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Offshore
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Royce Invest on ESAB Corporation $ESAB US
Thesis: ESAB Corporation is a global leader in welding technology experiencing strong growth and transformation in a favorable market.
(Extract from their article) https://t.co/VayU3NgauF
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Royce Invest on ESAB Corporation $ESAB US
Thesis: ESAB Corporation is a global leader in welding technology experiencing strong growth and transformation in a favorable market.
(Extract from their article) https://t.co/VayU3NgauF
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: A quality valuation analysis on $NVDA 🧘🏽♂️
•NTM P/E Ratio: 33.80x
•1-Year Mean: 37.21x
•NTM FCF Yield: 2.67%
•1-Year Mean: 2.39%
As you can see, $NVDA appears to be trading somewhere near fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~10% MORE in earnings per share & ~11% MORE in FCF per share 🧠***
Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $NVDA is a quality business
BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Short-Term Inv: $38.49B
•Long-Term Debt: $8.46B
$NVDA has a strong balance sheet, an AA- S&P Credit Rating, & 236x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITAL✅
•2020: 19.1%
•2021: 19.1%
•2022: 26.0%
•2023: 16.2%
•2024: 60.5%
•LTM: 92.4%
RETURN ON EQUITY✅
•2020: 26.0%
•2021: 29.8%
•2022: 44.8%
•2023: 17.9%
•2024: 91.5%
•LTM: 127.2%
$NVDA has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUES✅
•2020: $16.68B
•2025E: $129.14B
•CAGR: 63.89%
FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2020: $4.27B
•2025E: $64.54B
•CAGR: 72.13%
NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2020: $0.14
•2025E: $2.95
•CAGR: 83.96%
SHARE BUYBACKS🆗 (nominal change)
•2019 Shares Outstanding: 25.00B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 24.86B
MARGINS✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 75.9%
•LTM Operating Margins: 62.7%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 55.7%
***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~10% MORE in EPS & ~10% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $NVDA has to grow earnings at a 16.90% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2026 - 2027 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (16.90%) required growth rate:
2025E: $2.95 (127.9% YoY) *FY Jan
2026E: $4.45 (50.5% YoY)
2027E: $5.61 (26.1% YoY)
$NVDA has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $NVDA ends 2027 with $5.61 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
32x P/E: $178.88💵 … ~15.5% CAGR
31x P/E: $173.29💵 … ~13.7% CAGR
30x P/E: $167.70💵 … ~11.9% CAGR
29x P/E: $162.11💵 … ~10.1% CAGR
28x P/E: $156.52💵 … ~8.2% CAGR
As you can see, $NVDA appears to have attractive return potential IF we assume >30x earnings, a multiple generally below its historical averages & a multiple that’s justified given the company’s growth rate & moat
$NVDA is a fair consideration today at $133💵
I am more inclined to buy $NVDA closer to $120💵 where I could reasonably expect ~12% CAGR assuming a 27x end multiple, ensuring a decent margin of safety
What stands out to me is $NVDA consistent ability to exceed ambitious expectations, not just meeting but significantly beating estimates. This impressive performance has justified its previously demanding valuation, with the company effectively growing into its premium valuation 👌🏽
#stocks #investing
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𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.
𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚[...]
