Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
US stock market dominance is fading:
The US' share of global market capitalization has declined ~3.5 percentage points over the last 2 months, to 47.5%, the lowest since Q2 2024.
This marks the largest drop since the 2022 bear market.
Previously such a sharp decline was seen during the 2008 Financial Crisis.
This comes as the S&P 500 is underperforming world stocks by the widest margin in almost 40 years this quarter, according to Bloomberg.
The index is down -3.5% year-to-date while the MSCI World Ex USA index is up +9.3%.
Will this momentum continue?
tweet
US stock market dominance is fading:
The US' share of global market capitalization has declined ~3.5 percentage points over the last 2 months, to 47.5%, the lowest since Q2 2024.
This marks the largest drop since the 2022 bear market.
Previously such a sharp decline was seen during the 2008 Financial Crisis.
This comes as the S&P 500 is underperforming world stocks by the widest margin in almost 40 years this quarter, according to Bloomberg.
The index is down -3.5% year-to-date while the MSCI World Ex USA index is up +9.3%.
Will this momentum continue?
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Stock Analysis Compilation
AMG River Road Small Cap Value Fund on GXO Logistics Inc. $GXO US
Thesis: GXO Logistics is a leading outsourced warehousing provider with a strong track record of growth and technology deployment, serving top-tier clients while maintaining high customer retention and stable revenue in a cyclical industry.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
tweet
AMG River Road Small Cap Value Fund on GXO Logistics Inc. $GXO US
Thesis: GXO Logistics is a leading outsourced warehousing provider with a strong track record of growth and technology deployment, serving top-tier clients while maintaining high customer retention and stable revenue in a cyclical industry.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Alvin
The search feature on One UI 7's Settings app is incredibly smart.
This is one of the reasons why I think Samsung's Galaxy AI is still the most robust mobile AI platform compared to what other brands have so far, including Apple. https://t.co/QfaZ2wuIHF
tweet
The search feature on One UI 7's Settings app is incredibly smart.
This is one of the reasons why I think Samsung's Galaxy AI is still the most robust mobile AI platform compared to what other brands have so far, including Apple. https://t.co/QfaZ2wuIHF
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
China is in a deflationary spiral:
China’s consumer prices fell -0.7% year-over-year in February.
China's Core CPI inflation decreased by -0.1%, the second monthly decline in over 15 years.
This follows a GDP deflator drop of -0.8% in Q4 2024, the 7th consecutive quarter of falling prices, in-line with the 1990s streak.
China's GDP deflator is now on track for its longest period of declines since the 1960s.
This comes as spending remains weak as the property crisis undermined consumer confidence which also forced firms to mark down prices to attract buyers.
China cannot get rid of deflation.
tweet
China is in a deflationary spiral:
China’s consumer prices fell -0.7% year-over-year in February.
China's Core CPI inflation decreased by -0.1%, the second monthly decline in over 15 years.
This follows a GDP deflator drop of -0.8% in Q4 2024, the 7th consecutive quarter of falling prices, in-line with the 1990s streak.
China's GDP deflator is now on track for its longest period of declines since the 1960s.
This comes as spending remains weak as the property crisis undermined consumer confidence which also forced firms to mark down prices to attract buyers.
China cannot get rid of deflation.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: A federal judge has banned @DOGE from accessing personally identifiable information from the Social Security Administration, per CNBC. https://t.co/dKjHQNajzX
tweet
BREAKING: A federal judge has banned @DOGE from accessing personally identifiable information from the Social Security Administration, per CNBC. https://t.co/dKjHQNajzX
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Stock Analysis Compilation
Horizon Kinetics on Texas Pacific Land $TPL US
Thesis: TPL is a potentially undervalued investment due to unrealized revenues from natural gas production that will increase as pipeline capacity improves.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/KqOWtCCNsZ
tweet
Horizon Kinetics on Texas Pacific Land $TPL US
Thesis: TPL is a potentially undervalued investment due to unrealized revenues from natural gas production that will increase as pipeline capacity improves.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/KqOWtCCNsZ
tweet
Offshore
Photo
App Economy Insights
$NKE Nike Q3 FY25 (ending Feb. 2025).
• Revenue -9% Y/Y to $11.3B ($240M beat).
• GAAP EPS $0.54 ($0.26 beat).
• Inventory -2% Y/Y to $7.5B.
• Wholesale -7% Y/Y to $6.2B.
• Direct revenue -12% Y/Y to $4.7B. https://t.co/sGr3oQDTrg
tweet
$NKE Nike Q3 FY25 (ending Feb. 2025).
• Revenue -9% Y/Y to $11.3B ($240M beat).
• GAAP EPS $0.54 ($0.26 beat).
• Inventory -2% Y/Y to $7.5B.
• Wholesale -7% Y/Y to $6.2B.
• Direct revenue -12% Y/Y to $4.7B. https://t.co/sGr3oQDTrg
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: Novo Nordisk stock trades near its lowest valuation in the last 5 years, almost hitting its bottom at the peak of pessimism during the 2020 stock market crash
This is despite strong double-digit EPS growth estimates through 2027
$NVO https://t.co/wGdJpfsVO3
tweet
RT @DimitryNakhla: Novo Nordisk stock trades near its lowest valuation in the last 5 years, almost hitting its bottom at the peak of pessimism during the 2020 stock market crash
This is despite strong double-digit EPS growth estimates through 2027
$NVO https://t.co/wGdJpfsVO3
tweet