Offshore
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Gainify
PEG Ratios of the Top 10 U.S. Companies by Market Cap

๐Ÿ”Ÿ $TSLA โ†’ 10.22x
9๏ธโƒฃ $AAPL โ†’ 3.02x
8๏ธโƒฃ $MSFT โ†’ 2.74x
7๏ธโƒฃ $JPM โ†’ 2.01x
6๏ธโƒฃ $AVGO โ†’ 1.99x
5๏ธโƒฃ $AMZN โ†’ 1.93x
4๏ธโƒฃ $META โ†’ 1.55x
3๏ธโƒฃ $GOOGL โ†’ 1.40x
2๏ธโƒฃ $NVDA โ†’ 1.19x
1๏ธโƒฃ $TSM โ†’ 1.12x

Which stock looks the most attractive at these valuations?
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Offshore
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Evan
85% of Nvidia's $NVDA revenue last quarter came from just 6 companies

$10.75B - Customer A (23% of total revenue)
$7.48B - Customer B (16%)
$6.54B - Customer C (14%)
$5.14B - Customer D (11%)
$5.14B - Customer E (11%)
$4.67B - Customer F (10%)

So what Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Elon/Tesla ... who am I missing?

Nvidia $NVDA said sales to just one customer represented 23% of its total $46.7 Billion of revenue from the quarter

Someone spent $10.75 Billion with Nvidia during the quarter ๐Ÿคฏ https://t.co/2IbEocnnQn
- Evan
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Simplifying Stocks, CPA
$NVDA PRICE TARGET CHANGES ๐Ÿ‘‡

JPMorgan Raises target price to $215 from $170

Rosenblatt Raises target price to $215 from $200

Benchmark Raises target price to $220 from $190

BofA Securities Raises target price to $235 from $220

Citi Raises target price to $215 from $170

Jefferies Raises target price to $205 from $200

KeyBanc Raises target price to $230 from $215

DA Davidson Raises target price to $195 from $135

Truist Securities Raises target price to $228 from $210

$NVDA Earnings Deep Dive
https://t.co/RY5wCejFnt
- Simplifying Stocks, CPA
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Offshore
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Gainify
The Magnificent 7 just went 7/7.

Every single Mag 7 stock BEAT expectations:
โœ… All beat EPS estimates
โœ… All beat Revenue estimates

Say what you want, but earnings season = SOLID.

$AAPL $NVDA $MSFT $GOOGL $META $AMZN $TSLA https://t.co/kaUzVlFZg5
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ToffCap
The battle is clearly on (again) for Tyro Payments $TYR, with the company confirming it has received takeover interest from separate parties.

This profitable payment solutions provider rejected a $1.60 p/s bid in 2022 (current share price ~$1.20).

The difference vs the last time is a new CEO, which is more willing to engage.

8-8.5x forward ev/ebitda for high 20s% ebitda margin and healthy growth seems too low.
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Offshore
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Joss Lรณpez
RT @freepik: Unlimited Nano Banana gives you results that'll make you go viral

Mixed in with our AI Video Generator, you can create smooth, consistent and ridiculously fast transitions

Tutorial, prompts, and examples ๐Ÿงต https://t.co/UEr4oMJUWU
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Julian Goldie SEO
N8N FULL COURSE 1 HOUR (Build & Automate Anything) https://t.co/flYDNrHVrs
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Offshore
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
A quality valuation analysis on $AMZN ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ

โ€ขNTM P/OCF Ratio: 15.62x
โ€ข5-Year Mean: 22.10x

โ€ขNTM FCF Yield: 1.07%
โ€ข5-Year Mean: 2.63%

As you can see, $AMZN appears to be slightly undervalued using P/OCF

Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~41% MORE in operating cash flow & ~59% LESS in FCF per share๐Ÿง ***

Before we get into valuation, letโ€™s take a look at why $AMZN is a quality business

BALANCE SHEETโœ…
โ€ขCash & Equivalents: $93.18B
โ€ขLong-Term Debt: $57.92B

$AMZN has an excellent balance sheet, an AA S&P Credit Rating & 54x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio

RETURN ON CAPITAL๐Ÿ†— / โœ…
โ€ข2020: 11.6%
โ€ข2021: 8.9%
โ€ข2022: 4.2%
โ€ข2023: 10.1%
โ€ข2024: 15.5%

RETURN ON EQUITYโœ…
โ€ข2020: 27.4%
โ€ข2021: 28.8%
โ€ข2022: (1.9%)
โ€ข2023: 17.5%
โ€ข2024: 24.3%

$AMZN has good return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUESโœ…
โ€ข2019: $280.52B
โ€ข2024: $637.96B
โ€ขCAGR: 17.85%

FREE CASH FLOW๐Ÿ†—(โœ…)
โ€ข2019: $21.65B
โ€ข2024: $32.88B
โ€ขCAGR: 8.71%

NORMALIZED EPSโœ…
โ€ข2019: $1.15
โ€ข2024: $5.53
โ€ขCAGR: 36.90%

SHARE BUYBACKSโŒ
โ€ข2019 Shares Outstanding: 10.08B
โ€ขLTM Shares Outstanding: 10.78B

MARGINS๐Ÿ†—โžก๏ธโœ…
โ€ขLTM Gross Margins: 49.6%
โ€ขLTM Operating Margins: 11.4%
โ€ขLTM Net Income Margins: 10.5%

*Important for $AMZN to continue expanding margins & increase profitability

***NOW TO VALUATION ๐Ÿง 

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~41% MORE in OCF & ~59% LESS in FCF per share

Weโ€™re using P/OCF instead of P/E as historical data reveals a stronger correlation between AMZN's share price and Operating Cash Flow (OCF)

Today, analysts anticipate aggressive OCF (per share) growth between 2025 - 2027:

2025E: $13.11 (21% YoY) *FY Dec
2026E: $16.21 (24% YoY)
2027E: $19.90 (23% YoY)

$AMZN has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโ€™s assume $AMZN ends 2027 with $19.90 in OCF per share & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples (photos attached below also include these CAGR estimates):

18x P/OCF: $358.13๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~21% CAGR

17x P/OCF: $338.24๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~18% CAGR

16x P/OCF: $318.34๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~15% CAGR

15x P/OCF: $298.45๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~12% CAGR

As you can see, $AMZN appears to have strong double-digit CAGR potential if we assume ~16x P/OCF, a multiple less than what itโ€™s trading for today & a multiple thatโ€™s justified given its growth rate

Also by assuming a bit of multiple compression, we leave ourselves with some margin of safety

AWS & Amazon Ads will continue to drive growth & profitability. In $AMZN LTM:

โ˜๏ธAWS revenue: $116.38B
๐Ÿ“ˆAds revenue: $61.23B

Combined, these segments generated $177.61B net revenue โ€ฆ with ~37% Operating Income Margin

Today at $229๐Ÿ’ต $AMZN appears to be a good to fair consideration for investment

#stocks #investing

Data: TIKR
Graphs: FAST Graphs
___

๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ: ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž. ๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ.
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Offshore
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naiive
You're stucked in an elevator in 2 hours

what would you do instead of checking crypto ? https://t.co/DfzLCFd8fm
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