RT @DimitryNakhla: A quality valuation analysis on $NVDA 🧘🏽♂️
•NTM P/E Ratio: 33.80x
•1-Year Mean: 37.21x
•NTM FCF Yield: 2.67%
•1-Year Mean: 2.39%
As you can see, $NVDA appears to be trading somewhere near fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~10% MORE in earnings per share & ~11% MORE in FCF per share 🧠***
Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $NVDA is a quality business
BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Short-Term Inv: $38.49B
•Long-Term Debt: $8.46B
$NVDA has a strong balance sheet, an AA- S&P Credit Rating, & 236x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio
RETURN ON CAPITAL✅
•2020: 19.1%
•2021: 19.1%
•2022: 26.0%
•2023: 16.2%
•2024: 60.5%
•LTM: 92.4%
RETURN ON EQUITY✅
•2020: 26.0%
•2021: 29.8%
•2022: 44.8%
•2023: 17.9%
•2024: 91.5%
•LTM: 127.2%
$NVDA has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUES✅
•2020: $16.68B
•2025E: $129.14B
•CAGR: 63.89%
FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2020: $4.27B
•2025E: $64.54B
•CAGR: 72.13%
NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2020: $0.14
•2025E: $2.95
•CAGR: 83.96%
SHARE BUYBACKS🆗 (nominal change)
•2019 Shares Outstanding: 25.00B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 24.86B
MARGINS✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 75.9%
•LTM Operating Margins: 62.7%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 55.7%
***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~10% MORE in EPS & ~10% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $NVDA has to grow earnings at a 16.90% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2026 - 2027 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (16.90%) required growth rate:
2025E: $2.95 (127.9% YoY) *FY Jan
2026E: $4.45 (50.5% YoY)
2027E: $5.61 (26.1% YoY)
$NVDA has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $NVDA ends 2027 with $5.61 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
32x P/E: $178.88💵 … ~15.5% CAGR
31x P/E: $173.29💵 … ~13.7% CAGR
30x P/E: $167.70💵 … ~11.9% CAGR
29x P/E: $162.11💵 … ~10.1% CAGR
28x P/E: $156.52💵 … ~8.2% CAGR
As you can see, $NVDA appears to have attractive return potential IF we assume >30x earnings, a multiple generally below its historical averages & a multiple that’s justified given the company’s growth rate & moat
$NVDA is a fair consideration today at $133💵
I am more inclined to buy $NVDA closer to $120💵 where I could reasonably expect ~12% CAGR assuming a 27x end multiple, ensuring a decent margin of safety
What stands out to me is $NVDA consistent ability to exceed ambitious expectations, not just meeting but significantly beating estimates. This impressive performance has justified its previously demanding valuation, with the company effectively growing into its premium valuation 👌🏽
#stocks #investing
___
𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.
𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚[...]
Offshore
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital® RT @DimitryNakhla: A quality valuation analysis on $NVDA 🧘🏽♂️ •NTM P/E Ratio: 33.80x •1-Year Mean: 37.21x •NTM FCF Yield: 2.67% •1-Year Mean: 2.39% As you can see, $NVDA appears to be trading somewhere near fair value…
𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
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Offshore
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Value Spotlight (Andrew Sather)
ROIIC (Return on INCREMENTAL Invested Capital) Tutorial
$PANW
You can easily find companies expanding their margins like this w/ the screener from @NewConstructs https://t.co/gaWfqb0IjP
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ROIIC (Return on INCREMENTAL Invested Capital) Tutorial
$PANW
You can easily find companies expanding their margins like this w/ the screener from @NewConstructs https://t.co/gaWfqb0IjP
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Offshore
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: $FICO compounded EPS at an impressive 20.5% annual rate from 2014-2024 💸
$FICO shares generated a CAGR of 37.2% over the same period (+2,082%)💰
How? A significant expansion in $FICO’s multiple, which expanded from 17.50x in 2014 to 64.80x (NTM) - a nearly 4x increase 📈 https://t.co/5vkB1aBjqa
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RT @DimitryNakhla: $FICO compounded EPS at an impressive 20.5% annual rate from 2014-2024 💸
$FICO shares generated a CAGR of 37.2% over the same period (+2,082%)💰
How? A significant expansion in $FICO’s multiple, which expanded from 17.50x in 2014 to 64.80x (NTM) - a nearly 4x increase 📈 https://t.co/5vkB1aBjqa
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Offshore
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Montaka on Floor & Decor $FND US
Thesis: Floor & Decor is well-positioned for accelerated growth as the US housing market recovers, benefiting from increased demand for home renovation inputs and expanding its store footprint.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/KMjx9IeHS2
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Montaka on Floor & Decor $FND US
Thesis: Floor & Decor is well-positioned for accelerated growth as the US housing market recovers, benefiting from increased demand for home renovation inputs and expanding its store footprint.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/KMjx9IeHS2
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Offshore
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Quiver Quantitative
RT @InsiderRadar: Last month, we reported on a new CEO insider purchase at $XPRO.
The stock has risen steadily since then, and is now up 32% since the trade was reported. https://t.co/0CWhZZxqON
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RT @InsiderRadar: Last month, we reported on a new CEO insider purchase at $XPRO.
The stock has risen steadily since then, and is now up 32% since the trade was reported. https://t.co/0CWhZZxqON
🚨BREAKING: New CEO Insider Purchase
The CEO of $XPRO has reported the purchase of ~$490K of the company's stock, increasing his ownership stake by 16%.
One of the company's directors also just reported the purchase of ~$200k of stock. tweet
Offshore
Video
Quiver Quantitative
Senator Josh Hawley has said:
The Trump admin should deny federal contracts to any company that also takes money from China’s government.
https://t.co/6Ps0fDOAOL
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Senator Josh Hawley has said:
The Trump admin should deny federal contracts to any company that also takes money from China’s government.
https://t.co/6Ps0fDOAOL
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