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⁠Hidden Value Gems
Brent down after seemingly rising escalation. Market is forward looking and has discounted this already? Buy on expectations, Sell on the news?

Interesting how the market behaves, but not very productive to watch it all the time (it at least for me).

So many untouched stones ahead, bottom up fundamental analysis.

One stock at a time πŸ§­πŸ”Ž πŸ”¨
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Offshore
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⁠Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Pam Bondi was just questioned on Trump's meme coin by Representative Madeleine Dean.

Dean also brought up Bondi's decision to sell millions of dollars of stock on liberation day. https://t.co/mvHrrLbRTy
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Offshore
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⁠The All-In Podcast
RT @chamath: In some ways, Socialism is the funniest and most ironic outcome for the former center of finance and capitalism in America.

BREAKING: Mamdani surges as clear favorite in the NYC Mayoral primary.

61% chance he wins. https://t.co/8KJeTHMyan
- Polymarket
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⁠Hidden Value Gems
As tragic as wars are, this latest escalation in the Middle East seems more about optics than total war. Both sides appear focused on perception.

That suggests neither is prepared for a prolonged conflict β€” which markets may take as a positive.

But managing conflicts is rarely sustainable over time.

We’ll see…
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Offshore
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⁠Quiver Quantitative
Trump just posted this.

Market is up 1% today: https://t.co/9vCB9nl8yD
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⁠Quiver Quantitative
Rep. Maxwell Frost is the only member of Generation Z to serve in Congress.

He just released a new annual financial disclosure.

It showed that he owns no assets. https://t.co/Y4649JSosh
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⁠The All-In Podcast
RT @DavidSacks: Heard Politico is big mad about this. Hit piece coming. https://t.co/gukrn7m82p
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⁠The All-In Podcast
How a ~$70B Fund Manager Thinks About Investing in IPOs πŸ’΅

Here is Thomas Laffont's rough rubric for investing in a company going public:

1) The Asset πŸ“ˆ
-- What's the quality of the underlying asset?
-- What can it be worth five years from now?

2) The Deal Size πŸ’°
-- Can he build a large enough position?
-- For Coatue, bigger is better

3) The Float Percentage #⃣
-- 20% is his personal minimum
-- Why? Higher % of the company floating = truer price
-- Also, less susceptible to volatility and manipulation

4) The Lockup Period πŸ”’
-- Direct Listing: no lockup
-- IPO: typically six months
-- SPAC: lockup terms can vary by deal
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Offshore
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⁠The All-In Podcast
You Heard It Here First. Friedberg's Most Contrarian Belief for 2025: "A dramatic rise β€Šin socialist movements in the US."

According to Polymarket, Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani has closed a massive gap on Andrew Cuomo over the past month for the Democratic nomination for NYC Mayor.

Mamdani's chances jumped from ~6% to 55%, while Cuomo fell from 93% to 45%.

On June 23, Mamdani surged ahead of Cuomo after a surprise poll showed him ahead.

This tracks Friedberg's 2025 prediction of a "dramatic rise β€Šin socialist movements in the US."

Here was his explanation in early January:

"β€ŠMy contrarian belief is that we'll see a rise, a dramatic rise, in socialist movements in 2025 in the United States."

"And I think that some industries and some companies are going to be huge winners and some companies are going to be huge losers."

"There's gonna be some parts of the economy that are gonna be big winners and some parts of the economy that are gonna be big losers."

"When you have this sort of a change this fast, there are often large contingents of people that are left behind."

"And when that happens, I do think that the socialist policies and the socialist movements gain steam."
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⁠Capital Employed
Any recently launched Finstacks we should be subscribing to?
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