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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The S&P 500 officially falls below 5,000.

5 hours ago, the index was nearing 5,300. https://t.co/3yQVkQTOck
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The Kobeissi Letter
The BULL trap:

We just witnessed the biggest bull trap of 2025 with the S&P 500 erasing a ~4.5% rally in ~3 hours.

Between 10:30 AM ET and 3:15 PM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$2.3 TRILLION of market cap.

Bull traps are TEXTBOOK signs of a bear market.

(a thread) https://t.co/sGIqMRluiE
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Offshore
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The Dow is now down nearly -2,200 POINTS in 5 hours.

Buckle up. https://t.co/jIRC0VKLhC

The BULL trap:

We just witnessed the biggest bull trap of 2025 with the S&P 500 erasing a ~4.5% rally in ~3 hours.

Between 10:30 AM ET and 3:15 PM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$2.3 TRILLION of market cap.

Bull traps are TEXTBOOK signs of a bear market.

(a thread) https://t.co/sGIqMRluiE
- The Kobeissi Letter
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Offshore
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Apple stock, $AAPL, falls below $170 for the first time since May 2024 as the White House says iPhones can be entirely made in the USA. https://t.co/2U0848fNNw

The BULL trap:

We just witnessed the biggest bull trap of 2025 with the S&P 500 erasing a ~4.5% rally in ~3 hours.

Between 10:30 AM ET and 3:15 PM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$2.3 TRILLION of market cap.

Bull traps are TEXTBOOK signs of a bear market.

(a thread) https://t.co/sGIqMRluiE
- The Kobeissi Letter
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Offshore
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The S&P 500 closes the day over -1% lower after posting a 5.5% reversal in one of the largest bull traps this year.

In just 8 hours, President Trump's reciprocal tariffs will be going LIVE.

Expect a busy night ahead. https://t.co/18Somx9C8U

The BULL trap:

We just witnessed the biggest bull trap of 2025 with the S&P 500 erasing a ~4.5% rally in ~3 hours.

Between 10:30 AM ET and 3:15 PM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$2.3 TRILLION of market cap.

Bull traps are TEXTBOOK signs of a bear market.

(a thread) https://t.co/sGIqMRluiE
- The Kobeissi Letter
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Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The S&P 500 just posted its largest intraday reversal in history, even larger than 2020, 2008 and 2001.

You have just witnessed history.

The BULL trap:

We just witnessed the biggest bull trap of 2025 with the S&P 500 erasing a ~4.5% rally in ~3 hours.

Between 10:30 AM ET and 3:15 PM ET, the S&P 500 erased -$2.3 TRILLION of market cap.

Bull traps are TEXTBOOK signs of a bear market.

(a thread) https://t.co/sGIqMRluiE
- The Kobeissi Letter
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Offshore
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The odds of Commerce Secretary Lutnick leaving the Trump Administration in 2025 are currently up to 48%, per @Kalshi. https://t.co/0oQ0ouAaz1
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Quiver Quantitative
Republican Senator Ron Johnson on the tariffs:

"I don't quite understand the strategy, and I'm not sure anybody else does"
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The Kobeissi Letter
Retail investors continue piling into stocks:

Retail investors’ net inflows into US ETFs and single stocks hit a record ~$40 billion in March.

This is ~$10 billion higher than the previous all-time high posted at the beginning of the 2022 bear market.

Not even the meme stock mania in 2021 saw such massive retail inflows into equities.

As retail investors buy the dip, major indices have pushed lower and entered bear market territory.

Many retail investors are experiencing their first bear market.
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