has a strong balance sheet, a BB+ S&P Credit Rating & 52x FFO Interest Coverage
RETURN ON CAPITAL🆗➡️✅
•2020: 3.7%
•2021: 8.1%
•2022: 14.7%
•2023: 25.7%
•2024: 23.0%
•LTM: 19.7%
RETURN ON EQUITY🆗➡️✅
•2020: (0.1%)
•2021: 5.2%
•2022: 28.7%
•2023: 40.3%
•2024: 51.5%
•LTM: 43.8%
$MELI has strong and improved return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUES✅
•2019: $2.30B
•2024: $20.78B
•CAGR: 55.30%
FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2019: $314.29M
•2024: $7.05B
•CAGR: 86.32%
NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2019: ($3.71)
•2024: $37.69
SHARE BUYBACKS❌
•2019 Shares Outstanding: 48.69M
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 50.70M
MARGINS🆗➡️✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 51.5%
•LTM Operating Margins: 12.3%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 8.5%
***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~16% MORE in EPS
Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $MELI has to grow earnings at an 19.94% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2025 - 2027 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (19.94%) required growth rate:
2025E: $44.33 (17.6% YoY)
2026E: $66.58 (50.2% YoY)
2027E: $89.03 (33.7% YoY)
$MELI has an ok track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but let’s assume $MELI ends 2027 with $80.12 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
40x P/E: $3204💵 … ~20.2% CAGR
38x P/E: $3044💵 … ~17.5% CAGR
36x P/E: $2884💵 … ~14.6% CAGR
34x P/E: $2724💵 … ~11.7% CAGR
As you can see, $MELI appears to have attractive return potential IF we assume >34x earnings (a multiple justified by its growth rate & moat) & 2027 EPS -10% below estimates
$MELI boasts an expansive growth trajectory, fueled by powerful network effects that should drive sustained momentum
Key factors contributing to its promising outlook include 🔑
1. Margin expansion
2. Unparalleled access to Latin America's burgeoning economy
3. Network effects & scale economies shared that produce self-reinforcing dynamics ensuring long-term competitiveness, among other things
These growth rates have to be revised down substantially for $MELI to miss the mark, even if the company grows earnings at 25% CAGR over the next 5 years, shareholders will likely end up with a great return
Today I consider $MELI a compelling consideration for investment at $2130💵
#stocks #investing
___
DISCLOSURE‼️: This is NOT Investment Advice. Babylon Capital® and its representatives may have positions in the securities discussed in this post.
The information contained in this post is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice to meet the specific needs of any individual or situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Information contained in this post has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to completeness or accuracy.
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A quality valuation analysis on $MELI 🧘🏽♂️
•NTM P/E Ratio: 39.87x
•P/E Ratio Mean: 46.42x
As you can see, $MELI appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~16% MORE in earnings per share 🧠***
Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $MELI is a great business
BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Short-Term Inv: $3.98B
•Long-Term Debt: $3.43B
$MELI has a strong balance sheet, a BB+ S&P Credit Rating & 52x FFO Interest Coverage
RETURN ON CAPITAL🆗➡️✅
•2020: 3.7%
•2021: 8.1%
•2022: 14.7%
•2023: 25.7%
•2024: 23.0%
•LTM: 19.7%
RETURN ON EQUITY🆗➡️✅
•2020: (0.1%)
•2021: 5.2%
•2022: 28.7%
•2023: 40.3%
•2024: 51.5%
•LTM: 43.8%
$MELI has strong and improved return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUES✅
•2019: $2.30B
•2024: $20.78B
•CAGR: 55.30%
FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2019: $314.29M
•2024: $7.05B
•CAGR: 86.32%
NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2019: ($3.71)
•2024: $37.69
SHARE BUYBACKS❌
•2019 Shares Outstanding: 48.69M
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 50.70M
MARGINS🆗➡️✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 51.5%
•LTM Operating Margins: 12.3%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 8.5%
***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~16% MORE in EPS
Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $MELI has to grow earnings at an 19.94% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2025 - 2027 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (19.94%) required growth rate:
2025E: $44.33 (17.6% YoY)
2026E: $66.58 (50.2% YoY)
2027E: $89.03 (33.7% YoY)
$MELI has an ok track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but let’s assume $MELI ends 2027 with $80.12 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
40x P/E: $3204💵 … ~20.2% CAGR
38x P/E: $3044💵 … ~17.5% CAGR
36x P/E: $2884💵 … ~14.6% CAGR
34x P/E: $2724💵 … ~11.7% CAGR
As you can see, $MELI appears to have attractive return potential IF we assume >34x earnings (a multiple justified by its growth rate & moat) & 2027 EPS -10% below estimates
$MELI boasts an expansive growth trajectory, fueled by powerful network effects that should drive sustained momentum
Key factors contributing to its promising outlook include 🔑
1. Margin expansion
2. Unparalleled access to Latin America's burgeoning economy
3. Network effects & scale economies shared that produce self-reinforcing dynamics ensuring long-term competitiveness, among other things
These growth rates have to be revised down substantially for $MELI to miss the mark, even if the company grows earnings at 25% CAGR over the next 5 years, shareholders will likely end up with a great return
Today I consider $MELI a compelling consideration for investment at $2130💵
#stocks #investing
___
DISCLOSURE‼️: This is NOT Investment Advice. Babylon Capital® and its representatives may have positions in the securities discussed in this post.
The information contained in this post is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice to meet the specific needs of any individual or situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Information contained in this post has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to completeness or accuracy.
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Offshore
Photo
Yellowbrick Investing
RT @CEOStockWatcher: I didn't even have time to buy this stock I highlighted in this morning's email before it got bid up 15% $WTI https://t.co/OJgcdEcHiq
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RT @CEOStockWatcher: I didn't even have time to buy this stock I highlighted in this morning's email before it got bid up 15% $WTI https://t.co/OJgcdEcHiq
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