Offshore
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Gainify
PEG Ratios of the Top 10 U.S. Companies by Market Cap
๐ $TSLA โ 10.22x
9๏ธโฃ $AAPL โ 3.02x
8๏ธโฃ $MSFT โ 2.74x
7๏ธโฃ $JPM โ 2.01x
6๏ธโฃ $AVGO โ 1.99x
5๏ธโฃ $AMZN โ 1.93x
4๏ธโฃ $META โ 1.55x
3๏ธโฃ $GOOGL โ 1.40x
2๏ธโฃ $NVDA โ 1.19x
1๏ธโฃ $TSM โ 1.12x
Which stock looks the most attractive at these valuations?
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PEG Ratios of the Top 10 U.S. Companies by Market Cap
๐ $TSLA โ 10.22x
9๏ธโฃ $AAPL โ 3.02x
8๏ธโฃ $MSFT โ 2.74x
7๏ธโฃ $JPM โ 2.01x
6๏ธโฃ $AVGO โ 1.99x
5๏ธโฃ $AMZN โ 1.93x
4๏ธโฃ $META โ 1.55x
3๏ธโฃ $GOOGL โ 1.40x
2๏ธโฃ $NVDA โ 1.19x
1๏ธโฃ $TSM โ 1.12x
Which stock looks the most attractive at these valuations?
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Offshore
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Evan
85% of Nvidia's $NVDA revenue last quarter came from just 6 companies
$10.75B - Customer A (23% of total revenue)
$7.48B - Customer B (16%)
$6.54B - Customer C (14%)
$5.14B - Customer D (11%)
$5.14B - Customer E (11%)
$4.67B - Customer F (10%)
So what Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Elon/Tesla ... who am I missing?
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85% of Nvidia's $NVDA revenue last quarter came from just 6 companies
$10.75B - Customer A (23% of total revenue)
$7.48B - Customer B (16%)
$6.54B - Customer C (14%)
$5.14B - Customer D (11%)
$5.14B - Customer E (11%)
$4.67B - Customer F (10%)
So what Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Elon/Tesla ... who am I missing?
Nvidia $NVDA said sales to just one customer represented 23% of its total $46.7 Billion of revenue from the quarter
Someone spent $10.75 Billion with Nvidia during the quarter ๐คฏ https://t.co/2IbEocnnQn - Evantweet
Simplifying Stocks, CPA
$NVDA PRICE TARGET CHANGES ๐
JPMorgan Raises target price to $215 from $170
Rosenblatt Raises target price to $215 from $200
Benchmark Raises target price to $220 from $190
BofA Securities Raises target price to $235 from $220
Citi Raises target price to $215 from $170
Jefferies Raises target price to $205 from $200
KeyBanc Raises target price to $230 from $215
DA Davidson Raises target price to $195 from $135
Truist Securities Raises target price to $228 from $210
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$NVDA PRICE TARGET CHANGES ๐
JPMorgan Raises target price to $215 from $170
Rosenblatt Raises target price to $215 from $200
Benchmark Raises target price to $220 from $190
BofA Securities Raises target price to $235 from $220
Citi Raises target price to $215 from $170
Jefferies Raises target price to $205 from $200
KeyBanc Raises target price to $230 from $215
DA Davidson Raises target price to $195 from $135
Truist Securities Raises target price to $228 from $210
$NVDA Earnings Deep Dive
https://t.co/RY5wCejFnt - Simplifying Stocks, CPAtweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Simplifying Stocks, CPA (@FinFluentialx) on X
$NVDA Earnings Deep Dive
https://t.co/RY5wCejFnt
https://t.co/RY5wCejFnt
Offshore
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Gainify
The Magnificent 7 just went 7/7.
Every single Mag 7 stock BEAT expectations:
โ All beat EPS estimates
โ All beat Revenue estimates
Say what you want, but earnings season = SOLID.
$AAPL $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL $META $AMZN $TSLA https://t.co/kaUzVlFZg5
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The Magnificent 7 just went 7/7.
