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The Kobeissi Letter
Retail got trapped yesterday:

As we clearly noted in the below post, yesterday's sell off was NOT capitulation.

Retail investors bought $4.7 BILLION of stocks yesterday alone, per JP Morgan, a 10+ year high.

Today, retail capital has been trapped and institutional capital is taking advantage of it.

Bear markets are when profitable traders can shine.

In case you are wondering if capitulation has occurred:

The S&P 500 closed down -4.8% today and the Volatility Index, $VIX, remained below 30.

There has NEVER been a day in history with a 4.5%+ drop in the S&P 500 without the $VIX rising above 30.

Selling has been ORDERLY. https://t.co/gJWq0Bv3eV
- The Kobeissi Letter
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The odds of a recession in the US this year rise to a new high of 59%, per @Kalshi. https://t.co/HFob1dpBzW
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The S&P 500 breaks below 5200 for the first time since August 7th, 2024.

The S&P 500 is now officially down more than -15% from its February 19th all time high. https://t.co/PFJr2Djepn
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Quiver Quantitative
Marjorie Taylor Greene bought Dollar General stock before the tariffs were announced.

$DG has now risen 15% since her purchase. https://t.co/1SnVNtyGTl
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The Kobeissi Letter
RT @TKL_Adam: The risk of a credit event happening in the US has risen to 2023 Regional Bank Crisis levels.

Markets believe a credit event is near. https://t.co/ef5WEUtp7t
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App Economy Insights
Tariffs. Trade wars. AI hype.

In times like these, what really matters?

📈 Company fundamentals.

📊 The Rule of 40 is the most important metric in software investing—and most people misuse it.

Here’s how it works (and how to spot the outliers):
https://t.co/EB3eW9gfHX
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: 2-day losses in the Dow surpass -3,000 points. https://t.co/FIyUPELPD0
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Investing visuals
Broken stocks:
🔹 $ASML
🔹 $NVDA
🔹 $AMD

Broken businesses:
🔸 $INTC
🔸 $U
🔸 $TDOC https://t.co/NSzRlYSduf
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The Kobeissi Letter
THE NASDAQ 100 OFFICIALLY ENTERS BEAR MARKET TERRITORY. https://t.co/S7d44gm2Av
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