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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: Mastercard $MA Reports a Strong Q1 🎯
✅ Rev: $7.25B vs $7.11B (est) | +14% YoY
✅ EPS: $3.73 vs $3.57 (est) | +13% YoY
$2.5B worth of shares repurchased through Q1 25’ | $11.8B remaining under approved share repurchase programs 💵 https://t.co/zpXW50GWFV
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RT @DimitryNakhla: Mastercard $MA Reports a Strong Q1 🎯
✅ Rev: $7.25B vs $7.11B (est) | +14% YoY
✅ EPS: $3.73 vs $3.57 (est) | +13% YoY
$2.5B worth of shares repurchased through Q1 25’ | $11.8B remaining under approved share repurchase programs 💵 https://t.co/zpXW50GWFV
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Wall St Engine
TRUMP PLANS 100% TARIFF ON ALL MOVIES PRODUCED IN FOREIGN LAND https://t.co/CRfJ2T8nTK
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TRUMP PLANS 100% TARIFF ON ALL MOVIES PRODUCED IN FOREIGN LAND https://t.co/CRfJ2T8nTK
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Wall St Engine
Today's Key Events (All EST) — 05/05/2025
09:45: US S&P Services PMI Final
10:00: US ISM Services PMI
13:00: US 3-Year Note Auction
Before Open 👇
06:00: CNA Financial $CNA
06:00: Henry Schein $HSIC
06:30: Zimmer Biomet $ZBH
06:30: Freshpet $FRPT
06:30: Recursion $RXRX
06:45: Foot Locker $FL
06:55: BioNTech $BNTX
07:00: TG Therapeutics $TGTX
07:30: Cummins $CMI
07:30: Tyson Foods $TSN
07:30: ON Semiconductor $ON
After Hours 👇
16:00: Vertex Pharmaceuticals $VRTX
16:00: Diamondback Energy $FANG
16:05: Palantir $PLTR
16:05: Hims & Hers Health $HIMS
16:05: Ford $F
16:05: Realty Income $O
16:05: Vimeo $VMEO
16:05: Navitas Semiconductor $NVTS
16:10: Clorox $CLX
16:15: Williams Companies $WMB
17:00: BellRing Brands $BRBR
17:00: Contura Energy $CTRA
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Today's Key Events (All EST) — 05/05/2025
09:45: US S&P Services PMI Final
10:00: US ISM Services PMI
13:00: US 3-Year Note Auction
Before Open 👇
06:00: CNA Financial $CNA
06:00: Henry Schein $HSIC
06:30: Zimmer Biomet $ZBH
06:30: Freshpet $FRPT
06:30: Recursion $RXRX
06:45: Foot Locker $FL
06:55: BioNTech $BNTX
07:00: TG Therapeutics $TGTX
07:30: Cummins $CMI
07:30: Tyson Foods $TSN
07:30: ON Semiconductor $ON
After Hours 👇
16:00: Vertex Pharmaceuticals $VRTX
16:00: Diamondback Energy $FANG
16:05: Palantir $PLTR
16:05: Hims & Hers Health $HIMS
16:05: Ford $F
16:05: Realty Income $O
16:05: Vimeo $VMEO
16:05: Navitas Semiconductor $NVTS
16:10: Clorox $CLX
16:15: Williams Companies $WMB
17:00: BellRing Brands $BRBR
17:00: Contura Energy $CTRA
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Hidden Value Gems
Never knew this background story on Buffett finding $AAPL 👇
Simple but not easy 🙂
"Buffett asked another investment manager to find an S&P 500 stock that met three criteria:
- P/E not more than 15x
- Berkshire managers had to be at least 90% sure that the stock would generate higher earnings over the next five years.
- And he wanted Berkshire to be at least 50% confident that the company would grow a minimum of 7% annually for at least five years."
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Never knew this background story on Buffett finding $AAPL 👇
Simple but not easy 🙂
"Buffett asked another investment manager to find an S&P 500 stock that met three criteria:
- P/E not more than 15x
- Berkshire managers had to be at least 90% sure that the stock would generate higher earnings over the next five years.
- And he wanted Berkshire to be at least 50% confident that the company would grow a minimum of 7% annually for at least five years."
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Wall St Engine
The U.S. is expected to announce new chip tariffs on May 7, with rates likely between 25% and 100%, according to Taiwan media. But only 10 companies have submitted comments to the Commerce Dept so far—sparking concern that the low response could be seen as a green light for the Trump administration to move ahead.