Every single Mag 7 stock BEAT expectations:
โ All beat EPS estimates
โ All beat Revenue estimates
Say what you want, but earnings season = SOLID.
$AAPL $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL $META $AMZN $TSLA https://t.co/kaUzVlFZg5
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ToffCap
The battle is clearly on (again) for Tyro Payments $TYR, with the company confirming it has received takeover interest from separate parties.
This profitable payment solutions provider rejected a $1.60 p/s bid in 2022 (current share price ~$1.20).
The difference vs the last time is a new CEO, which is more willing to engage.
8-8.5x forward ev/ebitda for high 20s% ebitda margin and healthy growth seems too low.
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The battle is clearly on (again) for Tyro Payments $TYR, with the company confirming it has received takeover interest from separate parties.
This profitable payment solutions provider rejected a $1.60 p/s bid in 2022 (current share price ~$1.20).
The difference vs the last time is a new CEO, which is more willing to engage.
8-8.5x forward ev/ebitda for high 20s% ebitda margin and healthy growth seems too low.
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Offshore
Video
Joss Lรณpez
RT @freepik: Unlimited Nano Banana gives you results that'll make you go viral
Mixed in with our AI Video Generator, you can create smooth, consistent and ridiculously fast transitions
Tutorial, prompts, and examples ๐งต https://t.co/UEr4oMJUWU
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RT @freepik: Unlimited Nano Banana gives you results that'll make you go viral
Mixed in with our AI Video Generator, you can create smooth, consistent and ridiculously fast transitions
Tutorial, prompts, and examples ๐งต https://t.co/UEr4oMJUWU
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Offshore
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
A quality valuation analysis on $AMZN ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/OCF Ratio: 15.62x
โข5-Year Mean: 22.10x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 1.07%
โข5-Year Mean: 2.63%
As you can see, $AMZN appears to be slightly undervalued using P/OCF
Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~41% MORE in operating cash flow & ~59% LESS in FCF per share๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $AMZN is a quality business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Equivalents: $93.18B
โขLong-Term Debt: $57.92B
$AMZN has an excellent balance sheet, an AA S&P Credit Rating & 54x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITAL๐ / โ
โข2020: 11.6%
โข2021: 8.9%
โข2022: 4.2%
โข2023: 10.1%
โข2024: 15.5%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2020: 27.4%
โข2021: 28.8%
โข2022: (1.9%)
โข2023: 17.5%
โข2024: 24.3%
$AMZN has good return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2019: $280.52B
โข2024: $637.96B
โขCAGR: 17.85%
FREE CASH FLOW๐(โ )
โข2019: $21.65B
โข2024: $32.88B
โขCAGR: 8.71%
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2019: $1.15
โข2024: $5.53
โขCAGR: 36.90%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2019 Shares Outstanding: 10.08B
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 10.78B
MARGINS๐โก๏ธโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 49.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 11.4%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 10.5%
*Important for $AMZN to continue expanding margins & increase profitability
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~41% MORE in OCF & ~59% LESS in FCF per share
Weโre using P/OCF instead of P/E as historical data reveals a stronger correlation between AMZN's share price and Operating Cash Flow (OCF)
Today, analysts anticipate aggressive OCF (per share) growth between 2025 - 2027:
2025E: $13.11 (21% YoY) *FY Dec
2026E: $16.21 (24% YoY)
2027E: $19.90 (23% YoY)
$AMZN has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $AMZN ends 2027 with $19.90 in OCF per share & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples (photos attached below also include these CAGR estimates):
18x P/OCF: $358.13๐ต โฆ ~21% CAGR
17x P/OCF: $338.24๐ต โฆ ~18% CAGR
16x P/OCF: $318.34๐ต โฆ ~15% CAGR
15x P/OCF: $298.45๐ต โฆ ~12% CAGR
As you can see, $AMZN appears to have strong double-digit CAGR potential if we assume ~16x P/OCF, a multiple less than what itโs trading for today & a multiple thatโs justified given its growth rate
