The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: China is raising tariffs on U.S. goods from 84% to 125%.
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Capital Employed
45 ‘fresh-off-the-press’ stock pitches we’ve enjoyed reading in the past two weeks 👇

https://t.co/WgaCiGeWh9 https://t.co/GfFNUzsvaL
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Finding Compounders
Seth Klarman explains why he is critical of indexing

What are your thoughts ? https://t.co/zqgzT1Mosi
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Happy to be back. https://t.co/fH7qGRQUKi
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: March PPI inflation FALLS to 2.7%, below expectations of 3.3%.

Core PPI inflation FALLS to 3.3%, below expectations of 3.6%.

We just saw the first month-over-month decline in PPI inflation, down -0.4%, since March 2024.

Both CPI and PPI inflation are down SHARPLY.
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The Kobeissi Letter
On today's episode of the basis trade collapse:

Another +10 basis points for the 10Y Note Yield today.

Do we see 5.00% before the end of April? https://t.co/mrtzk7nsYm
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump says "we are doing really well on our tariff policy." https://t.co/1Zk6Acj0m5
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
This past weekend, I shared some thoughts with my investors at Babylon Capital® suggesting the current market decline appears to represent a long-term buying opportunity

Part 2: “All Past Declines Look Like an Opportunity, all Future Declines Look Like a Risk” — Morgan Housel

Part 3: “Don’t Trust the Headlines — They Often Mislead & Play on Your Emotions”
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Many investors reached out and we took advantage of Monday morning’s dip

Could prices drop more from those lows?

Of course. But we’re not here to catch the absolute bottom—instead, our focus is on acquiring the world’s best businesses during moments of peak fear and pessimism
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App Economy Insights
$JPM JPMorganChase Q1 FY25.

CEO Jamie Dimon:
"The economy is facing considerable turbulence (including geopolitics), with the potential positives of tax reform and deregulation and the potential negatives of tariffs and 'trade wars,' ongoing sticky inflation, high fiscal deficits and still rather high asset prices and volatility."

• Net revenue +8% Y/Y to $45.3B ($1.8B beat).
• Net Income +9% Y/Y to $14.6B.
• EPS: $5.07 ($0.43 beat).
• FY25 NII ~$94.5B ($0.5B raise).
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The Kobeissi Letter
US small business optimism is fading:

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 3.4 points, to 97.4, the lowest since October.

It marks the 3rd consecutive monthly decline.

The net percent of owners expecting better business conditions tumbled 16 points, to 21%, posting the largest monthly drop since December 2020.

The share of firms expecting higher sales dropped 11 points, to 3%, the lowest since October.

Small businesses outlook is deteriorating.
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