The Kobeissi Letter
SUMMARY OF LIVE TARIFFS:
1. 25% tariffs on goods from Mexico to US
2. 25% tariffs goods except energy from Canada to US
3. 25% tariffs on CAD$30B of goods from US to Canada
4. 25% tariffs on CAD$125B of goods from US to Canada in 21 days
5. 25% export tax on electricity from Ontario to US
6. 20% tariffs on many goods from China to US
7. 10% tariffs on energy from Canada to US
8. 10%-15% tariffs on goods from US to China
9. Unspecified tariffs from Mexico on US imports to be announced Sunday
Both Canada and Mexico have announced they are exploring "non-tariff measures."
Talk about a turn of events.
tweet
SUMMARY OF LIVE TARIFFS:
1. 25% tariffs on goods from Mexico to US
2. 25% tariffs goods except energy from Canada to US
3. 25% tariffs on CAD$30B of goods from US to Canada
4. 25% tariffs on CAD$125B of goods from US to Canada in 21 days
5. 25% export tax on electricity from Ontario to US
6. 20% tariffs on many goods from China to US
7. 10% tariffs on energy from Canada to US
8. 10%-15% tariffs on goods from US to China
9. Unspecified tariffs from Mexico on US imports to be announced Sunday
Both Canada and Mexico have announced they are exploring "non-tariff measures."
Talk about a turn of events.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
The Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 15, Extreme Fear, for the first time in over a year.
Investors have not been this fearful since the 2022 bear market. https://t.co/Ol4gdNH3dm
tweet
The Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 15, Extreme Fear, for the first time in over a year.
Investors have not been this fearful since the 2022 bear market. https://t.co/Ol4gdNH3dm
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Stock Analysis Compilation
Conestoga on Paylocity Holding Corp. $PCTY US
Thesis: Paylocity Holding Corp. (PCTY) is a leading cloud HCM software provider with strong recurring revenue growth and long-term potential driven by strategic acquisitions and AI-enhanced workflows.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/kZN3Ig2IcQ
tweet
Conestoga on Paylocity Holding Corp. $PCTY US
Thesis: Paylocity Holding Corp. (PCTY) is a leading cloud HCM software provider with strong recurring revenue growth and long-term potential driven by strategic acquisitions and AI-enhanced workflows.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/kZN3Ig2IcQ
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Finding Compounders
The outcome of James O'Shaughnessy’s research .
“Perhaps the most compelling strategy for delivering attractive long term returns came from value investing.” https://t.co/mjgkaq11fS
tweet
The outcome of James O'Shaughnessy’s research .
“Perhaps the most compelling strategy for delivering attractive long term returns came from value investing.” https://t.co/mjgkaq11fS
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Nvidia stock, $NVDA, officially turns green on the day after falling more than -20% in 10 trading days. https://t.co/vgWg3TxazL
tweet
BREAKING: Nvidia stock, $NVDA, officially turns green on the day after falling more than -20% in 10 trading days. https://t.co/vgWg3TxazL
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Warren Buffett famously said:
“Be FEARFUL when others are greedy, and be GREEDY when others are fearful”
Here are 10 high-quality stocks trading near their LOWEST valuation MULTIPLE in the past 5 YEARS 🧵 https://t.co/dJPulp05OO
tweet
Warren Buffett famously said:
“Be FEARFUL when others are greedy, and be GREEDY when others are fearful”
Here are 10 high-quality stocks trading near their LOWEST valuation MULTIPLE in the past 5 YEARS 🧵 https://t.co/dJPulp05OO
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Odds of a US recession in 2025 have surged to 43% as the trade war escalates.
This marks the highest chance of a recession since November 17th, per @Kalshi. https://t.co/82jxzPS5dk
tweet
BREAKING: Odds of a US recession in 2025 have surged to 43% as the trade war escalates.
This marks the highest chance of a recession since November 17th, per @Kalshi. https://t.co/82jxzPS5dk
tweet
Offshore
Photo
App Economy Insights
🎬 Streaming Subs Leaderboard
Q4 2024 gains:
• Netflix: +19M → 302M. $NFLX
• Disney+: Flat → 125M. $DIS
• Max: +6M → 117M. $WBD
• Paramount+: +6M → 78M. $PARA
• Hulu: +2M → 54M. $DIS
• Peacock: Flat → 36M. $CMCSA
The battle below Netflix is heating up. 👀 https://t.co/8y9rXzxVRW
tweet
🎬 Streaming Subs Leaderboard
Q4 2024 gains:
• Netflix: +19M → 302M. $NFLX
• Disney+: Flat → 125M. $DIS
• Max: +6M → 117M. $WBD
• Paramount+: +6M → 78M. $PARA
• Hulu: +2M → 54M. $DIS
• Peacock: Flat → 36M. $CMCSA
The battle below Netflix is heating up. 👀 https://t.co/8y9rXzxVRW
tweet