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Hidden Value Gems
RT @HiddenValueGems: Columbia Business School Stock Pitch Challenge is usually a great source of new ideas. Here is the summary of the top 4 ideas that won this year's competition.
🥇 $AOS - the largest US manufacturer of water heaters
🥈 $CNH - the 2nd largest manufacturer of agricultural equipment worldwide
🥉 $GPN - a Top 5 merchant acquirer in the US
🥉 $IBTA - a digital coupon app, connecting brands with retailers via a network
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RT @HiddenValueGems: Columbia Business School Stock Pitch Challenge is usually a great source of new ideas. Here is the summary of the top 4 ideas that won this year's competition.
🥇 $AOS - the largest US manufacturer of water heaters
🥈 $CNH - the 2nd largest manufacturer of agricultural equipment worldwide
🥉 $GPN - a Top 5 merchant acquirer in the US
🥉 $IBTA - a digital coupon app, connecting brands with retailers via a network
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Offshore
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The All-In Podcast
Major Mag 7 Drawdown: You Heard It Here First 🔮
So far this year, the Mag 7 has seen over $1.5T wiped off of their collective market caps.
Who could have seen that coming!?
On the 2025 All-In predictions show, @chamath predicted a Mag 7 pullback in the trillions of dollars:
"I think when we look back, the absolute dollar drawdown of the Mag 7 will be in the trillions of dollars."
"And the reason is not necessarily because of the underlying fundamentals of these companies."
"But I am a little bit worried ... about the general concentration of the top 7, 8, 9, 10 companies in the indices. I think it's approaching 40%."
" And I think that when you look at these historic concentrations, they've generally foreshadowed a big drawdown."
"And unfortunately, I don't see how you can inoculate yourself from that risk."
"It could even be 10%, but 10% will be a couple trillion bucks."
tweet
Major Mag 7 Drawdown: You Heard It Here First 🔮
So far this year, the Mag 7 has seen over $1.5T wiped off of their collective market caps.
Who could have seen that coming!?
On the 2025 All-In predictions show, @chamath predicted a Mag 7 pullback in the trillions of dollars:
"I think when we look back, the absolute dollar drawdown of the Mag 7 will be in the trillions of dollars."
"And the reason is not necessarily because of the underlying fundamentals of these companies."
"But I am a little bit worried ... about the general concentration of the top 7, 8, 9, 10 companies in the indices. I think it's approaching 40%."
" And I think that when you look at these historic concentrations, they've generally foreshadowed a big drawdown."
"And unfortunately, I don't see how you can inoculate yourself from that risk."
"It could even be 10%, but 10% will be a couple trillion bucks."
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The Kobeissi Letter
The interview that BROKE the market:
24 hours ago, President Trump joined Fox News and acknowledged a recession MAY be coming.
This marked a CLEAR shift in sentiment today, with the S&P 500 now down -$5 TRILLION in 13 trading days.
Here's exactly what happened.
(a thread) https://t.co/1MRGl8gx6p
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The interview that BROKE the market:
24 hours ago, President Trump joined Fox News and acknowledged a recession MAY be coming.
This marked a CLEAR shift in sentiment today, with the S&P 500 now down -$5 TRILLION in 13 trading days.
Here's exactly what happened.
(a thread) https://t.co/1MRGl8gx6p
tweet
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Generation IM on ASML $ASML NA
Thesis: ASML is a critical player in the semiconductor industry with a near-monopolistic position in lithography equipment, expected to benefit from strong revenue growth and expanding margins, despite some risks.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/naPG4Rax92
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Generation IM on ASML $ASML NA
Thesis: ASML is a critical player in the semiconductor industry with a near-monopolistic position in lithography equipment, expected to benefit from strong revenue growth and expanding margins, despite some risks.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/naPG4Rax92
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Delta Air Lines stock, $DAL, falls as much as -14% after reporting earnings and cutting guidance due to "weaker US demand."
This puts the stock down nearly -20% including its regular hours decline.
Consumer spending is dialing back. https://t.co/yS7wEtdsuS
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BREAKING: Delta Air Lines stock, $DAL, falls as much as -14% after reporting earnings and cutting guidance due to "weaker US demand."
This puts the stock down nearly -20% including its regular hours decline.
Consumer spending is dialing back. https://t.co/yS7wEtdsuS
The interview that BROKE the market:
24 hours ago, President Trump joined Fox News and acknowledged a recession MAY be coming.
This marked a CLEAR shift in sentiment today, with the S&P 500 now down -$5 TRILLION in 13 trading days.
Here's exactly what happened.
(a thread) https://t.co/1MRGl8gx6p tweet
Offshore
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The Kobeissi Letter
Our thoughts on today's market crash, the worst drop since 2022:
1. Heading into this week, investor confidence was at a pivot point.
2. We were at the point where investors were debating whether to "buy the dip" or a broader decline has begun.
3. President Trump saying he is "not watching the stock market" on March 6th began the first signs of panic selling.
4. Then, his interview on Fox News Sunday night made it clear that Trump is WILLING to weather a market downturn to obtain his policy objectives.
5. These objectives include lowering interest rates, lowering inflation, and reducing the US trade deficit.
6. Why is this important? Because the precedent in Trump's first term is that he would do whatever it takes to support asset prices.
7. This now marks the first sign of willingness to allow markets to fall to obtain goals which Trump believes will be a net benefit to the US long-term.
Effectively, the market is trading on the narrative that President Trump has said himself, multiple times.
"Short-term pain for long-term gain" has become a reality.
Read more in our thread below.
tweet
Our thoughts on today's market crash, the worst drop since 2022:
1. Heading into this week, investor confidence was at a pivot point.
2. We were at the point where investors were debating whether to "buy the dip" or a broader decline has begun.
3. President Trump saying he is "not watching the stock market" on March 6th began the first signs of panic selling.
4. Then, his interview on Fox News Sunday night made it clear that Trump is WILLING to weather a market downturn to obtain his policy objectives.
5. These objectives include lowering interest rates, lowering inflation, and reducing the US trade deficit.
6. Why is this important? Because the precedent in Trump's first term is that he would do whatever it takes to support asset prices.
7. This now marks the first sign of willingness to allow markets to fall to obtain goals which Trump believes will be a net benefit to the US long-term.
Effectively, the market is trading on the narrative that President Trump has said himself, multiple times.
"Short-term pain for long-term gain" has become a reality.
Read more in our thread below.
The interview that BROKE the market:
24 hours ago, President Trump joined Fox News and acknowledged a recession MAY be coming.
This marked a CLEAR shift in sentiment today, with the S&P 500 now down -$5 TRILLION in 13 trading days.
Here's exactly what happened.
(a thread) https://t.co/1MRGl8gx6p tweet