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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ 10 months ago I shared my analysis on $MANH suggesting it was overvalued at $257๐Ÿ’ต I suggested revisiting the stock at $179๐Ÿ’ต Despite a strong run, $MANH just plummeted -23% post-Q4 earnings ๐Ÿ“‰ As I stated in my analysis:โ€ฆ
๏ฟฝ ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ. - Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ tweet
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
This weekโ€™s reading material ๐Ÿ“–

โ€œInformed by successful, evolutionary strategies, Prasad outlines his counterintuitive principles for a long-term gain.

He provides three mantras of investing:

1. Avoid big risks;
2. Buy high-quality at a fair price;
3. And be very lazy.โ€ https://t.co/zxVkLjgojl
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โ InsideArbitrage
๐Ÿ’Š $MRK Merck Boosts Buyback & Declares Q2 2025 Dividend!

๐Ÿ”น Adds $10 Billion to its stock repurchase plan (4% of its $246.5B market cap) ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿ”น No expiration date, follows a similar 2018 $10 billion buyback boost
๐Ÿ”น $2.9B still available under prior programs
๐Ÿ”น 2024: Repurchased $817 million (7 million shares) of its common stock under the prior program till September
๐Ÿ”น2023: $8.8B returned to shareholders ($7.4B dividends, $1.3B buybacks) โ€“ leaning more on dividends than repurchases๐Ÿ’ฐ

https://t.co/jbgkKGyk1U
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โ Quiver Quantitative
Unless I'm missing something, it appears that Caroline Kennedy no longer holds significant amounts of stock in $BMY, $LLY, and $JNJ.

Here is a 2023 disclosure which appears to show divestiture. https://t.co/eoPLxwZtRr

Caroline Kennedy's 2023 financial disclosure shows that she holds a significant position in Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly & Co, and Johnson & Johnson.

Perhaps the childhood stories from 50 years ago are just ugly smears to stop him from reforming U.S. healthcare?๐Ÿค”
- Jordan Schachtel @ dossier.today
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โ InsideArbitrage
๐Ÿšจ $SYK Stryker Glenn S. Boehnlein to retire as VP & CFO after 22 years.

- Preston Wells, current Group CFO for Orthopaedics, will step into the CFO role effective April 1, 2025.

๐Ÿ’ผ Preston Wellsโ€™ Background: Previously led Investor Relations & Financial Planning at Stryker. Prior experience includes finance leadership at Dialight Corp & Johnson & Johnson.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Compensation Update: Wellsโ€™ base salary set at $725K, with an 85% bonus target (~$616K). A $3M stock award (60% PSUs, 40% options) is recommended under Strykerโ€™s LTIP. Performance review scheduled for Feb 2026. ๐Ÿ“ˆ

๐Ÿ”„ Transition Plan: Boehnlein to serve as Advisor to CEO from April 2025 to March 2026, earning $800K salary + $215K advisory bonus if he remains through term.
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โ InsideArbitrage
$CLX Clorox's long-time CFO, Kevin Jacobsen, will step down on April 1, 2025. He will remain in an advisory role until June 2025.

Luc Bellet, currently Vice President โ€“ Treasurer, will succeed Jacobsen as Executive Vice President โ€“ Chief Financial Officer, effective April 1, 2025.

Compensation
$725K base salary
Short-term incentive target raised from 50% to 100% of salary.
$400K in RSUs (4-year vesting)
$600K in performance shares (3-year period)

๐Ÿ“ข Clorox set to report Q2 earnings next week!
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โ InsideArbitrage
Medical technology company - $BDX Becton, Dickinson and Company Board Declares Dividend, Authorizes 10 Million Additional Share Repurchases; Completed $750 Million Repurchase to Date in FY25

https://t.co/37Z1MbfdN0
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โ Investing visuals
$ASML Q4 2024 Earnings ๐Ÿšจ

Beats across the board and absolutely smashed booking with โ‚ฌ7.09B (Est. โ‚ฌ3.53B)

Stock is up +7% pre-market https://t.co/OCNRRERUuw
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โ InsideArbitrage
Zimmer Biomet $ZBH Acquires Paragon 28 $FNA for $1.2 Billion -
๐Ÿ‘ฃZimmer Biomet will acquire all outstanding shares of common stock of Paragon 28 for an upfront payment of $13.00 per share in cash, representing a premium of 8.33% from the stockโ€™s last close.
๐Ÿ‘ฃParagon 28 shareholders will also receive a CVR of up to $1.00 per share in cash if Zimmer's net sales exceed $346 million up to $361 million during its fiscal year 2026.
๐Ÿ‘ฃZimmer plans to fund the transaction with a mix of cash and debt financing and aims to close it in H1 2025.
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โ App Economy Insights
$ASML ASML Q4 FY24:

โ€ข Net bookings โ‚ฌ7.1B (โ‚ฌ3.1B beat).
โ€ข Net sales +28% Y/Y to โ‚ฌ9.3B (โ‚ฌ0.2B beat).
โ€ข Gross margin 52% (flat Y/Y).
โ€ข Operating margin 36% (+3pp Y/Y).
โ€ข EPS โ‚ฌ6.85 (โ‚ฌ0.12 beat).

Q1 FY25 Net sales guidance:
โ€ข โ‚ฌ7.5-8.0B (โ‚ฌ7.2B expected). https://t.co/Sowyso6daH
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โ Hidden Value Gems
Only 13% of people in this mini survey are worried about the DeepSeek threat to US tech. Quite a bullish sentiment.

What are your thoughts? ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿ‘‡

Is DeepSeek a game changer for US tech?

#DeepSeek #Stocks #NASDAQ #AI
- No
- Yes - lower capex (good)
- Don't know
- Yes- lower margins/growth
- Hidden Value Gems
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