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Hidden Value Gems
Stanley Druckenmiler on markets (20 Jan ‘25):

“I’ve been doing this for 49 years, and we’re probably going from the most anti-business administration to the opposite. We do a lot of talking to CEOs and companies on the ground. And I’d say CEOs are somewhere between relieved and giddy. So we’re a believer in animal spirits.”

“In terms of the markets, I would say it’s complicated. You’re going to have this push of a strong economy versus bond yields rising in response to that strong economy, and that kind of makes me not have a strong opinion one way or the other.”

“We have a fiscal problem, we need revenues. To me, tariffs are simply a consumption tax that foreigners pay for some of it. Now the risk is retaliation, but as long as we stay in the 10% range, ...I think the risks are overblown relative to the rewards, the rewards on high.”
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Quiver Quantitative
Nancy Pelosi disclosed a sale of $7.9M of Apple stock yesterday.

The stock has now fallen 11% since her sale.

Look at this screenshot from Quiver: https://t.co/2WzXJe2Hc1
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Quiver Quantitative
RT @QuiverCongress: The Government just launched a DOGE website: https://t.co/kjkWxEWpLH
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Quiver Quantitative
The US Debt Clock has added a DOGE Clock.

It appears to track how much the national debt has increased since Trump's inauguration. https://t.co/DWUND1XJmT
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Montaka on MongoDB $MDB US

Thesis: MDB is poised for potential growth as AI applications increasingly demand flexible database solutions for unstructured data, despite current market challenges.

(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/OuIxfGPm8m
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: The defense contractor Huntington Ingalls, $HII, just disclosed $1.1M of new lobbying https://t.co/buvwKPIzan
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
4 Signs a Company’s Quality may be Declining‼️

1. Unexplained pressure on margins

2. Poor growth execution

3. Discussions of competitive pressures

4. Increasing debt coupled with declining FCF

A few examples: $WBA $INTC $BDX $HRL $BF.B $DEO $MDT

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Quiver Quantitative
Redwire stock, $RDW, has now risen about 725% since we posted this report.

They just received another $45M contract for space-based defense last month.

We're planning on posting our future reports on X. Turn on post notifications to see them ASAP. https://t.co/8JTUoOoVCY
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Black Bear value partners on Flagstar Financial $FLG US

Thesis: Flagstar Financial is a well-capitalized regional bank undergoing a successful turnaround under CEO Joseph Otting, with compelling valuation potential and minimal downside risk.

(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/AoTbkqzqkH
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App Economy Insights
$NFLX Netflix Q4 FY24:

• Members +19M Q/Q to 302M.
• Revenue +16% Y/Y to $10.2B ($140M beat).
• Operating margin 22% (+5pp Y/Y).
• EPS $4.27 ($0.07 beat).

FY25 Guidance:
• Revenue ~$44B ($0.5B raise).
• Operating margin 29% (1pp raise). https://t.co/BIbJv06idO
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