Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: 86 members of Congress have now signed Thomas Massie's discharge petition to force the release of the full Epstein files.

This includes four Republicans (Mace, Boebert, Greene, and Massie)

218 signatures are needed.
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naiive
crypto guys problem in 2026
https://t.co/bgshohbnTP
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White Druski spitting hill billy you ainโ€™t lost is you /// reaction meme https://t.co/3dvBdRvz2U
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: A quality valuation analysis on $GOOG ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ

โ€ขNTM P/E Ratio: 21.03x
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 23.08x

โ€ขNTM FCF Yield: 2.93%
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 4.17%

As you can see, $GOOG appears to be trading below fair value on an earnings basis

Going forward, investors can receive ~10% MORE in earnings per share & ~30% LESS in FCF per share ๐Ÿง ***

Before we get into valuation, letโ€™s take a look at why $GOOG is a great business

BALANCE SHEETโœ…
โ€ขCash & Short-Term Inv: $95.15B
โ€ขLong-Term Debt: $23.61B

$GOOG has a strong balance sheet, an AA+ S&P Credit Rating & 332x FFO Interest Coverage

RETURN ON CAPITALโœ…
โ€ข2020: 16.2%
โ€ข2021: 27.6%
โ€ข2022: 26.1%
โ€ข2023: 26.9%
โ€ข2024: 32.3%
โ€ขLTM: 30.4%

RETURN ON EQUITYโœ…
โ€ข2020: 19.0%
โ€ข2021: 32.1%
โ€ข2022: 23.6%
โ€ข2023: 27.4%
โ€ข2024: 32.9%
โ€ขLTM: 34.8%

$GOOG has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUESโœ…
โ€ข2014: $66.00B
โ€ข2024: $350.02B
โ€ขCAGR: 18.16%

FREE CASH FLOWโœ…
โ€ข2014: $12.01B
โ€ข2024: $72.76B
โ€ขCAGR: 19.73%

NORMALIZED EPSโœ…
โ€ข2014: $1.28
โ€ข2024: $8.04
โ€ขCAGR: 20.17%

SHARE BUYBACKSโœ…
โ€ข2018 Shares Outstanding: 14.07B
โ€ขLTM Shares Outstanding: 12.31B

By reducing its shares outstanding ~12.5%, $GOOG increased its EPS by ~14.3% (assuming 0 growth)

MARGINSโœ…
โ€ขLTM Gross Margins: 58.2%
โ€ขLTM Operating Margins: 33.2%
โ€ขLTM Net Income Margins: 31.1%

***NOW TO VALUATION ๐Ÿง 

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~10% MORE in EPS & ~30% LESS in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Grahamโ€™s 2G rule of thumb, $GOOG has to grow earnings at a 10.52% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2025 - 2028 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (10.52%) required growth rate:

2025E: $9.93 (23.5% YoY) *FY Dec

2026E: $10.65 (7.2% YoY)
2027E: $12.00 (12.6% YoY)
2028E: $13.97 (16.4% YoY)

$GOOG has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but letโ€™s assume $GOOG ends 2028 with $13.97 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

23x P/E: $321.31๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~14.1% CAGR

22x P/E: $307.34๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~12.6% CAGR

21x P/E: $293.37๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~11.0% CAGR

20x P/E: $279.40๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~9.4% CAGR

19x P/E: $265.43๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~7.8% CAGR

As you can see, $GOOG appears to have attractive return potential IF we assume >21x earnings (a multiple below its 5-year & 10-year mean & a multiple justified by its growth rate & moat)

At >23x, $GOOG has aggressive CAGR potential & itโ€™s not unreasonable for the business to even trade for ~23x - ~25x (given its growth rate, moat, balance sheet, & exemplary capital allocation)

Today at $209๐Ÿ’ต $GOOG appears to be a good consideration for investment, albeit with a much smaller margin of safety compared to the last several months

Between cloud โ˜๏ธ , AI ๐Ÿค– , quantum computing โš›๏ธ, $GOOG has a strong growth runway ahead, with the potential for continued margin expansion serving as an additional tailwind

$GOOGL
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๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ: ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž. ๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ. tweet
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Simplifying Stocks, CPA
Wifey who is 50% in $GOOGL https://t.co/q07ptHUgCA

BREAKING โš ๏ธ

JUDGE RULES GOOGLE NOT REQUIRED TO END PAYMENTS TO APPLE AND OTHER PARTNERS FOR PRELOADING GOOGLE PRODUCTS.