Also by assuming a bit of multiple compression, we leave ourselves with some margin of safety
AWS & Amazon Ads will continue to drive growth & profitability. In $AMZN LTM:
โ๏ธAWS revenue: $116.38B
๐Ads revenue: $61.23B
Combined, these segments generated $177.61B net revenue โฆ with ~37% Operating Income Margin
Today at $229๐ต $AMZN appears to be a good to fair consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
Data: TIKR
Graphs: FAST Graphs
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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A quality valuation analysis on $AMZN ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/OCF Ratio: 15.62x
โข5-Year Mean: 22.10x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 1.07%
โข5-Year Mean: 2.63%
As you can see, $AMZN appears to be slightly undervalued using P/OCF
Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~41% MORE in operating cash flow & ~59% LESS in FCF per share๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $AMZN is a quality business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Equivalents: $93.18B
โขLong-Term Debt: $57.92B
$AMZN has an excellent balance sheet, an AA S&P Credit Rating & 54x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITAL๐ / โ
โข2020: 11.6%
โข2021: 8.9%
โข2022: 4.2%
โข2023: 10.1%
โข2024: 15.5%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2020: 27.4%
โข2021: 28.8%
โข2022: (1.9%)
โข2023: 17.5%
โข2024: 24.3%
$AMZN has good return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2019: $280.52B
โข2024: $637.96B
โขCAGR: 17.85%
FREE CASH FLOW๐(โ )
โข2019: $21.65B
โข2024: $32.88B
โขCAGR: 8.71%
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2019: $1.15
โข2024: $5.53
โขCAGR: 36.90%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2019 Shares Outstanding: 10.08B
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 10.78B
MARGINS๐โก๏ธโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 49.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 11.4%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 10.5%
*Important for $AMZN to continue expanding margins & increase profitability
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~41% MORE in OCF & ~59% LESS in FCF per share
Weโre using P/OCF instead of P/E as historical data reveals a stronger correlation between AMZN's share price and Operating Cash Flow (OCF)
Today, analysts anticipate aggressive OCF (per share) growth between 2025 - 2027:
2025E: $13.11 (21% YoY) *FY Dec
2026E: $16.21 (24% YoY)
2027E: $19.90 (23% YoY)
$AMZN has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $AMZN ends 2027 with $19.90 in OCF per share & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples (photos attached below also include these CAGR estimates):
18x P/OCF: $358.13๐ต โฆ ~21% CAGR
17x P/OCF: $338.24๐ต โฆ ~18% CAGR
16x P/OCF: $318.34๐ต โฆ ~15% CAGR
15x P/OCF: $298.45๐ต โฆ ~12% CAGR
As you can see, $AMZN appears to have strong double-digit CAGR potential if we assume ~16x P/OCF, a multiple less than what itโs trading for today & a multiple thatโs justified given its growth rate
Also by assuming a bit of multiple compression, we leave ourselves with some margin of safety
AWS & Amazon Ads will continue to drive growth & profitability. In $AMZN LTM:
โ๏ธAWS revenue: $116.38B
๐Ads revenue: $61.23B
Combined, these segments generated $177.61B net revenue โฆ with ~37% Operating Income Margin
Today at $229๐ต $AMZN appears to be a good to fair consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
Data: TIKR
Graphs: FAST Graphs
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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Offshore
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naiive
You're stucked in an elevator in 2 hours
what would you do instead of checking crypto ? https://t.co/DfzLCFd8fm
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You're stucked in an elevator in 2 hours
what would you do instead of checking crypto ? https://t.co/DfzLCFd8fm
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Evan
229K PEOPLE IN THE ๐บ๐ธ FILED FOR UNEMPLOYMENT THIS PAST WEEK BELOW EXPECTATIONS OF 231K
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229K PEOPLE IN THE ๐บ๐ธ FILED FOR UNEMPLOYMENT THIS PAST WEEK BELOW EXPECTATIONS OF 231K
BREAKING
Initial Jobless Claims
Act.: 229K, Est.: 231K, Prev.: 234K - REX Sharestweet