Source: Reuters, Economic Daily, BIS
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The U.S. is expected to announce new chip tariffs on May 7, with rates likely between 25% and 100%, according to Taiwan media. But only 10 companies have submitted comments to the Commerce Dept so far—sparking concern that the low response could be seen as a green light for the Trump administration to move ahead.
Source: Reuters, Economic Daily, BIS
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Wall St Engine
Goldman Sachs is holding firm on its bullish GOLD outlook, with a base case of $3,700/oz by year-end and $4,000 by mid-2026. If a recession hits, they expect ETF inflows could push prices up to $3,880 by year-end. In extreme tail scenarios—like rising concern over Fed subordination or shifts in U.S. reserve policy—they say gold could plausibly hit $4,500/oz by end-2025.
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Goldman Sachs is holding firm on its bullish GOLD outlook, with a base case of $3,700/oz by year-end and $4,000 by mid-2026. If a recession hits, they expect ETF inflows could push prices up to $3,880 by year-end. In extreme tail scenarios—like rising concern over Fed subordination or shifts in U.S. reserve policy—they say gold could plausibly hit $4,500/oz by end-2025.
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Wall St Engine
With the US dollar weakening broadly, the Taiwan dollar jumped as much as 5% on Monday, its biggest one-day gain since the 1980s. The rally is probably driven by exporters selling dollars due to market speculation that Taiwan may be letting the currency strengthen ahead of trade talks with the US.
The move has put pressure on Taiwan’s life insurers, who hold about $767 billion in foreign assets, mostly in US bonds, with only 65% hedged. Concern over losses prompted regulators to summon insurers for meetings to review their FX risk.
Taiwan’s central bank responded by saying it has intervened appropriately, denied any US request for the Taiwan dollar to rise, and warned market participants against making assumptions about policy direction.
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With the US dollar weakening broadly, the Taiwan dollar jumped as much as 5% on Monday, its biggest one-day gain since the 1980s. The rally is probably driven by exporters selling dollars due to market speculation that Taiwan may be letting the currency strengthen ahead of trade talks with the US.
The move has put pressure on Taiwan’s life insurers, who hold about $767 billion in foreign assets, mostly in US bonds, with only 65% hedged. Concern over losses prompted regulators to summon insurers for meetings to review their FX risk.
Taiwan’s central bank responded by saying it has intervened appropriately, denied any US request for the Taiwan dollar to rise, and warned market participants against making assumptions about policy direction.
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Wall St Engine
JPMorgan Upgrades $WEN to Overweight from Neutral, Lowers PT to $15 from $17; 'store economics stabilize and start to improve'
Analyst comments: "Wendy’s current share price provides a value-oriented opportunity, as we see significant upside to equity value with a 6–7% free cash flow yield (FY26–28), with the potential to rise to over 8.5% excluding funded franchise development. We are upgrading to Overweight (from Neutral) and setting a $15 December 2026 price target. This outlook is supported by de-risked near-term comparable sales expectations and medium- to long-term development opportunities, particularly in underpenetrated international markets. Additionally, we reassessed total capital intensity—both discretionary and non-discretionary—and see clear visibility to healthy free cash flow growth through FY28. An annualized dividend yield of approximately 5% and about 12% upside to the current share price suggest a mid- to high-teens annual total shareholder return. This is underpinned by relatively resilient earnings per share, driven by corporate actions focused on sustaining the largely franchised system (~95%)."
Analyst: John Ivankoe
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JPMorgan Upgrades $WEN to Overweight from Neutral, Lowers PT to $15 from $17; 'store economics stabilize and start to improve'
Analyst comments: "Wendy’s current share price provides a value-oriented opportunity, as we see significant upside to equity value with a 6–7% free cash flow yield (FY26–28), with the potential to rise to over 8.5% excluding funded franchise development. We are upgrading to Overweight (from Neutral) and setting a $15 December 2026 price target. This outlook is supported by de-risked near-term comparable sales expectations and medium- to long-term development opportunities, particularly in underpenetrated international markets. Additionally, we reassessed total capital intensity—both discretionary and non-discretionary—and see clear visibility to healthy free cash flow growth through FY28. An annualized dividend yield of approximately 5% and about 12% upside to the current share price suggest a mid- to high-teens annual total shareholder return. This is underpinned by relatively resilient earnings per share, driven by corporate actions focused on sustaining the largely franchised system (~95%)."
Analyst: John Ivankoe
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