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โ Alvin
Nothing Phone (3a) Series
Worldwide Pricing

A really nice pricing there for phones that capable. I think they are going to be the mid-range phones to beat this year. https://t.co/VkC21qwEMY
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โ Alvin
Nothing Phone (3a) Series

Honestly, I am very impressed by the value that these phones offer.

The (3a) Pro is an even better value, considering that you can get a periscope telephoto camera for around half the price of the Galaxy S25.

Aside from that, the design is still very eye-catching.

(And that Blue (3a) looks awesome)
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โ Alvin
Nothing Phone (3a) Series goes official!

๐Ÿชถ Less than 8.4 mm thick, (3a) weighs 201 grams & (3a) Pro weighs 211 grams
โš’๏ธ Panda Glass display cover
๐Ÿ’ฆ IP64 dust & water resistance rating
๐Ÿ“ธ 50 MP 1/1.57" F/1.88 main camera + 8 MP 1/4" F/2.2 ultra-wide lens
๐Ÿ” (3a) has a 2x telephoto lens (1/2.76", Aperture F/2.0), (3a) Pro has a 3x periscope tele lens (LYT-600, 1/1.95", Aperture F/2.55)
๐Ÿคณ (3a) has a 32 MP front camera (1/3.44", F/2.2), (3a) Pro has a 50 MP front camera (1/2.76", F/2.2)
โ˜€๏ธ 6.77" FHD+ OLED display, 120 Hz refresh rate, 1000 Hz touch sampling rate, 2160 Hz PWM frequency, 3000 nits peak brightness, 10-bit colour depth
๐Ÿ’จ Qualcomm Snapdragon 7s Gen 3 Mobile Platform, 4 nm process
๐Ÿ”‹ 5000 mAh battery
๐Ÿ”Œ 50W wired charging (50% in 19 mins)
๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ’ป Android 15-based Nothing OS 3.1
โซ 3 years of OS upgrades and 6 years of security patches
๐Ÿพ Under-screen Fingerprint scanner
๐Ÿ“ณ Linear vibration motor

Available Colours:
โœ… Black
โœ… White (3a)
โœ… Grey (3a Pro)
โœ… Blue (3a)
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โ Finding Compounders
The 5 competitive forces that determine industry profitability by @MichaelEPorter https://t.co/d143ArLOkz
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โ Alvin
Xiaomi 15 Series
Indonesian Pricing

Xiaomi 15 Ultra
โ€ข 16/512 GB: IDR 16,999,000 (~$1,025/โ‚น89,683)
โ€ข 16 GB/1 TB: IDR 19,999,000 (~$1,206/โ‚น1,05,510)

Xiaomi 15
โ€ข 12/256 GB: IDR 11,999,000 (~$724/โ‚น63,304)
โ€ข 12/512 GB: IDR 12,999,000 (~$784/โ‚น68,580)

An incredible pricing right there. ๐Ÿ”ฅ
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
A quality valuation analysis on $NVDA ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ

โ€ขNTM P/E Ratio: 25.37x
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 35.93x

โ€ขNTM FCF Yield: 3.54%
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 3.08%

As you can see, $NVDA appears to be trading below fair value

Going forward, investors can receive ~42% MORE in earnings per share & ~15% MORE in FCF per share ๐Ÿง ***

Before we get into valuation, letโ€™s take a look at why $NVDA is a quality business

BALANCE SHEETโœ…
โ€ขCash & Short-Term Inv: $43.21B
โ€ขLong-Term Debt: $8.46B

$NVDA has a strong balance sheet, an AA- S&P Credit Rating, & 259x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio

RETURN ON CAPITALโœ…
โ€ข2020: 19.1%
โ€ข2021: 19.1%
โ€ข2022: 26.0%
โ€ข2023: 16.2%
โ€ข2024: 60.5%
โ€ข2025: 90.0%

RETURN ON EQUITYโœ…
โ€ข2020: 26.0%
โ€ข2021: 29.8%
โ€ข2022: 44.8%
โ€ข2023: 17.9%
โ€ข2024: 91.5%
โ€ข2025: 119.2%

$NVDA has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUESโœ…
โ€ข2020: $10.92B
โ€ข2025: $130.50
โ€ขCAGR: 64.23%

FREE CASH FLOWโœ…
โ€ข2020: $4.27B
โ€ข2025: $60.85B
โ€ขCAGR: 70.12%

NORMALIZED EPSโœ…
โ€ข2020: $0.14
โ€ข2025: $2.99
โ€ขCAGR: 84.46%

SHARE BUYBACKS๐Ÿ†—
โ€ข2020 Shares Outstanding: 24.72B
โ€ขLTM Shares Outstanding: 24.80B

$NVDA is investing in its own growth, driving innovation, and expanding its market leadership. This strategic use of capital is generating higher returns for investors

MARGINSโœ…
โ€ขLTM Gross Margins: 75.0%
โ€ขLTM Operating Margins: 62.4%
โ€ขLTM Net Income Margins: 55.8%

***NOW TO VALUATION ๐Ÿง 

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~42% MORE in EPS & ~15% MORE in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Grahamโ€™s 2G rule of thumb, $NVDA has to grow earnings at a 12.68% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2026 - 2028 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (12.68%) required growth rate:

2026E: $4.50 (50.4% YoY) *FY Jan
2026E: $5.72 (27.2% YoY)
2027E: $6.42 (12.3% YoY)

$NVDA has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but letโ€™s assume $NVDA ends 2027 with $6.42 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

28x P/E: $179.76๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~18.0% CAGR

27x P/E: $173.34๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~16.5% CAGR

26x P/E: $166.92๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~15.0% CAGR

25x P/E: $160.50๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~13.5% CAGR

24x P/E: $154.08๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~11.9% CAGR

23x P/E: $147.66๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~10.3% CAGR

As you can see, $NVDA appears to have attractive return potential EVEN IF we assume some multiple compression relying on 24x earnings, a multiple generally below its historical averages & a multiple thatโ€™s justified given the companyโ€™s growth rate & moat

$NVDA is a good consideration today at $111๐Ÿ’ต

Given its volatility & high uncertainty, Iโ€™d likely strategically buy in tranches, enhancing margin of safety, while positioning myself to win-win regardless of short-term price action

E.g. purchase 1/3 at ~$111, 1/3 at ~$90, & 1/3 at ~$77

If the stock price goes ๐Ÿ“‰ I can accumulate more shares at an even more attractive valuation, if the stock price goes ๐Ÿ“ˆ Iโ€™m in the green
___

๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ: ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž. ๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ[...]
Offshore
โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ A quality valuation analysis on $NVDA ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ โ€ขNTM P/E Ratio: 25.37x โ€ข10-Year Mean: 35.93x โ€ขNTM FCF Yield: 3.54% โ€ข10-Year Mean: 3.08% As you can see, $NVDA appears to be trading below fair value Going forward, investorsโ€ฆ
๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ.
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