GOOGLE NOT REQUIRED TO SELL CHROME IN COURT ANTITRUST RULING.

JUDGE RULES GOOGLE WILL NOT HAVE TO SELL OFF THE ANDROID OPERATING SYSTEM.

$GOOGL +8% https://t.co/77Wnprff2I
- Simplifying Stocks, CPA
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Evan
RT @StockMKTNewz: STARBUCKS $SBUX TO LAUNCH PROTEIN-PACKED COLD FOAM, LATTES LATER THIS MONTH

"Customers who add Starbucksโ€™ protein cold foam to their grande beverages can expect about 19 to 26 grams of protein, while the chainโ€™s grande-sized protein latte delivers 27 to 36 grams of protein" - CNBC
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Aadit Sheth
This guy literally proves you donโ€™t need coding to build apps anymore
https://t.co/U7h7jPG3QM
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Iqra Saifi
Veo-3 fast on Flow ๐ŸŽค

"High-Fashion Music Video",
"duration_seconds": 8,
"parameters": {
"style": "hyper-realistic, cinematic, high-fashion music video, alluring, sensual, vibrant, slick",
"camera": {
"type": "Arri Alexa LF with Signature Prime lens",
"lens": "40mm T1.8",
"movement": "A fluid Steadicam shot that orbits the model, starting with a close-up on her face and pulling back to reveal her full body and dance moves. It includes a slow, subtle push-in towards the end to heighten intimacy.",
"focus": "Shallow depth of field, keeping the focus locked on the model's eyes. The background is a soft, artistic blur of lights and color."
},
"lighting": {
"main": "A large, soft key light (softbox) slightly off-camera, creating a flattering, glamorous light on the model's face and figure.",
"fill": "Subtle fill light from the opposite side to soften any remaining shadows.",
"effects": "Volumetric haze in the air to catch the light. A background of programmable LED screens displaying abstract, flowing gradients of neon pink, purple, and cyan. A soft, warm rim light traces her silhouette."
},
"scene_description": {
"setting": "A sleek, dark studio with a polished black floor that reflects the model and the background lights. The background is dominated by large, curved LED walls.",
"time_of_day": "Controlled studio lighting.",
"elements": [
{
"type": "model",
"description": "A breathtakingly beautiful female model with a powerful, confident aura and an athletic, curvaceous physique. Her presence is magnetic and intensely captivating. She is singing directly to the camera, her expression shifting between playful smirks and intense, soulful gazes.",
"attire": "A daring, high-fashion liquid silver dress with a thigh-high slit and a plunging neckline. The fabric clings to her form like a second skin, shimmering and catching the light with every subtle movement. Paired with minimalist, strappy high heels. Her hair is styled in glamorous, loose waves, and her makeup is bold and flawless, with a glossy lip and smoky eyes."
}
]
},
"action_sequence": [
{
"time": "0.0s",
"action": "Extreme close-up on the model's lips as she begins to sing."
},
{
"time": "1.5s",
"action": "The camera pulls back slightly to frame her face. She makes direct eye contact with the lens, winking playfully."
},
{
"time": "3.0s",
"action": "The Steadicam begins to orbit as she transitions into a slow, mesmerizing body roll. The liquid silver dress ripples around her."
},
{
"time": "5.0s",
"action": "The camera captures a full-body shot as she executes a powerful and graceful spin. The slit in her dress reveals a flash of her leg as the LED background shifts colors."
},
{
"time": "7.0s",
"action": "The camera starts to push back in, returning to a medium close-up. She holds a pose and delivers the final line of the lyric with a sultry, confident expression."
},
{
"time": "8.0s",
"action": "The shot ends on her holding the intense gaze, a slight, knowing smile on her lips."
}
],
"audio": {
"main_track": "A modern, upbeat pop/R&B track with a strong bassline, slick synth melodies, and a catchy vocal hook. The model's singing is perfectly synced, clear, and professional."
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Riley Brown
RT @rileybrown_ai: We are building the fastest growing vibe coding app on mobile.

I think lovable is on the right track with this, and we are building something similar for @vibecodeapp, also with payments.

People want to make money with the apps they vibecode.

Some people are already making money.

Expect to see it ALOT more as we approach the end of the year.

Also @vibecodeapp is free right now in case you missed it.

We're building a backend directly into Lovable โ€“ so you can handle auth, databases, and backend logic all without leaving Lovable.

Want early access?
- Kristian Kyvik
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